Earnings · resolved market
Will Bath & Body Works (BBWI) beat quarterly earnings?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xad22b2c5e3e9ead1cef697cc49fea881bf7663797f8ebff0b62a5d3a6e9bc895
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Earningsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,289
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,171
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,289 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Earnings is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Earnings | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7105…5ac8backed No | 28c | 1,026$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfce…80c7backed No | 27c | 614.2$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.61 | 348 | 36.8%128 W · 220 L | +21.4wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 73c | 533.78$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.27 | 213 | 41.3%88 W · 125 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 73c | 400$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 676 | 42.9%290 W · 386 L | -36.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4535…4007backed No | 41c | 296$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e18…0c14backed Yes | 73c | 273.97$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 27c | 249.41$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.34 | 316 | 29.4%93 W · 223 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde4…6109backed Yes | 73c | 187.21$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 41c | 150.76$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.23 | 185 | 34.6%64 W · 121 L | -15.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 37c | 114.77$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.52 | 145 | 33.1%48 W · 97 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ba…68fabacked Yes | 70c | 110$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.1 | 139 | 32.4%45 W · 94 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb23e…829abacked Yes | 52c | 104.76$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.78 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8fc…0d3bbacked Yes | 73c | 80$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -6.6wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…d8e3backed Yes | 71c | 80$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.2 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c81…bdeebacked No | 34c | 57.1$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x165f…e074backed Yes | 74c | 53.84$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9a…0cd4backed No | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed Yes | 60c | 45.23$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.02 | 108 | 34.3%37 W · 71 L | -9.0wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x765c…dbb6backed Yes | 58c | 41$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.22 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29ef…dddabacked Yes | 68c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 51 | 72.5%37 W · 14 L | +6.6wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x83f4…c2a8backed Yes | 59c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 45cpaid | +141%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa4…d61ebacked Yes | 74c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4708…9580backed Yes | 76c | 32.01$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.68 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 68c | 31.51$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.16 | 582 | 39%227 W · 355 L | -25.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb141…aa3bbacked No | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3237…5658backed Yes | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -61%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29ed…a8dabacked Yes | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11b5…8c02backed No | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +64.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe123…2fc1backed Yes | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.83 | 45 | 22.2%10 W · 35 L | -5.5wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x93fb…b608backed Yes | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x740d…f262backed Yes | 73c | 19.07$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…743ebacked Yes | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b79…6f9dbacked Yes | 69c | 14.77$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.52 | 269 | 51.3%138 W · 131 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Earnings and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.