MLB · resolved market
Giants vs. Tigers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa1a9d64bf691d329578be687036c74d6f89f214de5206c3a95a948536349ec68
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tigersof Giants, Tigers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,988
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,190
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,988 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Giants | 21c | 3,943$816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$816.36 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd31d…3e6abacked Tigers | 48c | 1,979$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,029.08 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Tigers | 48c | 1,825$876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$949.24 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Giants | 52c | 1,595$829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$829.19 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Giants | 43c | 1,073$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.58 | 9,862 | 46.4%4,579 W · 5,283 L | +40.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa320…8232backed Tigers | 51c | 1,066$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.59 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -20.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Tigers | 47c | 1,059$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.23 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b5…0e50backed Giants | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc81c…9e5cbacked Giants | 52c | 979$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.08 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.7wins | -0.41per pick | 52cpaid | -76.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Tigers | 47c | 699.95$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.97 | 204 | 50.5%103 W · 101 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Giants | 9c | 694$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.61 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Giants | 52c | 610$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.2 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Giants | 27c | 500$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Tigers | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Giants | 8c | 497.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60a1…a8e1backed Giants | 52c | 475.93$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.48 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Giants | 6c | 378.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.24 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Giants | 41c | 348.05$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.01 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Tigers | 66c | 310$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.9 | 4,197 | 50.2%2,106 W · 2,091 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Giants | 52c | 300$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -5.9wins | -0.21per pick | 57cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Tigers | 73c | 232.9$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.9 | 519 | 53.2%276 W · 243 L | -24.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Giants | 43c | 210.66$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.72 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7f…7d7fbacked Tigers | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 152 | 56.6%86 W · 66 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Tigers | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff5c…ccbdbacked Tigers | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Tigers | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Giants | 53c | 203.77$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Giants | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…c011backed Tigers | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 138 | 48.6%67 W · 71 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…bd6abacked Giants | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -8.4wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Tigers | 70c | 172.9$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.68 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Tigers | 72c | 135.16$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.92 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Giants | 52c | 126.19$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.62 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Tigers | 47c | 110.82$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 333 | 49.5%165 W · 168 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ed5…e9bfbacked Giants | 18c | 109.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x399d…01dabacked Giants | 51c | 99.98$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.99 | 117 | 57.3%67 W · 50 L | +9.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Giants | 50c | 97.91$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.96 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Tigers | 48c | 96.12$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.31 | 133 | 53.4%71 W · 62 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Giants | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Giants | 52c | 86.54$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1,012 | 51.2%518 W · 494 L | +37.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f19…72d9backed Giants | 51c | 79.96$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.78 | 416 | 49%204 W · 212 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce9…7a2cbacked Giants | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 206 | 45.1%93 W · 113 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Giants | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c18…1e53backed Tigers | 48c | 66.67$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.67 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9edb…7959backed Tigers | 49c | 66.04$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.68 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Giants | 53c | 66.02$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.99 | 1,057 | 50.4%533 W · 524 L | -9.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9599…be88backed Giants | 49c | 61.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 255 | 11.8%30 W · 225 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48fe…62a1backed Tigers | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +32%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x024a…decbbacked Giants | 52c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf56…7687backed Giants | 53c | 59.47$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.4 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Giants | 53c | 58.82$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.17 | 159 | 49.1%78 W · 81 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10ee…4c0bbacked Giants | 53c | 58.72$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.12 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x743f…47e9backed Giants | 53c | 57.87$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.67 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Giants | 33c | 57.14$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.61 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bac…d28cbacked Giants | 53c | 55$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x279c…53cfbacked Tigers | 47c | 55$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99d3…a613backed Tigers | 48c | 54.65$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.42 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a14…da4abacked Giants | 52c | 53.92$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.04 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0201…3db0backed Tigers | 48c | 53.33$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.73 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Tigers | 49c | 53.32$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.32 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Tigers | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Tigers | 50c | 50.04$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.04 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x577e…ab13backed Tigers | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0619…d801backed Tigers | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1726…3986backed Tigers | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc9…7e5bbacked Giants | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 189 | 51.3%97 W · 92 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Tigers | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 695 | 47.5%330 W · 365 L | -16.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4884…9b0abacked Tigers | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Tigers | 73c | 25.05$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xb579…f458backed Tigers | 48c | 22.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.92 | 355 | 51.5%183 W · 172 L | +24.5wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Tigers | 48c | 21.75$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.31 | 2,058 | 53.8%1,107 W · 951 L | +33.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff0d…3d76backed Giants | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.