Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on May 29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa27e6c4a8acdbdb652d7babd963571df12651ed27b7bf5be5d0199943b2f0982
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,818
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,683
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,818 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x840a…63ccbacked Yes | 44c | 1,918$841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,077.05 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x213e…5e0fbacked Yes | 71c | 1,088$769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.19 | 657 | 49.8%327 W · 330 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7f…2e64backed No | 68c | 1,032$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.07 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 53c | 588.29$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.77 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 25c | 429.7$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.96 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f4…1e34backed Yes | 70c | 429.05$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.72 | 1,312 | 45%590 W · 722 L | +33.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e1…c152backed Yes | 70c | 372.31$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.93 | 202 | 31.2%63 W · 139 L | +22.2wins | +0.11per pick | 20cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xeb01…43bbbacked Yes | 26c | 315.7$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.99 | 739 | 27.3%202 W · 537 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 21c | 285.09$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.35 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 34c | 257.99$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.43 | 805 | 60.6%488 W · 317 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 59c | 256.42$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.72 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…064abacked No | 75c | 240.21$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.07 | 2,555 | 63.8%1,631 W · 924 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 39c | 200.37$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.52 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 56c | 200.18$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.21 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 35c | 187.07$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.88 | 886 | 50.2%445 W · 441 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbea5…1de3backed No | 76c | 168$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.72 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -4.6wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 42c | 163.55$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.52 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 30c | 161.41$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.89 | 1,525 | 52.6%802 W · 723 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc120…a7e3backed No | 35c | 136.71$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.21 | 1,299 | 54.1%703 W · 596 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1a…d5a3backed Yes | 64c | 125.64$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.08 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 43c | 124.29$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.42 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked Yes | 22c | 120.1$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.07 | 4,514 | 52.9%2,389 W · 2,125 L | +47.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9892…fd59backed No | 38c | 117.19$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 1,322 | 32.2%426 W · 896 L | -43.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1bd…940ebacked No | 75c | 83.25$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.41 | 170 | 71.2%121 W · 49 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18ae…314cbacked Yes | 18c | 83.05$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.05 | 1,211 | 29.8%361 W · 850 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ea…7ef6backed No | 75c | 82.24$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.9 | 116 | 70.7%82 W · 34 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8302…8b44backed Yes | 63c | 79.9$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.9 | 117 | 37.6%44 W · 73 L | -8.8wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb460…6424backed Yes | 75c | 73.82$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.69 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaafc…ec67backed Yes | 72c | 73.82$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.83 | 447 | 57.3%256 W · 191 L | +53.9wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +24%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8842…dfa7backed Yes | 36c | 73.53$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.21 | 452 | 36.5%165 W · 287 L | +20.0wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b72…a958backed No | 75c | 69.26$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.67 | 686 | 45.8%314 W · 372 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc72…ad49backed Yes | 79c | 68.74$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.13 | 115 | 65.2%75 W · 40 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 39c | 68.43$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 52c | 67.49$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.95 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9de…81d9backed Yes | 27c | 66.68$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.57 | 420 | 36.4%153 W · 267 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3942…39d7backed No | 20c | 65.6$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 297 | 17.2%51 W · 246 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 47c | 65$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.55 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 77c | 60$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.35 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 73c | 58.02$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.26 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 25c | 57.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.24 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5964…35dfbacked No | 38c | 54$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.69 | 1,279 | 33.6%430 W · 849 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76c7…860ebacked Yes | 28c | 51.06$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.6 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…db5bbacked No | 35c | 50.85$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.56 | 1,275 | 36.5%465 W · 810 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…f1f5backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 244 | 34.4%84 W · 160 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf114…6eccbacked No | 72c | 50$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1,090 | 74.2%809 W · 281 L | +179.3wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 37c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a87…a55abacked Yes | 40c | 49.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 1,112 | 35.1%390 W · 722 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 45c | 49.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.45 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80bb…6ddfbacked Yes | 73c | 48.42$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.12 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19bc…eae5backed No | 22c | 47.83$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 45 | 20%9 W · 36 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9217…076abacked No | 37c | 42.48$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.59 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01a6…59b0backed No | 79c | 41.84$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.22 | 1,679 | 61.7%1,036 W · 643 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff74…5de4backed Yes | 25c | 40.72$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.55 | 659 | 34.1%225 W · 434 L | +36.6wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x306d…7a38backed Yes | 35c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 667 | 35.4%236 W · 431 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3887…9496backed No | 78c | 40$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 243 | 70%170 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 63c | 40$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 2,060 | 60%1,235 W · 825 L | +28.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2869…527dbacked No | 41c | 38.06$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.69 | 937 | 34.9%327 W · 610 L | -203.5wins | -0.22per pick | 57cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xe1aa…7429backed Yes | 29c | 38$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.82 | 94 | 26.6%25 W · 69 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc556…9720backed No | 42c | 38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.78 | 255 | 49%125 W · 130 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked No | 36c | 31.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.29 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x786b…4520backed Yes | 64c | 31.38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1798…1ce9backed No | 65c | 30.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 2,428 | 44.9%1,091 W · 1,337 L | -31.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0af…cc7dbacked No | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2109…58b3backed No | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48d8…a908backed No | 37c | 29.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf3…782cbacked No | 64c | 28$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 1,876 | 63%1,181 W · 695 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 79c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d39…099abacked No | 42c | 23.81$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 297 | 51.9%154 W · 143 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa98a…a5a8backed No | 73c | 23.48$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.11 | 2,015 | 67.7%1,365 W · 650 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04ed…8809backed Yes | 65c | 22.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked No | 49c | 22.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 926 | 2.5%23 W · 903 L | -379.9wins | -0.41per pick | 44cpaid | -90.2%equal weight | 6-0.40 edge/pick |
| 0x13f3…d427backed No | 70c | 21.65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.16 | 326 | 69%225 W · 101 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 72cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Yes | 70c | 21.28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.31 | 981 | 60.6%594 W · 387 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7747…fe40backed No | 60c | 21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 65 | 60%39 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e04…67f4backed No | 74c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 66 | 68.2%45 W · 21 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 72cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32b9…9a9cbacked No | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 649 | 60.2%391 W · 258 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0c…a853backed No | 70c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2,249 | 34.2%769 W · 1,480 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3c…ddd0backed No | 75c | 17.86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 466 | 67.6%315 W · 151 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +334.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 71c | 16.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e7f…7980backed No | 73c | 15.27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7d…fd73backed No | 75c | 13.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -7.0wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on May 29?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 49°F or below on May 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 68°F or higher on May 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on May 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on May 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on May 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on May 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on May 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on May 29?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.