Tennis · resolved market
Winnipeg: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Duncan Chan
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9f05b3d84abb830d3c6b4d9f9ad3d18905d015bf54e03e51d0e3fb7aabcee942
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Shintaro Mochizukiof Shintaro Mochizuki, Duncan Chan
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $324,335
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $362,429
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $324,335 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 143 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7d6d…2654backed Duncan Chan | 40c | 96,736$38,789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,788.75 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 59c | 39,530$23,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,064.58 | 1,178 | 46.3%545 W · 633 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 50c | 33,590$16,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,639.89 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f65…2036backed Duncan Chan | 42c | 25,023$10,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,500 | 744 | 39.8%296 W · 448 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x072f…ffddbacked Duncan Chan | 75c | 10,520$7,864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,863.6 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 68c | 4,849$3,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,531.08 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 60c | 4,389$2,636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,752.25 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef53…4591backed Duncan Chan | 51c | 3,892$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 175 | 43.4%76 W · 99 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 55c | 3,330$1,841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,488.51 | 621 | 40.7%253 W · 368 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e86…6dfbbacked Duncan Chan | 62c | 3,226$2,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,009.65 | 204 | 44.6%91 W · 113 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 63c | 2,437$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$906.73 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf12f…b30fbacked Duncan Chan | 52c | 2,241$1,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,173.59 | 700 | 41.1%288 W · 412 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Duncan Chan | 8c | 2,183$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.36 | 323 | 29.7%96 W · 227 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x693b…84e3backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 41c | 1,944$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,156.32 | 90 | 63.3%57 W · 33 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Duncan Chan | 30c | 1,876$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.34 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50ca…bfddbacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 48c | 1,639$794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$845.17 | 603 | 42%253 W · 350 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…47a4backed Duncan Chan | 10c | 1,558$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.54 | 1,023 | 41.3%422 W · 601 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Duncan Chan | 42c | 1,509$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.12 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Duncan Chan | 43c | 1,497$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.04 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Duncan Chan | 41c | 1,454$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.89 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x035b…c6ddbacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 33c | 1,420$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$948.8 | 140 | 36.4%51 W · 89 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Duncan Chan | 55c | 1,254$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.86 | 1,626 | 52.7%857 W · 769 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 51c | 1,225$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.07 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb767…d848backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 73c | 1,096$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.89 | 226 | 67.7%153 W · 73 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 44c | 1,018$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.36 | 1,671 | 53%885 W · 786 L | +44.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Duncan Chan | 50c | 999.8$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.4 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Duncan Chan | 27c | 995.7$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.84 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Duncan Chan | 57c | 854.42$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.18 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x796f…00f6backed Duncan Chan | 65c | 800$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516 | 155 | 45.2%70 W · 85 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c70…b25ebacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 76c | 716.31$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.42 | 599 | 65.8%394 W · 205 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…ef9ebacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 74c | 677.77$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.77 | 940 | 68.1%640 W · 300 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42d6…01ccbacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 67c | 606.18$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.18 | 1,077 | 62.8%676 W · 401 L | -27.9wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a14…9fe4backed Duncan Chan | 11c | 500.59$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.69 | 409 | 35.7%146 W · 263 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3252…1d21backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 38c | 500$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.84 | 523 | 41.5%217 W · 306 L | -12.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 50c | 495.3$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.93 | 1,831 | 53%971 W · 860 L | -45.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9698…2504backed Duncan Chan | 40c | 485$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 110 | 47.3%52 W · 58 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf545…4036backed Duncan Chan | 51c | 475.74$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.5 | 300 | 43.7%131 W · 169 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x571f…1d37backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 64c | 461.05$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.72 | 1,065 | 54.7%583 W · 482 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Duncan Chan | 55c | 438.98$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.42 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12f5…904dbacked Duncan Chan | 4c | 425$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 58c | 423$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.66 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa192…8876backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 65c | 407.72$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.7 | 185 | 43.8%81 W · 104 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc196…2e6bbacked Duncan Chan | 30c | 356.63$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.71 | 123 | 39%48 W · 75 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Duncan Chan | 42c | 326.29$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.37 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Duncan Chan | 18c | 320.57$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.29 | 242 | 29.8%72 W · 170 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 76c | 308.3$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.58 | 1,708 | 44.8%766 W · 942 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c0…22ebbacked Duncan Chan | 36c | 303.36$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.44 | 405 | 27.2%110 W · 295 L | -17.2wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffe…a60fbacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 74c | 298.89$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.61 | 166 | 67.5%112 W · 54 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 71cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Duncan Chan | 45c | 254.09$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Duncan Chan | 44c | 248.74$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.55 | 319 | 48.9%156 W · 163 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Duncan Chan | 51c | 237.35$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.7 | 1,841 | 48.5%892 W · 949 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b3…145dbacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 74c | 236.49$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.49 | 917 | 54%495 W · 422 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9794…6831backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 42c | 235.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.85 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…ad4bbacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 31c | 220.4$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.7 | 196 | 26%51 W · 145 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a76…3c34backed Duncan Chan | 45c | 215$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.54 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 72c | 200.33$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.71 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x091a…8287backed Duncan Chan | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 119 | 48.7%58 W · 61 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Duncan Chan | 49c | 200$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64ec…931dbacked Duncan Chan | 10c | 197.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 433 | 36.7%159 W · 274 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Duncan Chan | 41c | 191.84$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.99 | 318 | 42.5%135 W · 183 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Duncan Chan | 24c | 189.48$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.49 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd8…9d29backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 53c | 189.04$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.04 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Duncan Chan | 28c | 185.13$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.92 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Duncan Chan | 53c | 182$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.62 | 1,159 | 69%800 W · 359 L | +56.8wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1924…8e55backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 57c | 181.99$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.62 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a51…1e9fbacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 53c | 170.13$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.13 | 218 | 42.2%92 W · 126 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e0…7387backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 60c | 167.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.56 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Duncan Chan | 36c | 167.4$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.29 | 441 | 38.8%171 W · 270 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 76c | 166.99$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.93 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c5c…91fcbacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 447 | 51.7%231 W · 216 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Duncan Chan | 45c | 166$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.57 | 561 | 53.7%301 W · 260 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Duncan Chan | 26c | 159.57$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.49 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6528…2dcebacked Duncan Chan | 60c | 159.13$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.31 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee4f…daa3backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 63c | 157.98$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.98 | 203 | 32.5%66 W · 137 L | -12.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -22%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x787b…f0a6backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 64c | 154.98$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.5 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55a8…e802backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 38c | 153.94$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.94 | 363 | 42.1%153 W · 210 L | -16.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Duncan Chan | 26c | 150.98$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 48c | 146.16$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.4 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Duncan Chan | 42c | 140.56$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 1,417 | 45.2%640 W · 777 L | +41.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Duncan Chan | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 788 | 57.1%450 W · 338 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07b1…b027backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 70c | 114$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.28 | 307 | 46.3%142 W · 165 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 59c | 112$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.92 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 58c | 108$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.36 | 854 | 49.6%424 W · 430 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Duncan Chan | 43c | 103$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.29 | 1,837 | 59.2%1,088 W · 749 L | +8.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 32c | 100$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.54 | 684 | 30%205 W · 479 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89b6…886ebacked Duncan Chan | 66c | 98.11$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 176 | 60.2%106 W · 70 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Duncan Chan | 27c | 94.68$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.56 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Duncan Chan | 35c | 94.15$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.87 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…147fbacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 50c | 91.15$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.85 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfea6…b795backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 75c | 89.44$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.7 | 541 | 41.4%224 W · 317 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Duncan Chan | 23c | 84.06$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 877 | 41.3%362 W · 515 L | -14.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79e9…80b1backed Duncan Chan | 32c | 82.82$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.34 | 332 | 28.3%94 W · 238 L | -12.0wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 50c | 81.79$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.66 | 1,042 | 36.5%380 W · 662 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Duncan Chan | 59c | 76.9$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.37 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1e…f992backed Duncan Chan | 43c | 76.74$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 654 | 34.9%228 W · 426 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Duncan Chan | 79c | 73.75$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.26 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa6f…b34fbacked Duncan Chan | 28c | 70.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed Duncan Chan | 32c | 70.66$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 1,021 | 49.8%508 W · 513 L | +42.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2262…21a1backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 52c | 70.16$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.51 | 763 | 55.6%424 W · 339 L | +29.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…a28abacked Duncan Chan | 27c | 69$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.63 | 552 | 41.3%228 W · 324 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Winnipeg: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Duncan Chanthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Mochizuki vs ChanMochizuki won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.