Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 4?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7b00b7c088ea947d1c142766c3df86eca45593ee9bebc0edf461f26f23843798
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,613
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,572
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,613 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 149 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xafde…3e1dbacked Yes | 33c | 826.78$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.09 | 1,331 | 20.8%277 W · 1,054 L | +33.9wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6973…b296backed Yes | 39c | 791.32$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.83 | 137 | 28.5%39 W · 98 L | +10.4wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0941…b254backed Yes | 24c | 557.85$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.49 | 119 | 35.3%42 W · 77 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c57…372dbacked Yes | 27c | 552.4$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.71 | 1,531 | 24.2%371 W · 1,160 L | +15.4wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 54c | 481.6$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.29 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 38c | 390.39$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.72 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 15c | 389$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.51 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked No | 19c | 368.54$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.28 | 601 | 21%126 W · 475 L | -25.4wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f19…e819backed Yes | 32c | 313.04$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.04 | 529 | 35.7%189 W · 340 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 23c | 309.77$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.51 | 1,525 | 52.6%802 W · 723 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 50c | 308.73$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.76 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a7c…d7b8backed No | 44c | 306.06$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.51 | 225 | 50.7%114 W · 111 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 48c | 282.36$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.88 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked Yes | 75c | 253.37$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.35 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b8…b518backed No | 73c | 234.44$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.39 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1104…1f70backed Yes | 51c | 219.99$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.39 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae6…7485backed No | 41c | 209.62$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.9 | 69 | 26.1%18 W · 51 L | -11.5wins | -0.17per pick | 43cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes | 35c | 205$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.55 | 4,496 | 19.6%882 W · 3,614 L | +49.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…88edbacked Yes | 36c | 203.58$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.65 | 566 | 27.7%157 W · 409 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23d8…f6b9backed No | 74c | 200$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.06 | 251 | 75.7%190 W · 61 L | +24.7wins | +0.10per pick | 66cpaid | +14%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 24c | 200$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151 | 349 | 18.9%66 W · 283 L | +18.7wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93a4…af3ebacked Yes | 61c | 194.3$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.87 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +20%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 27c | 190.1$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 886 | 50.2%445 W · 441 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa054…a95dbacked Yes | 41c | 186.28$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.55 | 399 | 66.2%264 W · 135 L | +33.6wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 36c | 179.99$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.09 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x6854…67d0backed No | 54c | 177.11$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.03 | 617 | 52.8%326 W · 291 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1838…29b4backed No | 24c | 172.05$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.83 | 963 | 13.7%132 W · 831 L | +33.9wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 28c | 171$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.68 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea12…993bbacked Yes | 45c | 165$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.63 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -9.2wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff6…e4fbbacked No | 48c | 161.49$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.6 | 653 | 53.4%349 W · 304 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0db3…5704backed Yes | 15c | 150$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.5 | 190 | 22.1%42 W · 148 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f74…8774backed Yes | 35c | 150$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.5 | 212 | 36.8%78 W · 134 L | +14.2wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked No | 16c | 142.19$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.08 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 38c | 138.18$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.87 | 2,090 | 56.7%1,186 W · 904 L | +60.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe85e…79febacked Yes | 29c | 135.92$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.7 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98d1…019abacked Yes | 19c | 132.66$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.66 | 255 | 36.9%94 W · 161 L | +17.3wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed No | 71c | 132.3$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes | 51c | 130.49$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.78 | 227 | 46.7%106 W · 121 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef2…faa5backed Yes | 45c | 129.32$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.58 | 428 | 49.5%212 W · 216 L | +45.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +23%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x80e1…47a8backed No | 80c | 125.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.87 | 242 | 62.4%151 W · 91 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1775…85b0backed No | 32c | 121.02$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.92 | 366 | 48.4%177 W · 189 L | +25.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed No | 40c | 115.55$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.79 | 1,554 | 33.1%515 W · 1,039 L | -66.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…064abacked No | 73c | 111.76$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.58 | 2,555 | 63.8%1,631 W · 924 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b72…a958backed No | 73c | 110.22$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.46 | 686 | 45.8%314 W · 372 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc55…522bbacked Yes | 27c | 110$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.63 | 178 | 31.5%56 W · 122 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 27c | 103.62$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.06 | 2,118 | 58.2%1,233 W · 885 L | +78.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 49c | 102.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.48 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa817…95d7backed Yes | 31c | 101$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.92 | 169 | 34.9%59 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4885…2236backed Yes | 48c | 100.63$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.61 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a12…f7fdbacked Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.5 | 160 | 45.6%73 W · 87 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5fb…b01bbacked Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 104 | 34.6%36 W · 68 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4c…ea41backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 710 | 31.5%224 W · 486 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61f7…f8debacked Yes | 19c | 99.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.99 | 287 | 42.5%122 W · 165 L | +24.3wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7740…a03cbacked Yes | 18c | 99.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.49 | 74 | 25.7%19 W · 55 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c4a…31e3backed Yes | 23c | 99.37$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.46 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +5.2wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked No | 50c | 97.07$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.09 | 1,026 | 60.8%624 W · 402 L | +11.0wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63a1…0212backed No | 23c | 95.38$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.58 | 252 | 58.7%148 W · 104 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 44c | 94.21$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.27 | 2,065 | 56.3%1,163 W · 902 L | +56.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…ea54backed No | 71c | 92.76$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.78 | 284 | 41.2%117 W · 167 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 49c | 91.41$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.49 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89b4…55bcbacked Yes | 30c | 90$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.9 | 930 | 34%316 W · 614 L | +53.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 50c | 87.57$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.71 | 2,432 | 60.4%1,470 W · 962 L | +30.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff7…82c5backed Yes | 25c | 84.84$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.63 | 115 | 15.7%18 W · 97 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…e5debacked No | 30c | 83.34$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.24 | 312 | 19.9%62 W · 250 L | -40.4wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 46c | 81.51$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.47 | 2,099 | 58.3%1,224 W · 875 L | +83.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 27c | 79.43$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.14 | 2,075 | 58.9%1,223 W · 852 L | +102.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad6…29f2backed No | 65c | 76.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 40c | 76.3$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.63 | 2,093 | 57.1%1,196 W · 897 L | +71.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27ab…e521backed No | 74c | 74.71$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.33 | 659 | 65.4%431 W · 228 L | -12.7wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 47c | 72.04$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.14 | 2,102 | 56.5%1,188 W · 914 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7a…4d23backed Yes | 27c | 71.39$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.97 | 987 | 38.1%376 W · 611 L | +80.8wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xca85…fe6cbacked Yes | 30c | 67.54$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.19 | 222 | 36.5%81 W · 141 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 25c | 67.36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.27 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc176…5d01backed Yes | 71c | 66.19$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.23 | 104 | 63.5%66 W · 38 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7fc…69a1backed Yes | 31c | 64.87$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.87 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 34cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe49f…b083backed Yes | 27c | 64$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.88 | 188 | 37.2%70 W · 118 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 66c | 63.37$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.9 | 2,010 | 61.5%1,237 W · 773 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe11d…44ecbacked No | 40c | 63.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.25 | 180 | 41.7%75 W · 105 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed Yes | 42c | 62.15$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.15 | 1,018 | 60.2%613 W · 405 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90e2…fc3fbacked No | 48c | 60.37$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.95 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa811…75b8backed No | 78c | 59.38$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.17 | 60 | 70%42 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 73cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ac…f23dbacked Yes | 31c | 58.91$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.53 | 335 | 35.2%118 W · 217 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce3…4291backed Yes | 23c | 58.45$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.03 | 2,165 | 23.8%516 W · 1,649 L | +83.8wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 21c | 58.1$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 1,991 | 52.3%1,042 W · 949 L | -76.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e06…9754backed Yes | 46c | 58.05$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.07 | 136 | 30.1%41 W · 95 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 58c | 57.92$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.71 | 2,118 | 59.1%1,251 W · 867 L | +107.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 72c | 56.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.04 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71b5…6dabbacked No | 48c | 55.86$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.95 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked No | 62c | 55.47$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.17 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12ea…a131backed No | 77c | 53.41$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.15 | 985 | 65.1%641 W · 344 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked Yes | 26c | 52.93$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.97 | 2,046 | 57%1,167 W · 879 L | +73.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 36c | 52.56$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.73 | 2,068 | 55.9%1,156 W · 912 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f32…2cc1backed Yes | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09a8…47c1backed Yes | 75c | 49$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 418 | 45.2%189 W · 229 L | +14.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4bf…ef7cbacked Yes | 41c | 48.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.55 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -37%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 75c | 48.12$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.89 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2733…5ae8backed Yes | 23c | 43.48$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.48 | 57 | 33.3%19 W · 38 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a0…b85dbacked Yes | 54c | 42.76$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.76 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 62c | 42.59$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1933…1a53backed Yes | 64c | 42.45$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.25 | 130 | 51.5%67 W · 63 L | +7.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 4?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on June 4?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 4?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 4?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 4?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C or higher on June 4?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.