MLB · resolved market
Detroit Tigers vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xab7b18d1b4df0f3ab81e7a79f3a080e98abc2b828452e84cad39ce5abb8f39a7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,631
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,702
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,631 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed Under | 47c | 26,000$12,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,220 | 283 | 50.9%144 W · 139 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Over | 53c | 22,339$11,839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,499.13 | 469 | 49%230 W · 239 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde49…fe85backed Over | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,100 | 484 | 51%247 W · 237 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Over | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,699.99 | 362 | 46.1%167 W · 195 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 51c | 8,987$4,583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,583.46 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Under | 47c | 6,300$2,961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,961 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 48c | 1,863$894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$894.01 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…f59bbacked Under | 35c | 1,700$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.84 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Over | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Over | 55c | 1,253$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.37 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…cd6fbacked Over | 52c | 960.58$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.08 | 360 | 48.6%175 W · 185 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Under | 48c | 866$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.68 | 556 | 53.4%297 W · 259 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 48c | 602.03$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.97 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 47c | 562.48$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.9 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 53c | 536.81$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.3 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Over | 51c | 386.03$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.16 | 489 | 52.8%258 W · 231 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Under | 47c | 371.73$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.26 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 49c | 294.55$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.52 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Under | 47c | 293.75$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.06 | 237 | 58.6%139 W · 98 L | +16.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Over | 53c | 260$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.2 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Under | 47c | 213$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.11 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x134d…b07bbacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba62…3e29backed Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 221 | 49.3%109 W · 112 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 382 | 52.1%199 W · 183 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25c1…7e8ebacked Under | 47c | 151.51$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.21 | 196 | 54.1%106 W · 90 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 32c | 134$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.12 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 65c | 111.55$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 47c | 106.82$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.54 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 236 | 51.3%121 W · 115 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under | 39c | 99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.61 | 115 | 35.7%41 W · 74 L | -12.8wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 47c | 91$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.77 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 42c | 81.39$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.1 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe16…60bebacked Over | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.73 | 97 | 61.9%60 W · 37 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…5124backed Under | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 412 | 49.5%204 W · 208 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Over | 67c | 52.6$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.58 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Under | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 695 | 47.5%330 W · 365 L | -16.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Under | 54c | 49.97$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.98 | 694 | 47.6%330 W · 364 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 45c | 47.33$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 49c | 44.91$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.01 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a73…1c47backed Under | 48c | 44.36$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.24 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbd…d0dfbacked Over | 70c | 44$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 318 | 48.7%155 W · 163 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28f7…404dbacked Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 476 | 46.2%220 W · 256 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Over | 53c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 738 | 49.3%364 W · 374 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4dd…23ffbacked Over | 47c | 39.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.19 | 394 | 40.9%161 W · 233 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed Under | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 244 | 48.8%119 W · 125 L | -14.9wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x87f8…7de3backed Over | 48c | 29.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.59 | 381 | 42%160 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x787b…86c3backed Under | 47c | 23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Under | 46c | 22.04$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08b5…359dbacked Under | 47c | 21.4$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Detroit Tigers vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 7.5this page
- Detroit Tigers vs. Texas RangersDetroit Tigers won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 10.5Under won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 8.5Over won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Detroit Tigers vs. Texas RangersNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.