Tweets · resolved market
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaa8a947b3ae49d4b4850929218b78eb0a3bfcab0dd5990c442b3eb61f3325031
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,982
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,590
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,982 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7500…567fbacked Yes | 12c | 1,227$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,078.98 | 361 | 13.3%48 W · 313 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 18c | 1,105$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$905.68 | 2,552 | 13.1%335 W · 2,217 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae7c…487ebacked No | 30c | 1,035$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.11 | 122 | 32.8%40 W · 82 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce0…5f11backed Yes | 54c | 889.15$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.92 | 427 | 19.2%82 W · 345 L | +23.3wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x853c…bd03backed Yes | 73c | 815.09$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.02 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5c…6d2abacked No | 10c | 701.46$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.26 | 625 | 39.5%247 W · 378 L | +48.1wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21b7…c861backed No | 34c | 500$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -46%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 71c | 499.97$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.7 | 426 | 28.2%120 W · 306 L | -38.2wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xab54…da9fbacked Yes | 11c | 475.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.04 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +76.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes | 62c | 408.98$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.08 | 124 | 9.7%12 W · 112 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe35d…f5d5backed Yes | 8c | 319.53$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.96 | 656 | 23.2%152 W · 504 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c29…fc1bbacked No | 12c | 307.95$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93fd…7e2fbacked Yes | 66c | 250$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.25 | 572 | 22%126 W · 446 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -42%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 5c | 246.79$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.63 | 1,625 | 1.9%31 W · 1,594 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…4cc9backed Yes | 49c | 221.04$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.51 | 195 | 27.7%54 W · 141 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 21c | 194.27$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.41 | 407 | 19.7%80 W · 327 L | -18.4wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x338b…5827backed Yes | 7c | 174.21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.67 | 296 | 10.5%31 W · 265 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cf…51d2backed Yes | 12c | 164.08$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.39 | 320 | 16.6%53 W · 267 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe953…a4f9backed Yes | 68c | 145.63$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.21 | 93 | 30.1%28 W · 65 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb8…b468backed Yes | 50c | 125.02$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.16 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 78c | 119$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.15 | 797 | 35.9%286 W · 511 L | -34.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Yes | 45c | 114.34$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.75 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58cb…3cd6backed Yes | 38c | 104.08$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.85 | 100 | 24%24 W · 76 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 49c | 98.65$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.08 | 264 | 61.7%163 W · 101 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 73c | 88.44$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.87 | 229 | 26.6%61 W · 168 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1849…137ebacked Yes | 69c | 84.82$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.44 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 53c | 84.49$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.03 | 340 | 39.7%135 W · 205 L | -12.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3706…9462backed Yes | 40c | 79.57$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.81 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0de…8795backed Yes | 32c | 78.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.71 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd12…2a63backed Yes | 49c | 77.09$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +3.7wins | +0.26per pick | 31cpaid | +69.7%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 74c | 73.08$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.87 | 217 | 32.3%70 W · 147 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 24c | 71.73$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.42 | 996 | 19.8%197 W · 799 L | -15.9wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 17c | 71$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.94 | 395 | 18.7%74 W · 321 L | -57.0wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xbc23…897ebacked Yes | 71c | 70.85$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.79 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2b…a64fbacked Yes | 68c | 70.63$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +94.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7455…0432backed Yes | 28c | 65.51$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.95 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | +4.7wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed Yes | 73c | 60.11$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.28 | 249 | 32.9%82 W · 167 L | -33.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 61c | 51.55$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.24 | 510 | 18.2%93 W · 417 L | -89.7wins | -0.18per pick | 36cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1b…9bdabacked Yes | 22c | 50.34$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +127.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x899c…d868backed No | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.7 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64f9…cf15backed No | 75c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.7 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3489…7fffbacked Yes | 67c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.6 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bd0…046fbacked No | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…a567backed Yes | 40c | 46.87$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.95 | 54 | 18.5%10 W · 44 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea12…993bbacked Yes | 66c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.52 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…c19ebacked Yes | 68c | 29.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.58 | 141 | 53.9%76 W · 65 L | +13.6wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4616…a910backed No | 72c | 29.22$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.98 | 336 | 70.2%236 W · 100 L | +22.5wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef6…3e9bbacked Yes | 78c | 27.69$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.99 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Yes | 69c | 22.75$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.08 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f3d…d6a5backed No | 80c | 22.61$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.09 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf21…18debacked No | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 173 | 24.3%42 W · 131 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83d0…e8c6backed Yes | 66c | 19.33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.48 | 132 | 59.8%79 W · 53 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x687b…772ebacked Yes | 78c | 18.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked Yes | 71c | 15.41$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 145 | 75.9%110 W · 35 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 75cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?this page
- Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.