Tennis · resolved market
Dublin: Benjamin Willwerth vs Yi Zhou
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa9ef2190567b679db44723010189355db75b763a323be1ed90b29131b0a09c76
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yi Zhouof Benjamin Willwerth, Yi Zhou
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,895
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,181
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,895 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Benjamin Willwerth | 29c | 2,062$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.6 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Benjamin Willwerth | 14c | 1,099$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.41 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d0…95babacked Benjamin Willwerth | 24c | 826.65$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.88 | 64 | 18.8%12 W · 52 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Benjamin Willwerth | 22c | 602.41$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.47 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yi Zhou | 78c | 340.01$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.09 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f9…45a7backed Yi Zhou | 67c | 300.1$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.1 | 380 | 66.3%252 W · 128 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Benjamin Willwerth | 26c | 269.22$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Yi Zhou | 74c | 266.66$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.33 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Benjamin Willwerth | 15c | 243.55$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.53 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Benjamin Willwerth | 7c | 214.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.94 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Benjamin Willwerth | 17c | 206.18$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.11 | 1,010 | 39.2%396 W · 614 L | -23.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Benjamin Willwerth | 10c | 167.01$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.87 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Yi Zhou | 80c | 160$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 920 | 46.6%429 W · 491 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d07…b9febacked Benjamin Willwerth | 9c | 151.6$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.29 | 320 | 8.8%28 W · 292 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfffa…17c5backed Benjamin Willwerth | 13c | 151.21$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.09 | 365 | 45.2%165 W · 200 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Benjamin Willwerth | 15c | 146.58$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Benjamin Willwerth | 22c | 127.27$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x023d…23acbacked Benjamin Willwerth | 16c | 112.31$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.97 | 617 | 55.9%345 W · 272 L | +18.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yi Zhou | 73c | 111.95$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.23 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe134…f6dabacked Yi Zhou | 80c | 109.86$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.41 | 239 | 54.8%131 W · 108 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yi Zhou | 72c | 100.7$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.11 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Benjamin Willwerth | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Yi Zhou | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 412 | 72.8%300 W · 112 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Benjamin Willwerth | 21c | 98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.58 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Benjamin Willwerth | 17c | 93.47$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 1,228 | 23.1%284 W · 944 L | -164.0wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -47%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Yi Zhou | 73c | 90$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.3 | 1,556 | 42.4%660 W · 896 L | +20.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1400…765dbacked Benjamin Willwerth | 16c | 87.35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 327 | 32.1%105 W · 222 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2965…0dedbacked Benjamin Willwerth | 20c | 87.15$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 585 | 39.5%231 W · 354 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yi Zhou | 75c | 81.52$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.65 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Benjamin Willwerth | 27c | 75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Benjamin Willwerth | 27c | 70.58$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.86 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a2…8ff7backed Benjamin Willwerth | 27c | 62.22$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 394 | 43.9%173 W · 221 L | +19.6wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Yi Zhou | 80c | 60$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 592 | 53.5%317 W · 275 L | +22.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Benjamin Willwerth | 21c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Yi Zhou | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 1,626 | 52.7%857 W · 769 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Yi Zhou | 71c | 48.17$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.97 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Benjamin Willwerth | 26c | 48.08$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 1,300 | 36.9%480 W · 820 L | -34.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…fe2fbacked Benjamin Willwerth | 33c | 47$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.51 | 627 | 27.3%171 W · 456 L | -15.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Benjamin Willwerth | 32c | 35.41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.33 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb0…c615backed Yi Zhou | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 84 | 56%47 W · 37 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbafb…3031backed Yi Zhou | 77c | 20.28$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.57 | 336 | 73.2%246 W · 90 L | -15.2wins | -0.05per pick | 78cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Yi Zhou | 71c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.51 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.