Cricket · resolved market
T20 Blast: Somerset vs Northamptonshire
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa8351e9b85f1e35c0181340118906bb6e5cb56d2cfca0808a0620ee05a504909
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Somersetof Somerset, Northamptonshire
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,372
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,194
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,372 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa4b7…6008backed Somerset | 60c | 2,232$1,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$893.84 | 333 | 40.2%134 W · 199 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Somerset | 51c | 851.91$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.81 | 641 | 43.1%276 W · 365 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e5…d1f0backed Northamptonshire | 40c | 673.64$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269 | 127 | 37.8%48 W · 79 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Somerset | 51c | 598.75$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.69 | 492 | 47.2%232 W · 260 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x518f…cf91backed Northamptonshire | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Northamptonshire | 24c | 482.13$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.59 | 230 | 33.9%78 W · 152 L | -18.8wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x351d…8574backed Northamptonshire | 20c | 475$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 81 | 13.6%11 W · 70 L | -12.7wins | -0.16per pick | 29cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Northamptonshire | 49c | 373.49$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.01 | 103 | 46.6%48 W · 55 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8806…d9f1backed Northamptonshire | 25c | 370.52$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.13 | 77 | 19.5%15 W · 62 L | -13.1wins | -0.17per pick | 36cpaid | -31%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Somerset | 64c | 365.87$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.16 | 636 | 46.4%295 W · 341 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Northamptonshire | 38c | 350$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.65 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Northamptonshire | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 186 | 42.5%79 W · 107 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Northamptonshire | 45c | 281.33$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.39 | 438 | 40.9%179 W · 259 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Northamptonshire | 49c | 235.05$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.68 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Northamptonshire | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Somerset | 69c | 152.35$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.51 | 569 | 37.1%211 W · 358 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Somerset | 79c | 149.06$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.32 | 763 | 51.6%394 W · 369 L | +29.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Northamptonshire | 27c | 139.95$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.81 | 319 | 40.1%128 W · 191 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Somerset | 75c | 131.39$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.55 | 296 | 31.1%92 W · 204 L | -16.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Somerset | 53c | 128.9$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.02 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Northamptonshire | 42c | 113.35$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.41 | 419 | 47.5%199 W · 220 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf7…8279backed Somerset | 79c | 111.7$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.9 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0be…8d08backed Northamptonshire | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 199 | 58.8%117 W · 82 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Somerset | 61c | 99.28$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.64 | 654 | 51.1%334 W · 320 L | +26.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked Somerset | 50c | 98.92$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.67 | 97 | 35.1%34 W · 63 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0d…ca21backed Northamptonshire | 43c | 86.94$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.59 | 203 | 42.4%86 W · 117 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked Somerset | 49c | 84.9$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.3 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +7.6wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7e50…4b22backed Northamptonshire | 50c | 68.06$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.03 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Somerset | 53c | 63$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.61 | 199 | 50.8%101 W · 98 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d09…1167backed Northamptonshire | 23c | 62.97$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Somerset | 66c | 56$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 159 | 36.5%58 W · 101 L | -12.5wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Northamptonshire | 42c | 51$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.57 | 155 | 50.3%78 W · 77 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Somerset | 78c | 42$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Northamptonshire | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff1…4766backed Somerset | 50c | 39.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.51 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…d3aebacked Somerset | 77c | 35.86$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +4.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Northamptonshire | 41c | 29.61$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.13 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Northamptonshire | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Somerset | 70c | 27.82$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.43 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c0…d9cfbacked Somerset | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 228 | 43.9%100 W · 128 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3637…21a4backed Somerset | 49c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.22 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -27%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fc…38d5backed Northamptonshire | 51c | 21.65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 91 | 40.7%37 W · 54 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x113f…ae4dbacked Somerset | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Somerset | 78c | 17.09$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.69 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Somerset | 72c | 15.96$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.49 | 87 | 54%47 W · 40 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.