MLB · resolved market
KBO: Doosan Bears vs. LG Twins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa5d22854639ace45810d0fa236dfac74b805aa218aecc087a66524c0d6f2c137
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- LG Twinsof Doosan Bears, LG Twins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,940
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,061
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,940 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Doosan Bears | 55c | 10,832$5,922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,921.93 | 613 | 51.5%316 W · 297 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f5…c161backed LG Twins | 51c | 3,942$2,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,912.14 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +7.4wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed LG Twins | 45c | 2,866$1,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,576.29 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed LG Twins | 48c | 1,942$937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,004.43 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed LG Twins | 46c | 1,112$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.24 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed LG Twins | 45c | 943.2$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.76 | 776 | 47.4%368 W · 408 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82c0…02fdbacked Doosan Bears | 33c | 632.85$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed LG Twins | 75c | 623.21$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.52 | 717 | 50.1%359 W · 358 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Doosan Bears | 53c | 585.87$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.9 | 6,302 | 48.3%3,041 W · 3,261 L | +181.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked Doosan Bears | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 144 | 57.6%83 W · 61 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b2c…f9f2backed LG Twins | 30c | 512.69$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.08 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed LG Twins | 71c | 435.45$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.94 | 851 | 35.8%305 W · 546 L | -23.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked LG Twins | 45c | 389$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.95 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa461…878abacked Doosan Bears | 65c | 369.11$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.52 | 158 | 62.7%99 W · 59 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2688…9197backed LG Twins | 46c | 281.65$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.09 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Doosan Bears | 51c | 262.13$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.51 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked LG Twins | 42c | 222$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.7 | 120 | 37.5%45 W · 75 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked LG Twins | 49c | 217.52$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.06 | 1,813 | 49.1%891 W · 922 L | -26.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked LG Twins | 58c | 194.83$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.94 | 401 | 46.1%185 W · 216 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd190…e445backed LG Twins | 49c | 177.25$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.03 | 164 | 56.7%93 W · 71 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Doosan Bears | 45c | 166$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.45 | 752 | 44%331 W · 421 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked LG Twins | 64c | 165.81$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.86 | 289 | 52.6%152 W · 137 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Doosan Bears | 60c | 163.76$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.58 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked LG Twins | 46c | 159.1$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.53 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked LG Twins | 52c | 156.94$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.7 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed Doosan Bears | 53c | 151.15$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.08 | 449 | 49.2%221 W · 228 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed LG Twins | 45c | 143.3$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.46 | 4,477 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L | -47.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Doosan Bears | 53c | 140.04$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.78 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Doosan Bears | 27c | 128.93$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.36 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed LG Twins | 52c | 100.68$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.91 | 327 | 51.7%169 W · 158 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Doosan Bears | 14c | 99.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…ebe7backed Doosan Bears | 71c | 98.18$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4395…8fd0backed LG Twins | 48c | 93.75$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.75 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…5d84backed Doosan Bears | 76c | 86$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.36 | 1,099 | 79.7%876 W · 223 L | +33.4wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked LG Twins | 29c | 82.57$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.62 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked LG Twins | 24c | 81$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.56 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd73a…0f4ebacked Doosan Bears | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 411 | 52.3%215 W · 196 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1371…31b0backed Doosan Bears | 52c | 75.41$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19f5…c385backed Doosan Bears | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -6.8wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xfee8…9197backed LG Twins | 47c | 70.11$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.16 | 223 | 50.7%113 W · 110 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed LG Twins | 46c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.39 | 945 | 55.2%522 W · 423 L | +31.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked LG Twins | 46c | 55$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.7 | 256 | 48%123 W · 133 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked LG Twins | 55c | 52$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.38 | 374 | 51.3%192 W · 182 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Doosan Bears | 20c | 51.66$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 351 | 37%130 W · 221 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Doosan Bears | 54c | 50.72$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.39 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc0…7bf6backed LG Twins | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 205 | 48.8%100 W · 105 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Doosan Bears | 53c | 49.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.66 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed LG Twins | 47c | 49.63$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.14 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa402…d14bbacked Doosan Bears | 50c | 47.69$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.64 | 221 | 51.6%114 W · 107 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Doosan Bears | 54c | 47.49$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.63 | 1,149 | 48.9%562 W · 587 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed LG Twins | 45c | 47$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.85 | 539 | 50.6%273 W · 266 L | +16.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed LG Twins | 46c | 45$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.3 | 176 | 45.5%80 W · 96 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed LG Twins | 37c | 43.7$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.53 | 1,121 | 44.1%494 W · 627 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Doosan Bears | 52c | 41$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.32 | 236 | 47%111 W · 125 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Doosan Bears | 52c | 38.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 2,944 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,543 L | +4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed LG Twins | 47c | 38.47$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.49 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed LG Twins | 46c | 37.39$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.07 | 827 | 41.1%340 W · 487 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed LG Twins | 46c | 34.93$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 254 | 48.4%123 W · 131 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15c5…4692backed Doosan Bears | 48c | 34.67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 403 | 51.4%207 W · 196 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2725…e7d1backed Doosan Bears | 51c | 33.93$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.33 | 358 | 49.4%177 W · 181 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed LG Twins | 48c | 31.38$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.33 | 515 | 45.2%233 W · 282 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked LG Twins | 47c | 28.86$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.44 | 1,140 | 43%490 W · 650 L | -37.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked LG Twins | 45c | 26.8$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.74 | 486 | 53.7%261 W · 225 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed LG Twins | 46c | 26.09$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.09 | 589 | 38.9%229 W · 360 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9106…f5bdbacked LG Twins | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb1…e1d6backed LG Twins | 45c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f59…f807backed LG Twins | 50c | 23.7$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.85 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +3.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd23d…cc55backed Doosan Bears | 50c | 23.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf41f…8e1ebacked LG Twins | 50c | 23.6$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.8 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.36per pick | 50cpaid | +71.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6585…1f0abacked Doosan Bears | 50c | 23.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.0wins | -0.38per pick | 50cpaid | -75%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2638…8e2dbacked Doosan Bears | 52c | 22.21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 132 | 52.3%69 W · 63 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0d…4763backed Doosan Bears | 50c | 21.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -60%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2eae…a902backed LG Twins | 50c | 21.8$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.9 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +3.0wins | +0.38per pick | 50cpaid | +75%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2e94…776bbacked Doosan Bears | 51c | 20.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc73a…105cbacked Doosan Bears | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0263…dd37backed Doosan Bears | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e4…7765backed LG Twins | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa80b…02d6backed Doosan Bears | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x170a…c8a9backed Doosan Bears | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 106 | 61.3%65 W · 41 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Doosan Bears | 72c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 352 | 48%169 W · 183 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.