MLB · resolved market
Royals vs. Giants
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xac0975c5e7f13b020752ed566fa5a7beb2850548d6b68f823699c3fe4fdc692e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Royalsof Royals, Giants
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $158,040
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $161,624
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $158,040 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0273…f0cbbacked Royals | 34c | 58,992$20,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,934.71 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a39…e798backed Giants | 66c | 54,505$35,973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,973.3 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0869…3e89backed Royals | 33c | 38,605$12,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,865.35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbabd…03e7backed Giants | 67c | 38,605$25,865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,865.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c21…6abbbacked Royals | 33c | 9,998$3,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,698.66 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…34d8backed Giants | 67c | 9,998$6,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,698.66 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +27%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d89…25cdbacked Giants | 66c | 5,350$3,531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,531 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Giants | 18c | 3,960$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.97 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Giants | 11c | 3,308$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.29 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Giants | 3c | 2,585$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3060…14cabacked Royals | 36c | 2,100$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,344 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +41%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb669…ec01backed Royals | 36c | 2,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,280 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf39…4e13backed Royals | 36c | 1,900$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,216 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9598…1fd2backed Giants | 66c | 1,515$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.9 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8086…22b7backed Royals | 34c | 1,500$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Giants | 24c | 1,453$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.98 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Royals | 37c | 1,174$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736.37 | 133 | 53.4%71 W · 62 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40d2…2dfbbacked Giants | 64c | 1,120$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$716.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Giants | 66c | 1,118$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737.34 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb54b…e482backed Giants | 1c | 1,100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x696d…fae5backed Giants | 64c | 1,094$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.16 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0f…40febacked Royals | 34c | 1,050$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc91a…c6b8backed Giants | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Giants | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 205 | 23.4%48 W · 157 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8247…22f1backed Giants | 64c | 980$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e6f…04c1backed Giants | 64c | 962$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.68 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0f…6bdebacked Giants | 64c | 938$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.32 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b02…d17bbacked Giants | 64c | 906$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.84 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Royals | 34c | 899.98$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.98 | 204 | 50.5%103 W · 101 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Giants | 8c | 873$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.6 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9a…06d0backed Royals | 75c | 805.25$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.25 | 178 | 66.3%118 W · 60 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb6…8f5dbacked Giants | 22c | 789.72$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.09 | 81 | 39.5%32 W · 49 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Giants | 66c | 676.77$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.37 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Giants | 17c | 619.55$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.96 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Giants | 20c | 608.21$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.36 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Giants | 33c | 573.04$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.54 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12a6…6db5backed Royals | 36c | 558$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.12 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ccf…61a1backed Giants | 64c | 450$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Royals | 41c | 381.18$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.63 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Giants | 67c | 301.49$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13ce…35f0backed Giants | 66c | 299.96$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.98 | 157 | 57.3%90 W · 67 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Royals | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.71 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Royals | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.71 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Giants | 65c | 285.71$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.71 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8055…8931backed Royals | 34c | 280$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 39cpaid | +75.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15ae…8f1abacked Giants | 66c | 279.99$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd386…1887backed Giants | 15c | 264.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 192 | 33.3%64 W · 128 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed Royals | 33c | 186.99$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.28 | 403 | 52.4%211 W · 192 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a34…56cfbacked Giants | 67c | 179.1$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 280 | 53.9%151 W · 129 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef44…66afbacked Royals | 63c | 156.03$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.26 | 164 | 72%118 W · 46 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x498c…9b68backed Royals | 45c | 148.61$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.74 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked Giants | 9c | 146$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.14 | 156 | 44.9%70 W · 86 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2105…b560backed Giants | 56c | 123.33$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.94 | 95 | 43.2%41 W · 54 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40a3…6ed8backed Giants | 17c | 121.44$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3c…7c1ebacked Giants | 64c | 108$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.12 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Royals | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Giants | 67c | 100$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Giants | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88cf…7d31backed Giants | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 198 | 49.5%98 W · 100 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed Royals | 31c | 99.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.99 | 204 | 48%98 W · 106 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…c011backed Royals | 34c | 99.94$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.96 | 138 | 48.6%67 W · 71 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba9d…8165backed Giants | 69c | 97.1$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4aa…9026backed Giants | 26c | 95.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd5…9801backed Giants | 47c | 76.6$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Royals | 34c | 73.53$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.53 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Royals | 62c | 67.84$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.81 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Giants | 29c | 65.52$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 179 | 30.2%54 W · 125 L | -9.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Giants | 66c | 65$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.9 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Giants | 65c | 61.74$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.13 | 333 | 49.5%165 W · 168 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Royals | 35c | 60$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…3a83backed Royals | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.14 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | +9.2wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x818e…b787backed Giants | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 66cpaid | -22%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcba…4d0bbacked Royals | 41c | 46.22$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.22 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Royals | 34c | 44.12$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.12 | 382 | 45.5%174 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Giants | 32c | 42.4$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.54 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Royals | 34c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Giants | 66c | 38.34$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe653…ac06backed Royals | 35c | 31.43$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.43 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e1…c293backed Giants | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 68 | 69.1%47 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea7a…eab1backed Giants | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x969a…a490backed Giants | 66c | 30.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8f…7178backed Giants | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb53…e235backed Royals | 37c | 29.73$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.73 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Royals | 52c | 28.1$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.62 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed Royals | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 203 | 67%136 W · 67 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x946b…5857backed Royals | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2c…f202backed Giants | 66c | 26.23$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.31 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef63…96cbbacked Giants | 47c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.67 | 467 | 53.7%251 W · 216 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b32…993dbacked Royals | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee57…33a7backed Giants | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.