Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C or higher on June 4?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa6bac01393548f7e2793f7c297052c1b9383483ffa93b8b499f235bd70e92918
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,304
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,441
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,304 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6973…b296backed Yes | 24c | 1,467$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357 | 137 | 28.5%39 W · 98 L | +10.4wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2d…feb5backed Yes | 2c | 949.06$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x652d…46b3backed Yes | 1c | 768.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 618 | 20.7%128 W · 490 L | +36.9wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes | 13c | 499.99$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.73 | 4,496 | 19.6%882 W · 3,614 L | +49.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 14c | 488.88$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.53 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 64c | 481.6$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.21 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e06…9754backed Yes | 20c | 473.4$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.82 | 136 | 30.1%41 W · 95 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93a4…af3ebacked Yes | 47c | 461.33$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.67 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +20%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 47c | 412.4$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.02 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f19…e819backed No | 75c | 399.42$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.42 | 529 | 35.7%189 W · 340 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 36c | 329.52$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.83 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c57…372dbacked Yes | 39c | 316.25$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.86 | 1,531 | 24.2%371 W · 1,160 L | +15.4wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Yes | 5c | 315.82$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.19 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 9c | 298.71$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.11 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 13c | 296$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.43 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed Yes | 23c | 283.49$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.99 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83bd…a2a0backed Yes | 11c | 281.66$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.29 | 37 | 13.5%5 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 19c | 274.4$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.33 | 601 | 21%126 W · 475 L | -25.4wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 19c | 272.9$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.02 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…e5debacked Yes | 14c | 243.67$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.06 | 312 | 19.9%62 W · 250 L | -40.4wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 26c | 234.43$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.69 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x1775…85b0backed Yes | 21c | 233.81$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.09 | 366 | 48.4%177 W · 189 L | +25.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…8112backed Yes | 13c | 225$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.09 | 1,727 | 18%311 W · 1,416 L | +74.3wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x567f…94b9backed Yes | 8c | 222.4$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 489 | 19.2%94 W · 395 L | -38.7wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7581…2ca4backed Yes | 11c | 210.14$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.45 | 208 | 33.2%69 W · 139 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 43c | 200$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.34 | 349 | 18.9%66 W · 283 L | +18.7wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61f7…f8debacked Yes | 14c | 193.6$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.74 | 287 | 42.5%122 W · 165 L | +24.3wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb6f1…710bbacked Yes | 70c | 185.08$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea12…993bbacked Yes | 49c | 185$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -9.2wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa255…5cbcbacked Yes | 32c | 184.43$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.8 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe985…8cc8backed Yes | 7c | 178.56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 83 | 25.3%21 W · 62 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca06…b2c4backed Yes | 12c | 178.36$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.05 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ecf…c85dbacked Yes | 15c | 175.9$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.24 | 43 | 11.6%5 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6854…67d0backed No | 44c | 168.09$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.78 | 617 | 52.8%326 W · 291 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 59c | 167.95$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.18 | 2,075 | 58.9%1,223 W · 852 L | +102.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 14c | 162.01$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.66 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…88edbacked Yes | 30c | 161.8$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.06 | 566 | 27.7%157 W · 409 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 62c | 160.42$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.25 | 2,118 | 59.1%1,251 W · 867 L | +107.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1b…da1ebacked Yes | 17c | 157.65$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.18 | 259 | 46.3%120 W · 139 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96b0…67c5backed Yes | 36c | 156.54$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.69 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce3…4291backed Yes | 21c | 152.45$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.67 | 2,165 | 23.8%516 W · 1,649 L | +83.8wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0941…b254backed Yes | 32c | 151.63$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.93 | 119 | 35.3%42 W · 77 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5965…33b5backed No | 71c | 141.07$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.07 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7439…b8efbacked Yes | 77c | 136.5$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.33 | 132 | 38.6%51 W · 81 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4885…2236backed Yes | 54c | 125.1$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.46 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Yes | 54c | 120.37$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 1,026 | 64%657 W · 369 L | +49.8wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff7…82c5backed Yes | 25c | 117.97$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.52 | 115 | 15.7%18 W · 97 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 66c | 112.72$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.16 | 2,099 | 58.3%1,224 W · 875 L | +83.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1d…de1cbacked Yes | 53c | 111.38$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.82 | 146 | 45.2%66 W · 80 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7fc…69a1backed Yes | 14c | 110.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 34cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed No | 72c | 109.17$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.13 | 481 | 49.5%238 W · 243 L | -26.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 58c | 107.11$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.49 | 2,090 | 56.7%1,186 W · 904 L | +60.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98d1…019abacked Yes | 23c | 106.87$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 255 | 36.9%94 W · 161 L | +17.3wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4c…ea41backed Yes | 16c | 99.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 710 | 31.5%224 W · 486 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59dc…2a03backed Yes | 17c | 99.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 16c | 99.06$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.04 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3822…e667backed Yes | 12c | 94.69$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.37 | 34 | 8.8%3 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 63c | 94.16$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.22 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1838…29b4backed Yes | 45c | 93.88$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.39 | 963 | 13.7%132 W · 831 L | +33.9wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 68c | 88.84$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.18 | 2,050 | 57.4%1,177 W · 873 L | +72.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 69c | 87.69$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.28 | 2,432 | 60.4%1,470 W · 962 L | +30.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 62c | 81.51$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.66 | 2,065 | 56.3%1,163 W · 902 L | +56.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 57c | 80.23$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.33 | 2,093 | 57.1%1,196 W · 897 L | +71.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed No | 44c | 79.69$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.45 | 999 | 61.8%617 W · 382 L | +19.0wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 70c | 79.28$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.69 | 2,046 | 57%1,167 W · 879 L | +73.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7a…4d23backed Yes | 14c | 77.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 987 | 38.1%376 W · 611 L | +80.8wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 55c | 77.09$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.34 | 2,124 | 57.4%1,220 W · 904 L | +69.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a9…ab06backed No | 71c | 76.41$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.31 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x784b…f19ebacked Yes | 15c | 75.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc55…522bbacked Yes | 17c | 74.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.45 | 178 | 31.5%56 W · 122 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f74…8774backed Yes | 22c | 70$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.32 | 212 | 36.8%78 W · 134 L | +14.2wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb51…329bbacked Yes | 76c | 68.57$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.16 | 64 | 26.6%17 W · 47 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe49f…b083backed Yes | 18c | 68$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 188 | 37.2%70 W · 118 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc950…9420backed Yes | 26c | 66.88$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 130 | 35.4%46 W · 84 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b70…12b4backed Yes | 30c | 63.41$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.93 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +10.1wins | +0.18per pick | 40cpaid | +77.2%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6468…a30bbacked Yes | 78c | 62.16$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.78 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc176…5d01backed Yes | 36c | 60.87$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 104 | 63.5%66 W · 38 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1933…1a53backed Yes | 41c | 59.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 130 | 51.5%67 W · 63 L | +7.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5398…ceb0backed Yes | 29c | 52.53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +10.6wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 69c | 51.82$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 2,102 | 56.5%1,188 W · 914 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcda9…fee5backed Yes | 53c | 50.79$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.77 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a582backed Yes | 36c | 44.08$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef2…faa5backed No | 33c | 41.23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.56 | 428 | 49.5%212 W · 216 L | +45.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +23%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc120…a7e3backed No | 45c | 41$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.6 | 1,299 | 54.1%703 W · 596 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes | 62c | 40$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 227 | 46.7%106 W · 121 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 65c | 39.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.17 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x803a…219ebacked No | 77c | 39.62$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.93 | 262 | 65.6%172 W · 90 L | +14.2wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8f…f793backed Yes | 39c | 37.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef0d…ef1cbacked No | 54c | 36.69$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 218 | 48.6%106 W · 112 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfff1…12e4backed No | 49c | 33.09$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -5.2wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No | 48c | 32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.76 | 435 | 63.9%278 W · 157 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab5…8a41backed Yes | 67c | 29.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 55c | 26.56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.04 | 2,118 | 58.2%1,233 W · 885 L | +78.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd372…04bebacked Yes | 38c | 26.36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 120 | 52.5%63 W · 57 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf51b…ca1bbacked Yes | 45c | 22.1$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,275 | 34%433 W · 842 L | +46.2wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 80c | 22$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 2,010 | 61.5%1,237 W · 773 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e1f…bbd6backed No | 79c | 21.29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28fe…1640backed No | 58c | 20.66$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.76 | 29 | 82.8%24 W · 5 L | +7.3wins | +0.25per pick | 58cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe442…1e49backed No | 54c | 19.28$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.84 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a7…396dbacked Yes | 74c | 17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.57 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.17per pick | 64cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C or higher on June 4?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on June 4?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 4?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 4?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 4?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 4?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.