Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 4?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xced27e1a58073c3393d4e6e74bf0c347ad4c24a20bda2d67e69fd6db83177bee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,311
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,515
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,311 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x09a8…47c1backed Yes | 1c | 2,143$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.25 | 418 | 45.2%189 W · 229 L | +14.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5154…aa32backed Yes | 1c | 871.43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.97 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.17per pick | 36cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked Yes | 17c | 862.7$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.22 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed Yes | 11c | 388.95$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.03 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked Yes | 9c | 372.73$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.94 | 2,267 | 18%407 W · 1,860 L | -9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3016…54e9backed Yes | 19c | 367.55$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.19 | 136 | 14.7%20 W · 116 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec86…60e4backed Yes | 19c | 343.03$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.53 | 1,163 | 38.2%444 W · 719 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a0…b85dbacked Yes | 30c | 334.66$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce3…4291backed Yes | 5c | 332.31$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.51 | 2,165 | 23.8%516 W · 1,649 L | +83.8wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c57…372dbacked Yes | 19c | 326.35$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.24 | 1,531 | 24.2%371 W · 1,160 L | +15.4wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36f6…ae14backed No | 63c | 316.77$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.77 | 116 | 63.8%74 W · 42 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1512…079bbacked No | 64c | 310.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.51 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3ecf…c85dbacked Yes | 11c | 307.09$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.99 | 43 | 11.6%5 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x103e…78b5backed No | 66c | 305.28$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.28 | 161 | 34.2%55 W · 106 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 21c | 305.11$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.53 | 349 | 18.9%66 W · 283 L | +18.7wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 80c | 296$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.34 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff7…82c5backed Yes | 6c | 279.01$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.51 | 115 | 15.7%18 W · 97 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…e5debacked Yes | 15c | 275.06$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.13 | 312 | 19.9%62 W · 250 L | -40.4wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…1cf9backed Yes | 35c | 263.82$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.42 | 287 | 37.6%108 W · 179 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f19…e819backed Yes | 8c | 256.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 529 | 35.7%189 W · 340 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 15c | 226.42$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x89b4…55bcbacked Yes | 7c | 221.25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 930 | 34%316 W · 614 L | +53.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 29c | 218.12$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.62 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Yes | 13c | 207.76$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.39 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f8…f4cbbacked Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 812 | 34.1%277 W · 535 L | +56.9wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…ea54backed Yes | 33c | 199.34$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.78 | 284 | 41.2%117 W · 167 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc55…522bbacked Yes | 21c | 183.9$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.04 | 178 | 31.5%56 W · 122 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f4…1e34backed Yes | 28c | 182.71$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.38 | 1,312 | 45%590 W · 722 L | +33.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca85…fe6cbacked Yes | 6c | 166.04$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 222 | 36.5%81 W · 141 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed54…4967backed Yes | 8c | 164.71$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 498 | 54.6%272 W · 226 L | +46.4wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3822…e667backed Yes | 8c | 161.09$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 34 | 8.8%3 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…88edbacked Yes | 16c | 156.11$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.55 | 566 | 27.7%157 W · 409 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0729…5f54backed No | 77c | 151.05$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.11 | 671 | 58.6%393 W · 278 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 23c | 148.67$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.3 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 13c | 144.51$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.47 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f74…8774backed Yes | 31c | 142.35$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.21 | 212 | 36.8%78 W · 134 L | +14.2wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6f…0e20backed Yes | 32c | 140$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 914 | 44.7%409 W · 505 L | +16.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5470…0af7backed No | 73c | 137.34$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.34 | 328 | 72%236 W · 92 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 73cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3507…71d7backed No | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 333 | 73%243 W · 90 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 73cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff6…e4fbbacked No | 70c | 130.55$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.61 | 653 | 53.4%349 W · 304 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7355…a4febacked Yes | 37c | 120.87$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x567f…94b9backed Yes | 14c | 115.43$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.39 | 489 | 19.2%94 W · 395 L | -38.7wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 22c | 108.93$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.96 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe605…914fbacked Yes | 34c | 102.6$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 114 | 38.6%44 W · 70 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 75c | 101.31$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.05 | 2,432 | 60.4%1,470 W · 962 L | +30.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5fb…b01bbacked Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 104 | 34.6%36 W · 68 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4c…ea41backed Yes | 29c | 99.98$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 710 | 31.5%224 W · 486 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x019c…e8d2backed Yes | 35c | 80.11$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.04 | 565 | 43.5%246 W · 319 L | -31.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2429…7b51backed No | 75c | 77.34$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.14 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 72c | 74.79$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.71 | 886 | 50.2%445 W · 441 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27ab…e521backed No | 69c | 74.71$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.98 | 659 | 65.4%431 W · 228 L | -12.7wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeadb…898ebacked Yes | 36c | 69.68$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.28 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12ea…a131backed No | 66c | 69.05$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.39 | 985 | 65.1%641 W · 344 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0941…b254backed Yes | 27c | 68.97$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.52 | 119 | 35.3%42 W · 77 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed Yes | 32c | 64.83$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.73 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe85e…79febacked Yes | 30c | 64.53$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.08 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe49f…b083backed Yes | 28c | 62.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 188 | 37.2%70 W · 118 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 73c | 62$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.58 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c9e…8d54backed No | 64c | 59$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.24 | 276 | 69.2%191 W · 85 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 72cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 62c | 52.87$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.87 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafb8…7451backed Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 93 | 35.5%33 W · 60 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 34c | 50.38$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.27 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc018…b251backed Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 111 | 38.7%43 W · 68 L | +9.2wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x073e…453fbacked Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c4a…31e3backed Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +5.2wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad58…7624backed Yes | 34c | 49.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 542 | 32.3%175 W · 367 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c11…33c9backed No | 77c | 49.53$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.31 | 896 | 61.7%553 W · 343 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 68c | 48.13$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.38 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf27a…78d8backed No | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 249 | 42.6%106 W · 143 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x445f…cc13backed Yes | 37c | 45.52$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.84 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3c…ddd0backed No | 66c | 45.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.33 | 466 | 67.6%315 W · 151 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +334.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51d9…b0aebacked No | 67c | 45.04$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.86 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4885…2236backed Yes | 29c | 40.32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked Yes | 32c | 39.34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.41 | 4,514 | 52.9%2,389 W · 2,125 L | +47.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98d1…019abacked Yes | 33c | 38.73$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.69 | 255 | 36.9%94 W · 161 L | +17.3wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 79c | 34.67$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.16 | 2,075 | 58.9%1,223 W · 852 L | +102.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ea7…e13fbacked Yes | 31c | 34.06$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 59 | 25.4%15 W · 44 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 76c | 32.07$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.67 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa98a…a5a8backed No | 73c | 30.19$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.02 | 2,015 | 67.7%1,365 W · 650 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0253…bcadbacked Yes | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x177b…6e61backed No | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 124 | 58.1%72 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7164…24fabacked No | 71c | 29.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed No | 70c | 29.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.76 | 481 | 49.5%238 W · 243 L | -26.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1798…1ce9backed No | 71c | 28.16$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 2,428 | 44.9%1,091 W · 1,337 L | -31.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf06e…291bbacked No | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -55%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 70c | 25.57$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.77 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41fa…7cc4backed No | 63c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.34 | 792 | 55.2%437 W · 355 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 74c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 72c | 21.65$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.06 | 2,010 | 61.5%1,237 W · 773 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 69c | 20.89$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.41 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0c…a853backed No | 69c | 20.32$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 2,249 | 34.2%769 W · 1,480 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2be…ff33backed No | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 1,203 | 48.9%588 W · 615 L | -24.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f5d…3384backed No | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 282 | 70.2%198 W · 84 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x746d…2db5backed No | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 74 | 67.6%50 W · 24 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…2132backed No | 73c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.13 | 714 | 64.3%459 W · 255 L | -37.4wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 79c | 16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.36 | 2,093 | 57.1%1,196 W · 897 L | +71.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x607c…aadbbacked No | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d60…6df2backed No | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 257 | 66.1%170 W · 87 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 4?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on June 4?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 4?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 4?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 4?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C or higher on June 4?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.