MLB · resolved market
Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9f3eb73503562f57302aa30cb2d3847cf10563e3d1e8df155fa285a756658c61
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- New York Metsof Philadelphia Phillies, New York Mets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,948
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,106
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,948 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 20,437$9,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,809.73 | 279 | 48.4%135 W · 144 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked New York Mets | 52c | 7,849$4,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,767.38 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Philadelphia Phillies | 9c | 4,073$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.28 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Philadelphia Phillies | 30c | 4,058$1,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,223.36 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked New York Mets | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked New York Mets | 55c | 3,215$1,768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,446.86 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Philadelphia Phillies | 46c | 2,424$1,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,107.3 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed New York Mets | 57c | 2,388$1,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,036.83 | 213 | 56.3%120 W · 93 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked New York Mets | 53c | 2,373$1,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,121.61 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8377…4198backed New York Mets | 57c | 2,328$1,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,001.07 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Philadelphia Phillies | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$919.99 | 219 | 41.1%90 W · 129 L | -19.8wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed New York Mets | 56c | 1,212$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.28 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed New York Mets | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed New York Mets | 52c | 951.09$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.01 | 211 | 47.9%101 W · 110 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed New York Mets | 72c | 828.07$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.07 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed New York Mets | 54c | 641.99$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.85 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa581…45b2backed New York Mets | 57c | 600$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258 | 114 | 63.2%72 W · 42 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed New York Mets | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.04 | 150 | 50%75 W · 75 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked New York Mets | 56c | 450$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked New York Mets | 52c | 439.93$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.17 | 376 | 49.5%186 W · 190 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff5c…ccbdbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4074…7d83backed Philadelphia Phillies | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -5.0wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 43c | 408.13$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.47 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed New York Mets | 55c | 379.69$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.86 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked New York Mets | 59c | 300$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeeee…ccb7backed Philadelphia Phillies | 47c | 297.87$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 13c | 243.93$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.88 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd33b…4e00backed Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 98 | 54.1%53 W · 45 L | +8.4wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x49f7…046bbacked New York Mets | 54c | 212.57$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.57 | 237 | 53.2%126 W · 111 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf339…e010backed New York Mets | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x235a…2e57backed Philadelphia Phillies | 19c | 128$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.88 | 125 | 48%60 W · 65 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02ec…5412backed New York Mets | 53c | 108$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.76 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 44c | 104.01$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.76 | 245 | 53.5%131 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef63…96cbbacked New York Mets | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 467 | 53.7%251 W · 216 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x866d…4d7dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 65 | 32.3%21 W · 44 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafbc…a8b5backed New York Mets | 57c | 91.22$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.22 | 375 | 52.5%197 W · 178 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed New York Mets | 64c | 87$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.17 | 432 | 50.7%219 W · 213 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c42…9ce3backed New York Mets | 58c | 68.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.97 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 43c | 56$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.08 | 235 | 45.5%107 W · 128 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dde…1d71backed Philadelphia Phillies | 24c | 55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0624…017dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 266 | 51.1%136 W · 130 L | -16.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9f…2a46backed New York Mets | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed New York Mets | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0643…d46bbacked New York Mets | 58c | 41.38$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.38 | 405 | 57.8%234 W · 171 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa3…072dbacked New York Mets | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c75…154abacked New York Mets | 54c | 35.61$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.38 | 68 | 60.3%41 W · 27 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9f19…72d9backed Philadelphia Phillies | 47c | 32.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.51 | 416 | 49%204 W · 212 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed New York Mets | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Philadelphia Phillies | 44c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 435 | 42.1%183 W · 252 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd98f…a5fbbacked New York Mets | 53c | 19.98$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.39 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x545b…b64ebacked New York Mets | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.