Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on June 22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa26ccd0b9b92289849b6ec687497da7148affac5576efdeb726d35ac92d5aaff
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,278
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,846
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,278 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 7c | 580.61$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.14 | 2,302 | 26.9%620 W · 1,682 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2acf…f9bbbacked Yes | 24c | 299.13$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.56 | 1,227 | 33.9%416 W · 811 L | +45.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 72c | 273.51$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85df…fb48backed Yes | 9c | 236$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 542 | 34.9%189 W · 353 L | -30.1wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 27c | 233.42$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.76 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked No | 76c | 205.2$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed No | 67c | 189.67$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.4 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 16c | 180$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7328…dbffbacked Yes | 17c | 116.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.21 | 1,122 | 24.4%274 W · 848 L | +24.8wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked Yes | 18c | 113.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.44 | 4,514 | 52.9%2,389 W · 2,125 L | +47.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x802d…d59abacked Yes | 26c | 111.5$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.9 | 1,298 | 41.7%541 W · 757 L | +53.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0c…8b5ebacked No | 80c | 110.9$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.58 | 926 | 78.2%724 W · 202 L | +51.2wins | +0.06per pick | 73cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 69c | 105.9$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.84 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7db…959bbacked Yes | 29c | 103.23$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 1,018 | 25.5%260 W · 758 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 15c | 97.02$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b23…3ca8backed No | 65c | 90$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.65 | 235 | 38.3%90 W · 145 L | -11.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc1…a3bbbacked Yes | 28c | 78.6$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.92 | 876 | 29.2%256 W · 620 L | -53.7wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 70c | 75$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 2,262 | 39.6%895 W · 1,367 L | -56.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6780…41ccbacked Yes | 45c | 69.98$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.79 | 270 | 51.1%138 W · 132 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5647…de1dbacked Yes | 29c | 69.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 479 | 35.3%169 W · 310 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…d571backed Yes | 29c | 68.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,225 | 49.2%1,094 W · 1,131 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1fb…78d1backed No | 73c | 68.6$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 72cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 72c | 65.71$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.11 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1075…19c1backed Yes | 27c | 61.12$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 173 | 24.3%42 W · 131 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x156b…5808backed Yes | 21c | 60$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 405 | 35.6%144 W · 261 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b8…6983backed Yes | 19c | 59.52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.47 | 874 | 37.3%326 W · 548 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 76c | 59.29$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.29 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2be…ff33backed No | 74c | 55$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 1,203 | 48.9%588 W · 615 L | -24.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2c…0a2cbacked No | 73c | 54.33$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.91 | 1,550 | 56.7%879 W · 671 L | -83.2wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff6…e4fbbacked No | 68c | 53.9$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.25 | 653 | 53.4%349 W · 304 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 68c | 51.76$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.64 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5425…4c65backed No | 74c | 50.65$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.17 | 278 | 52.9%147 W · 131 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 32c | 50.46$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed Yes | 28c | 48.43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 2,124 | 57.4%1,220 W · 904 L | +69.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2eb8…0d00backed Yes | 51c | 48.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 206 | 62.1%128 W · 78 L | -14.0wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed Yes | 29c | 47.96$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 2,093 | 57.1%1,196 W · 897 L | +71.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf5…c9fdbacked No | 70c | 42.84$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.85 | 79 | 67.1%53 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed Yes | 28c | 41.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 2,102 | 56.5%1,188 W · 914 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed Yes | 29c | 38.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 2,050 | 57.4%1,177 W · 873 L | +72.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d3…118ebacked Yes | 30c | 37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 208 | 42.8%89 W · 119 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 71c | 36$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.32 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8fc…0d3bbacked No | 79c | 35.19$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 648 | 59.1%383 W · 265 L | -21.2wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd4…5cfcbacked No | 51c | 30.5$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.89 | 572 | 64.5%369 W · 203 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c2…f88bbacked Yes | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 99 | 60.6%60 W · 39 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1f…8c58backed No | 69c | 27.74$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 180 | 38.9%70 W · 110 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71b5…d067backed No | 74c | 25.09$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.52 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5579…2db1backed No | 77c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.52 | 138 | 52.9%73 W · 65 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x721a…9295backed No | 75c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 583 | 58%338 W · 245 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38a1…3154backed No | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 2,067 | 74.6%1,542 W · 525 L | +23.8wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4184…c863backed No | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.3 | 899 | 51.6%464 W · 435 L | -40.0wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3164…3c65backed No | 77c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 444 | 65.3%290 W · 154 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed No | 75c | 15.61$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.92 | 438 | 48.6%213 W · 225 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d42…a046backed No | 74c | 13.6$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.54 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on June 22?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C on June 22?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on June 22?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on June 22?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on June 22?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on June 22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.