Lol · resolved market
League of Legends: JD Gaming vs. Invictus Gaming
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa03a21d5f34537b75583364fe676f718016b7be71856913aebf8b5ad2a9f358f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Invictusof JD, Invictus
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $177,338
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $197,976
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $177,338 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8b1d…74ccbacked JD | 41c | 59,382$24,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,287.37 | 90 | 20%18 W · 72 L | -13.2wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0254…34b3backed Invictus | 78c | 54,385$42,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,959.78 | 41 | 70.7%29 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed JD | 22c | 20,856$4,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,626.01 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked Invictus | 59c | 19,131$11,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,843.58 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…cd12backed JD | 20c | 16,905$3,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,321.25 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Invictus | 58c | 15,111$8,764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,346.62 | 364 | 33.8%123 W · 241 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a6f…6b82backed Invictus | 61c | 13,000$7,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,100 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked JD | 40c | 10,000$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,999.99 | 217 | 40.1%87 W · 130 L | -12.7wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd8…2ee5backed Invictus | 60c | 5,507$3,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,203.62 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -34%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Invictus | 59c | 4,902$2,892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,009.69 | 669 | 47.8%320 W · 349 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfec7…1594backed JD | 40c | 3,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 59 | 37.3%22 W · 37 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6df6…8458backed JD | 21c | 2,594$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.22 | 354 | 31.1%110 W · 244 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17b9…430dbacked Invictus | 60c | 1,163$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.12 | 137 | 47.4%65 W · 72 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbb…050cbacked Invictus | 73c | 1,045$762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.07 | 123 | 60.2%74 W · 49 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…a834backed JD | 1c | 1,009$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked JD | 41c | 999.99$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.99 | 126 | 44.4%56 W · 70 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Invictus | 58c | 999.98$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.99 | 1,598 | 42.4%677 W · 921 L | -17.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1032…77f1backed JD | 8c | 855.15$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.05 | 41 | 19.5%8 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbd…c4e4backed JD | 15c | 815.32$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.02 | 525 | 38.9%204 W · 321 L | +18.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22c7…ca3ebacked JD | 4c | 716.76$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.1 | 47 | 23.4%11 W · 36 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Invictus | 59c | 540.3$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.5 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Invictus | 59c | 511.85$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.86 | 924 | 50.9%470 W · 454 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Invictus | 65c | 503.79$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.37 | 417 | 52.5%219 W · 198 L | +14.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed JD | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 242 | 40.9%99 W · 143 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed JD | 21c | 500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 1,180 | 44.5%525 W · 655 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae0e…6527backed JD | 21c | 500$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.09 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed JD | 22c | 495$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.9 | 117 | 44.4%52 W · 65 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed JD | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 155 | 51.6%80 W · 75 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed JD | 40c | 425.28$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.11 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7753…73cebacked Invictus | 59c | 400$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164 | 131 | 64.9%85 W · 46 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c3f…676cbacked Invictus | 79c | 353.18$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.53 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed JD | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 274 | 52.2%143 W · 131 L | +16.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c54…cc1ebacked Invictus | 78c | 300$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe063…8a04backed JD | 33c | 262.33$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.9 | 143 | 38.5%55 W · 88 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcf…a26ebacked JD | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 363 | 31.1%113 W · 250 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…117bbacked JD | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38dd…c20abacked Invictus | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 194 | 51%99 W · 95 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf671…3dd7backed JD | 31c | 200$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 433 | 48.7%211 W · 222 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked JD | 19c | 199.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed JD | 42c | 195.38$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.05 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Invictus | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecba…5fb4backed Invictus | 78c | 125$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 132 | 60.6%80 W · 52 L | +7.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc54a…4b6fbacked JD | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Invictus | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 130 | 63.8%83 W · 47 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed JD | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.67 | 1,058 | 23.5%249 W · 809 L | -75.8wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a1…6daebacked JD | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 155 | 43.9%68 W · 87 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed JD | 42c | 99.92$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.72 | 67 | 23.9%16 W · 51 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3df5…b34abacked JD | 31c | 95.65$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x639e…a9d4backed Invictus | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebce…f37bbacked Invictus | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf15a…6df2backed Invictus | 59c | 70$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.7 | 20 | 85%17 W · 3 L | +3.5wins | +0.18per pick | 67cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…8a58backed JD | 41c | 70$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.7 | 1,136 | 63.1%717 W · 419 L | +51.0wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa33f…fedbbacked JD | 22c | 68.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.83 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77fb…849ebacked JD | 18c | 60.87$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 91 | 27.5%25 W · 66 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…4bcabacked Invictus | 70c | 60$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.8 | 111 | 47.7%53 W · 58 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3de…eea7backed Invictus | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked JD | 42c | 49.69$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.87 | 462 | 58.4%270 W · 192 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd32f…ae42backed Invictus | 57c | 45.81$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.7 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0457…99bebacked Invictus | 60c | 45$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Invictus | 60c | 43.33$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.33 | 596 | 47.7%284 W · 312 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74f0…0e43backed Invictus | 58c | 34.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.24 | 56 | 66.1%37 W · 19 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…8d1bbacked Invictus | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | -6.3wins | -0.12per pick | 67cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x729a…1e51backed Invictus | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 364 | 65.1%237 W · 127 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdda5…531fbacked Invictus | 74c | 28.82$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked Invictus | 60c | 28$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 1,155 | 68.1%786 W · 369 L | +35.1wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x218e…e49dbacked Invictus | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 174 | 66.7%116 W · 58 L | +9.7wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80f9…3ab9backed Invictus | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 211 | 46%97 W · 114 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a79…ab92backed Invictus | 59c | 17.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.17per pick | 61cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.