NBA · resolved market
Magic vs. Warriors
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa7883731b193538e2e1f1dae7282077cc0fe25da2fa33c18500faef0cda48da8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Warriorsof Magic, Warriors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $539,395
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $598,155
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $539,395 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 364 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e80…59e8backed Magic | 43c | 198,472$84,431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84,431.45 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Warriors | 64c | 62,571$39,797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,773.54 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Warriors | 59c | 51,036$30,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,702.97 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Warriors | 57c | 33,590$19,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,288.42 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc0…f722backed Warriors | 57c | 26,279$15,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,269.34 | 126 | 63.5%80 W · 46 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Magic | 25c | 13,353$3,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,276.87 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabda…a053backed Warriors | 59c | 10,028$5,916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,111.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbef5…c761backed Magic | 41c | 10,023$4,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,109.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96a7…b04bbacked Magic | 40c | 10,011$4,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,004.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7363…f435backed Warriors | 60c | 10,011$6,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,004.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf482…d3c3backed Magic | 17c | 9,295$1,539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,538.79 | 95 | 34.7%33 W · 62 L | +7.9wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Warriors | 58c | 9,000$5,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,780 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d4…6f09backed Magic | 35c | 5,904$2,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,074.03 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Magic | 25c | 5,700$1,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,425 | 345 | 32.8%113 W · 232 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Magic | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 335 | 0%0 W · 335 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0360…7be1backed Warriors | 57c | 4,811$2,742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,068.7 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Warriors | 63c | 3,870$2,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,445.66 | 190 | 33.7%64 W · 126 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f3…d82cbacked Warriors | 61c | 3,500$2,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,364.99 | 155 | 51%79 W · 76 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Warriors | 52c | 2,811$1,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,362.81 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Warriors | 57c | 2,700$1,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,161 | 194 | 48.5%94 W · 100 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Warriors | 58c | 2,600$1,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,090 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa27b…5d5cbacked Magic | 30c | 2,541$769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768.92 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe626…2fe6backed Warriors | 60c | 2,489$1,506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$983.37 | 95 | 72.6%69 W · 26 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Magic | 41c | 2,015$818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$817.61 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98fd…b575backed Warriors | 59c | 2,000$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819.99 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2fd…b3cebacked Magic | 41c | 1,999$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.58 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -44%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Magic | 42c | 1,951$818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$818.24 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Warriors | 58c | 1,950$1,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$813.32 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3603…ac36backed Warriors | 60c | 1,674$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.11 | 113 | 55.8%63 W · 50 L | +10.2wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x66f9…d179backed Warriors | 59c | 1,661$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.98 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Warriors | 60c | 1,628$977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.17 | 296 | 35.8%106 W · 190 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Warriors | 58c | 1,532$893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.31 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc82e…9460backed Warriors | 59c | 1,517$899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.28 | 170 | 44.1%75 W · 95 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Magic | 40c | 1,500$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Warriors | 59c | 1,364$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.97 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c4a…15c7backed Magic | 41c | 1,356$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.59 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf00f…711abacked Warriors | 59c | 1,260$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.35 | 170 | 47.1%80 W · 90 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Warriors | 59c | 1,250$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.5 | 379 | 54.1%205 W · 174 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb6e…ba8dbacked Magic | 40c | 1,247$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.68 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1392…ab2abacked Magic | 40c | 1,200$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Magic | 40c | 1,153$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.23 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2d…e123backed Warriors | 59c | 1,100$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Warriors | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Warriors | 60c | 942.41$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.96 | 436 | 53.2%232 W · 204 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed1…f3a5backed Magic | 41c | 841.99$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.22 | 40 | 22.5%9 W · 31 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -32%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x026a…2f8abacked Warriors | 40c | 833.33$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Magic | 40c | 750$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 191 | 47.6%91 W · 100 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Warriors | 59c | 750$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.5 | 339 | 45.1%153 W · 186 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2d…27e6backed Warriors | 42c | 714.29$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.29 | 81 | 22.2%18 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6aab…9c4cbacked Warriors | 80c | 699.58$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.92 | 296 | 61.5%182 W · 114 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x721c…9bfcbacked Magic | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Warriors | 50c | 610.4$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.55 | 417 | 42%175 W · 242 L | -16.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61ea…d0c1backed Magic | 3c | 593.74$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.81 | 137 | 27.7%38 W · 99 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Magic | 2c | 592.17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Warriors | 68c | 572.24$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.91 | 472 | 29.4%139 W · 333 L | -33.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x089b…2193backed Warriors | 54c | 555$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.3 | 277 | 31.4%87 W · 190 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd88…1ca6backed Warriors | 80c | 531.98$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.4 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | -17.8wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf8f5…0c2cbacked Warriors | 46c | 529.66$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.25 | 71 | 40.8%29 W · 42 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Magic | 41c | 513.98$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.73 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Warriors | 58c | 509$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.22 | 876 | 47.5%416 W · 460 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…e019backed Warriors | 59c | 500.3$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.55 | 300 | 61.7%185 W · 115 L | +23.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Warriors | 58c | 500$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.4 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Warriors | 58c | 500$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Magic | 34c | 497.32$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.81 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4254…e52fbacked Warriors | 59c | 479.24$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.24 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Warriors | 58c | 456.81$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193 | 350 | 46%161 W · 189 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23be…da4fbacked Magic | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 336 | 38.1%128 W · 208 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x444e…ab89backed Magic | 40c | 415$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73f0…3d28backed Magic | 35c | 410$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.7 | 364 | 34.9%127 W · 237 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Warriors | 58c | 399.97$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.99 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Warriors | 58c | 387.99$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.25 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc745…9499backed Magic | 27c | 380$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.6 | 164 | 40.9%67 W · 97 L | -11.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Warriors | 60c | 359.45$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.78 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd6c…42b2backed Magic | 53c | 357.53$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.49 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2798…3d88backed Magic | 36c | 317.8$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Magic | 18c | 305.56$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 380 | 27.1%103 W · 277 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Warriors | 58c | 305.01$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.81 | 623 | 49.6%309 W · 314 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…7ff3backed Warriors | 60c | 300$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 286 | 51.4%147 W · 139 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef63…96cbbacked Magic | 24c | 300$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 378 | 31.2%118 W · 260 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad1…a60ebacked Magic | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a1…c837backed Warriors | 59c | 262.71$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf4…54debacked Magic | 42c | 262.15$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x861e…e811backed Magic | 41c | 253.66$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e40…b450backed Warriors | 60c | 253.33$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.33 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f88…6c0dbacked Warriors | 60c | 251.67$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.67 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe515…77f9backed Magic | 41c | 251.22$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb1…aebebacked Magic | 41c | 250.07$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.92 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Warriors | 55c | 250$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0b…f9d6backed Warriors | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91ed…e60abacked Magic | 29c | 250$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.5 | 153 | 16.3%25 W · 128 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x34bf…ee9ebacked Warriors | 60c | 250$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +44%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91e7…7a67backed Warriors | 60c | 249.61$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.61 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11a6…4421backed Magic | 41c | 249.04$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3efd…cde3backed Magic | 41c | 249.02$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3443…a2ffbacked Warriors | 60c | 249$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.6 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d35…ea5bbacked Magic | 42c | 247.62$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b2…5845backed Warriors | 59c | 247.46$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.46 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc74b…0599backed Magic | 41c | 246.8$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9825…0b95backed Magic | 40c | 246.42$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.78 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd6…3fbdbacked Warriors | 60c | 245.94$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.94 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.