Tennis · resolved market
Bloomfield Hills: Evan Zhu vs Thanasi Kokkinakis
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa379e032efd404bec58025369ce9f9b625b8adae5fe24c6b77a6c9065f890537
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thanasi Kokkinakisof Evan Zhu, Thanasi Kokkinakis
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $65,007
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $68,268
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,007 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Evan Zhu | 4c | 7,405$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.6 | 9,161 | 36.1%3,309 W · 5,852 L | -202.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Evan Zhu | 10c | 5,219$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.03 | 11,779 | 43.3%5,102 W · 6,677 L | +20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1621…572cbacked Evan Zhu | 11c | 3,631$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393 | 479 | 52%249 W · 230 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Evan Zhu | 5c | 2,835$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.38 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Evan Zhu | 12c | 2,665$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.86 | 2,548 | 38.5%982 W · 1,566 L | +96.5wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95f1…6e6fbacked Evan Zhu | 8c | 2,500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 113 | 38.9%44 W · 69 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Evan Zhu | 3c | 2,012$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.31 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Evan Zhu | 4c | 1,197$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.48 | 5,041 | 41.4%2,087 W · 2,954 L | -83.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Evan Zhu | 11c | 984.67$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.63 | 1,711 | 48.5%829 W · 882 L | +41.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Evan Zhu | 7c | 603.14$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.21 | 265 | 35.5%94 W · 171 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Evan Zhu | 11c | 532$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.52 | 1,564 | 24%376 W · 1,188 L | -43.9wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3092…4aa9backed Evan Zhu | 6c | 482.12$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd4b…d965backed Evan Zhu | 11c | 455$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.05 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Evan Zhu | 6c | 386.41$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.21 | 1,789 | 46.3%828 W · 961 L | -6.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Evan Zhu | 10c | 381.78$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5,352 | 28.8%1,543 W · 3,809 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Evan Zhu | 11c | 337$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.07 | 1,054 | 50.2%529 W · 525 L | +38.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc951…e212backed Evan Zhu | 4c | 316.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 58 | 27.6%16 W · 42 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Evan Zhu | 11c | 313.52$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.49 | 381 | 41.2%157 W · 224 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b13…2f02backed Evan Zhu | 11c | 227.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 90 | 40%36 W · 54 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b0d…6b6abacked Evan Zhu | 5c | 210$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 44 | 9.1%4 W · 40 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Evan Zhu | 12c | 206.75$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.81 | 901 | 52.3%471 W · 430 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a14…9fe4backed Evan Zhu | 8c | 174.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.96 | 420 | 35.5%149 W · 271 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d85…dd2bbacked Evan Zhu | 7c | 171.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Evan Zhu | 10c | 155.04$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.35 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf8…5b60backed Evan Zhu | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 115 | 59.1%68 W · 47 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Evan Zhu | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1,274 | 45%573 W · 701 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0882…dceabacked Evan Zhu | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa415…6fb9backed Evan Zhu | 12c | 84$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 585 | 53%310 W · 275 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.