Cricket · resolved market
The Hundred, Women: Birmingham Phoenix vs Sunrisers Leeds
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa4b21d557680ad9832ac146f74c4256b1755fbc037a6b80ab50b85c44bda6d76
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sunrisers Leedsof Birmingham Phoenix, Sunrisers Leeds
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,833
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,706
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,833 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Birmingham Phoenix | 10c | 6,123$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.88 | 296 | 31.1%92 W · 204 L | -16.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b7…6008backed Birmingham Phoenix | 20c | 5,201$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060.15 | 331 | 40.2%133 W · 198 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d33…28a3backed Birmingham Phoenix | 23c | 3,496$811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810.89 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7a…9e24backed Birmingham Phoenix | 7c | 2,641$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.88 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc700…31a1backed Birmingham Phoenix | 39c | 2,240$874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$873.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9104…c269backed Sunrisers Leeds | 73c | 1,953$1,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.31 | 140 | 70.7%99 W · 41 L | +21.1wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Birmingham Phoenix | 15c | 1,091$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.38 | 762 | 51.6%393 W · 369 L | +29.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Birmingham Phoenix | 27c | 939.03$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.39 | 228 | 34.2%78 W · 150 L | -17.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Birmingham Phoenix | 12c | 565.31$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.01 | 652 | 50.9%332 W · 320 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8806…d9f1backed Birmingham Phoenix | 22c | 557.73$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.7 | 77 | 19.5%15 W · 62 L | -13.1wins | -0.17per pick | 36cpaid | -31%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Sunrisers Leeds | 61c | 498.01$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.05 | 641 | 43.1%276 W · 365 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Birmingham Phoenix | 38c | 414.78$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.44 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Birmingham Phoenix | 36c | 400$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f5b…ba31backed Birmingham Phoenix | 37c | 389.97$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.09 | 176 | 41.5%73 W · 103 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…052abacked Birmingham Phoenix | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14fa…00a5backed Birmingham Phoenix | 19c | 260$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.4 | 86 | 34.9%30 W · 56 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Birmingham Phoenix | 24c | 245.58$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.63 | 271 | 41.3%112 W · 159 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Birmingham Phoenix | 18c | 243$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.74 | 434 | 41%178 W · 256 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3627…09f2backed Birmingham Phoenix | 22c | 239.55$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.6 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa54d…deb8backed Sunrisers Leeds | 79c | 238.75$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.55 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Sunrisers Leeds | 59c | 224.56$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.85 | 492 | 47.2%232 W · 260 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbcc…a2d2backed Sunrisers Leeds | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 92 | 65.2%60 W · 32 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Birmingham Phoenix | 26c | 166$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.16 | 310 | 50%155 W · 155 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e2…a1a9backed Birmingham Phoenix | 10c | 155$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Birmingham Phoenix | 28c | 120$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 102 | 41.2%42 W · 60 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aea…5098backed Birmingham Phoenix | 15c | 120$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0be…8d08backed Sunrisers Leeds | 61c | 119$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.79 | 199 | 58.8%117 W · 82 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17eb…8db2backed Birmingham Phoenix | 22c | 114.93$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 69 | 27.5%19 W · 50 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82c2…2bb3backed Birmingham Phoenix | 40c | 111.47$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.59 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d2c…00b5backed Birmingham Phoenix | 31c | 111.22$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.39 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66ed…d321backed Sunrisers Leeds | 65c | 107.69$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.69 | 128 | 42.2%54 W · 74 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabf7…e497backed Birmingham Phoenix | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 41 | 19.5%8 W · 33 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae8f…1cc3backed Birmingham Phoenix | 17c | 99.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 269 | 30.5%82 W · 187 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5317…9a3bbacked Birmingham Phoenix | 26c | 99.68$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.63 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Birmingham Phoenix | 32c | 96.25$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.81 | 58 | 24.1%14 W · 44 L | -7.3wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Birmingham Phoenix | 43c | 79.98$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.39 | 258 | 48.4%125 W · 133 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Birmingham Phoenix | 42c | 79.98$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.59 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Birmingham Phoenix | 40c | 77$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.75 | 65 | 24.6%16 W · 49 L | -8.0wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3e…986cbacked Sunrisers Leeds | 74c | 69.03$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.95 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Birmingham Phoenix | 20c | 62$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 318 | 39.9%127 W · 191 L | -14.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Birmingham Phoenix | 39c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb727…b0d8backed Birmingham Phoenix | 26c | 57.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 71 | 26.8%19 W · 52 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ab…3c32backed Sunrisers Leeds | 62c | 56.8$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.8 | 99 | 56.6%56 W · 43 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Birmingham Phoenix | 36c | 52.04$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.79 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a57…913fbacked Sunrisers Leeds | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 290 | 51.7%150 W · 140 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d91…ac49backed Birmingham Phoenix | 29c | 45.7$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.06 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Sunrisers Leeds | 75c | 44.27$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.27 | 633 | 46.3%293 W · 340 L | +13.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Sunrisers Leeds | 60c | 38.71$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.48 | 456 | 47.6%217 W · 239 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf4…0403backed Birmingham Phoenix | 37c | 38.54$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.34per pick | 49cpaid | -78.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…b3d0backed Birmingham Phoenix | 40c | 38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c7b…c052backed Birmingham Phoenix | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9755…ab85backed Birmingham Phoenix | 40c | 35.83$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbcfd…c4ecbacked Birmingham Phoenix | 37c | 32.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c99…9729backed Sunrisers Leeds | 65c | 32.31$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.31 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 70cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3162…d21cbacked Sunrisers Leeds | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a89…b378backed Birmingham Phoenix | 45c | 29.2$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x091a…8287backed Sunrisers Leeds | 68c | 21.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.95 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…ccd5backed Sunrisers Leeds | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.