MLB · resolved market
KBO: Kiwoom Heroes vs. LG Twins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9ebc09f92093ecb0bfc8dd0af869b645737dd57725e9ad65a40800a7f161fcf2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- LG Twinsof Kiwoom Heroes, LG Twins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,339
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,768
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,339 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 4c | 801$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.23 | 301 | 40.5%122 W · 179 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked LG Twins | 75c | 368.8$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.54 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26d3…8a20backed LG Twins | 64c | 359$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.24 | 63 | 71.4%45 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Kiwoom Heroes | 41c | 342.65$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.27 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4eb…7ba3backed Kiwoom Heroes | 19c | 339.79$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.46 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 32c | 292.2$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.13 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 26c | 266$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.92 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked LG Twins | 42c | 224.72$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.3 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fc…b1b4backed Kiwoom Heroes | 41c | 215.38$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.88 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 70c | 124.16$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.5 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…db3abacked LG Twins | 28c | 110$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79 | 732 | 43.4%318 W · 414 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed Kiwoom Heroes | 34c | 103.79$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.29 | 309 | 34.3%106 W · 203 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25a4…69f6backed LG Twins | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked LG Twins | 61c | 97$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.83 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Kiwoom Heroes | 57c | 91$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.16 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed LG Twins | 60c | 89.49$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.93 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed LG Twins | 61c | 81.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.7 | 1,168 | 49%572 W · 596 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Kiwoom Heroes | 65c | 77.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.07 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed LG Twins | 47c | 74.26$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 176 | 52.8%93 W · 83 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6feb…c082backed Kiwoom Heroes | 40c | 70.83$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.33 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked LG Twins | 62c | 67.06$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.48 | 292 | 50.7%148 W · 144 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Kiwoom Heroes | 39c | 66.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.13 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Kiwoom Heroes | 41c | 60.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 160 | 44.4%71 W · 89 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked LG Twins | 75c | 60.43$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.93 | 557 | 58%323 W · 234 L | +24.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe34c…ca55backed LG Twins | 43c | 56.43$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.18 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed LG Twins | 55c | 54.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.59 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed LG Twins | 36c | 52.86$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.99 | 474 | 46.6%221 W · 253 L | +26.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked LG Twins | 35c | 52.04$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 1,014 | 50.4%511 W · 503 L | +52.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed LG Twins | 60c | 51.5$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.74 | 341 | 39.9%136 W · 205 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed LG Twins | 66c | 47.37$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.02 | 554 | 48.2%267 W · 287 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked LG Twins | 33c | 42.08$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Kiwoom Heroes | 40c | 42$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 827 | 41.1%340 W · 487 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Kiwoom Heroes | 40c | 37.34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 1,804 | 53.8%970 W · 834 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed LG Twins | 80c | 34.24$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.85 | 639 | 54.5%348 W · 291 L | +14.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Kiwoom Heroes | 38c | 31.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 590 | 38.8%229 W · 361 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed LG Twins | 60c | 31.57$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.53 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed LG Twins | 59c | 25.26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.45 | 882 | 47.7%421 W · 461 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8793…9c83backed Kiwoom Heroes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x147c…2540backed LG Twins | 58c | 22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25e6…74a9backed LG Twins | 60c | 21.64$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x912f…b25bbacked LG Twins | 60c | 17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 96 | 62.5%60 W · 36 L | +11.7wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.