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Tennis · resolved market

Asuncion 2: Juan Estevez vs Hernan Casanova

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Juan Estevezof Juan Estevez, Hernan Casanova
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$49,754
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$56,138

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,754 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Hernan Casanova35c2,715$963 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$963.2111,77943.3%5,102 W · 6,677 L+20.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x292b…bf0ebacked Juan Estevez80c2,283$1,826 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.623354.5%18 W · 15 L-0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf12f…b30fbacked Juan Estevez43c1,860$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,060.4773640.9%301 W · 435 L+2.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Hernan Casanova17c1,697$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.344,27745%1,925 W · 2,352 L+21.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Juan Estevez75c1,683$1,262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420.712,89939.6%1,147 W · 1,752 L-84.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf5d3…e1dfbacked Juan Estevez60c1,672$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$671.938552.9%45 W · 40 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Juan Estevez69c1,373$949 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423.484,62667.8%3,135 W · 1,491 L+310.5wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xfcf1…99d3backed Hernan Casanova36c1,204$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433.5338652.3%202 W · 184 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe857…7b3bbacked Hernan Casanova29c976.19$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28083823.2%194 W · 644 L-58.0wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-26.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Juan Estevez52c940.12$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.546,67850.7%3,387 W · 3,291 L+265.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Juan Estevez71c787.99$561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.272,06148.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L+35.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Hernan Casanova41c735.4$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.048,83442.5%3,758 W · 5,076 L-169.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60bf…ebb6backed Hernan Casanova14c689.99$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.66248.4%30 W · 32 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Hernan Casanova42c668.57$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.88,05750.8%4,089 W · 3,968 L+90.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Hernan Casanova40c646.23$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.499,40644.3%4,171 W · 5,235 L-245.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Juan Estevez54c639.46$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.82,06535.2%727 W · 1,338 L-52.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Juan Estevez46c620.1$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.9424529.8%73 W · 172 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-21.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc26a…b715backed Hernan Casanova8c618.43$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.1857321.8%125 W · 448 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Hernan Casanova51c583.33$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001,44848.8%707 W · 741 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09da…56ffbacked Hernan Casanova4c555.15$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2011931.9%38 W · 81 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Hernan Casanova42c523.81$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2206,55054.4%3,565 W · 2,985 L+287.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x561d…4134backed Hernan Casanova41c512.56$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.244949.4%222 W · 227 L+23.1wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+3.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Hernan Casanova40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa44a…88ecbacked Juan Estevez47c426.85$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.8552557%299 W · 226 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Juan Estevez42c424.53$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.244,78449.6%2,372 W · 2,412 L+177.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Juan Estevez50c423$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.54,68448.3%2,264 W · 2,420 L+35.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cb0…c615backed Juan Estevez52c400$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1948456%47 W · 37 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d74…f2abbacked Juan Estevez57c360.36$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.1443334.9%151 W · 282 L-8.3wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a99…d29fbacked Juan Estevez57c346.88$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.531742.6%135 W · 182 L-8.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4be6…b010backed Juan Estevez58c301.72$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.721,42848.2%689 W · 739 L+4.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Hernan Casanova42c297.62$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1251,14447.2%540 W · 604 L+64.7wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Juan Estevez60c271.1$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.693,73145.3%1,690 W · 2,041 L-3.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Hernan Casanova42c250$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1051,47245%662 W · 810 L+42.3wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3cdd…db30backed Hernan Casanova42c238.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019524.1%47 W · 148 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc367…a0b4backed Juan Estevez47c211.92$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.9247534.5%164 W · 311 L-22.0wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-10.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4093…5749backed Juan Estevez53c210.14$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.312,88149.5%1,427 W · 1,454 L+23.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf66e…14b7backed Hernan Casanova43c209$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.7772755.6%404 W · 323 L+27.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc2be…af12backed Hernan Casanova43c202$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.862,03246.9%952 W · 1,080 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6485…a265backed Hernan Casanova43c166.83$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.442,34752.1%1,223 W · 1,124 L+86.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Hernan Casanova22c142.45$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.345,04141.4%2,087 W · 2,954 L-83.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Hernan Casanova44c128.9$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.719,16136.1%3,309 W · 5,852 L-202.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Hernan Casanova60c127.13$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.283,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Juan Estevez42c124.3$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.095,55348.6%2,700 W · 2,853 L+16.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26eb…5369backed Juan Estevez54c122.39$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.313754%74 W · 63 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Hernan Casanova48c122$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.441,85741%762 W · 1,095 L-32.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Hernan Casanova55c120.17$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.593,19557.3%1,830 W · 1,365 L+178.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7e50…dd7dbacked Juan Estevez71c118.31$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.317963.3%50 W · 29 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x365f…706abacked Juan Estevez65c110.58$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.311,83746.5%855 W · 982 L+20.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-19.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x104f…04aabacked Juan Estevez44c107.82$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.3826134.1%89 W · 172 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5803…3f3fbacked Hernan Casanova49c106.49$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521,05648.3%510 W · 546 L+43.6wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Hernan Casanova42c104.76$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441,23446.3%571 W · 663 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ce7…3150backed Juan Estevez40c104.5$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.739149.1%192 W · 199 L+14.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Juan Estevez39c104.15$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.532,54838.5%982 W · 1,566 L+96.5wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xccd8…f4debacked Hernan Casanova61c97.69$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.591,47535.2%519 W · 956 L-14.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Hernan Casanova42c90.48$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383,27940.3%1,322 W · 1,957 L+24.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Juan Estevez47c88.53$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.954,37652.3%2,290 W · 2,086 L+67.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Hernan Casanova43c88.37$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383,45738.9%1,345 W · 2,112 L-15.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabb3…f5b0backed Juan Estevez41c88$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.5248257.1%275 W · 207 L+31.8wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+10.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfb77…1c78backed Hernan Casanova42c71.43$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302,17937%807 W · 1,372 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xba86…9ab0backed Hernan Casanova43c69.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3068639.2%269 W · 417 L-29.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-12.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x53ae…f71ebacked Hernan Casanova30c67.32$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0339039.5%154 W · 236 L-46.8wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-30.8%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x2bf3…4f00backed Hernan Casanova51c61.75$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.3443552.9%230 W · 205 L+0.6wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33fd…a585backed Hernan Casanova40c60$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+13.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6a80…d472backed Juan Estevez42c52.01$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.141,20652.4%632 W · 574 L+27.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5404…5e58backed Hernan Casanova29c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.570730%212 W · 495 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Juan Estevez39c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.57,20149.7%3,577 W · 3,624 L+114.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1707…f7eebacked Hernan Casanova61c49.18$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302065%13 W · 7 L-0.1wins0.00per pick65cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ade…ed94backed Juan Estevez40c48.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.271,45854%787 W · 671 L-33.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+64.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf903…de2fbacked Hernan Casanova31c48.39$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156740.3%27 W · 40 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a20…d606backed Juan Estevez75c48$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1292674.6%691 W · 235 L+1.7wins0.00per pick74cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc89…095cbacked Hernan Casanova42c46$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.323268.8%22 W · 10 L+4.7wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+24.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Juan Estevez40c45.27$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.167,12939.7%2,832 W · 4,297 L-14.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Juan Estevez39c42$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.552,09052.2%1,091 W · 999 L+17.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac24…576ebacked Juan Estevez40c40.4$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.247338.4%28 W · 45 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-16.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed Juan Estevez42c40$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.41,89257.5%1,087 W · 805 L+105.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x91ac…5ff3backed Hernan Casanova36c39.75$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1660241.2%248 W · 354 L-11.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Juan Estevez29c37$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.141,22823.1%284 W · 944 L-164.0wins-0.13per pick36cpaid-47%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xaa8f…14d1backed Hernan Casanova59c36.28$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.4125437%94 W · 160 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Juan Estevez56c35$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.231,77252.1%923 W · 849 L-1.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Juan Estevez57c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.991,34949.8%672 W · 677 L-6.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9081…8a6ebacked Hernan Casanova74c27.21$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1441768.1%284 W · 133 L-21.4wins-0.05per pick73cpaid-6.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Hernan Casanova58c25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.54,04145.7%1,848 W · 2,193 L-28.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ec7…93d1backed Hernan Casanova41c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1510778.5%84 W · 23 L+11.7wins+0.11per pick68cpaid+15.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9e20…5cf9backed Juan Estevez57c24.71$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.7135555.5%197 W · 158 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58af…8b48backed Juan Estevez49c24.49$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.49757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+38.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe83a…8355backed Hernan Casanova42c24.26$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.165259.4%387 W · 265 L+31.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+6.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1cba…b694backed Juan Estevez69c18.55$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.671,49643.6%652 W · 844 L-29.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-25.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5151…fba8backed Juan Estevez71c18.51$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.3738074.5%283 W · 97 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick73cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x985d…33c9backed Hernan Casanova58c18.15$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.531,30036.9%480 W · 820 L-34.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.