CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ex-Zero Tenacity vs Honvéd (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xadac34b91b4e44a429e115f32eeb885f339727b317706cf74352e17c7f8a50d5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ex-Zero Tenacityof ex-Zero Tenacity, Honvéd
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,267
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,711
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,267 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Honvéd | 24c | 2,544$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.27 | 5,095 | 55.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L | +119.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 76c | 1,863$1,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.81 | 1,652 | 52.9%874 W · 778 L | +60.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Honvéd | 27c | 1,512$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409 | 531 | 35%186 W · 345 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf84d…8830backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 72c | 1,500$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 69 | 62.3%43 W · 26 L | +7.5wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Honvéd | 25c | 1,468$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.2 | 3,544 | 29.3%1,037 W · 2,507 L | -289.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd677…7579backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 75c | 1,230$918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.58 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe75d…a961backed Honvéd | 30c | 955.18$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.63 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +20%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Honvéd | 26c | 861$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.55 | 5,876 | 37.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L | +71.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…9e14backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 71c | 700$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Honvéd | 25c | 529.46$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.37 | 2,645 | 51.9%1,372 W · 1,273 L | +21.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe453…256ebacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 76c | 489.4$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.4 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 75c | 468.98$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.17 | 183 | 50.8%93 W · 90 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf953…2f1abacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 77c | 447.57$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.41 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51e8…ebb7backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 76c | 395.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.67 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x189f…f4f3backed Honvéd | 27c | 386.47$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.62 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b51…cf1ebacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 74c | 360$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.6 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -4.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x50e0…d8b8backed Honvéd | 28c | 343.57$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.2 | 88 | 58%51 W · 37 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Honvéd | 25c | 306.18$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.55 | 2,030 | 53.7%1,091 W · 939 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbadb…31a7backed Honvéd | 24c | 303.28$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.29 | 136 | 47.1%64 W · 72 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 74c | 272.6$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.88 | 84 | 67.9%57 W · 27 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 79c | 252.56$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.64 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a3…d11bbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 74c | 247.3$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.3 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.22per pick | 59cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Honvéd | 24c | 227.96$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.4 | 346 | 26.9%93 W · 253 L | -13.4wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 72c | 210.28$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.02 | 1,167 | 48.2%562 W · 605 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed Honvéd | 25c | 195.5$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.88 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe18d…9c5bbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 76c | 194.63$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.71 | 160 | 51.9%83 W · 77 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 75c | 173.15$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.96 | 4,754 | 43.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb21b…88f9backed Honvéd | 21c | 172.65$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.26 | 486 | 54.5%265 W · 221 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked Honvéd | 17c | 171.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,087 | 31.9%347 W · 740 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0760…80f8backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 74c | 169.2$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.71 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -4.6wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed Honvéd | 27c | 166$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.37 | 505 | 48.1%243 W · 262 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x912f…b25bbacked Honvéd | 22c | 146.45$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.12 | 83 | 33.7%28 W · 55 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08e0…f4a0backed Honvéd | 28c | 142.85$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 848 | 56%475 W · 373 L | +31.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Honvéd | 26c | 135.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.36 | 179 | 45.3%81 W · 98 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd365…c28cbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 66c | 121.36$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.36 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83e0…82abbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 74c | 112.84$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.84 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9266…a9d3backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 72c | 106$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.28 | 91 | 60.4%55 W · 36 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa005…abb1backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 77c | 103.26$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.21 | 191 | 50.3%96 W · 95 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…211bbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 74c | 97.3$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.3 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Honvéd | 26c | 92.32$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 166 | 44.6%74 W · 92 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Honvéd | 34c | 91.36$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.35 | 403 | 41.7%168 W · 235 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x336a…1915backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 74c | 86.85$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.58 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 77c | 83.26$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.3 | 231 | 50.2%116 W · 115 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb71e…641abacked Honvéd | 52c | 82$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.86 | 109 | 37.6%41 W · 68 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed Honvéd | 23c | 78.26$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 72 | 68.1%49 W · 23 L | +10.3wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x03f2…bcfdbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 74c | 73.8$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.06 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda7f…6e0fbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 74c | 70$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Honvéd | 30c | 62$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.81 | 3,267 | 45.5%1,485 W · 1,782 L | -85.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 78c | 60.75$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.16 | 5,580 | 47.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L | +47.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd4…035bbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 74c | 56.8$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.77 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…7e11backed Honvéd | 27c | 52.03$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.05 | 577 | 40.4%233 W · 344 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe53b…fe03backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 68c | 51.46$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.47 | 423 | 71.9%304 W · 119 L | +24.4wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 79c | 51$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.66 | 1,142 | 54.4%621 W · 521 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb1…6c8fbacked Honvéd | 32c | 46.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b12…1a7bbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 59c | 46.33$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.91 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -6.5wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 72c | 43.31$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.13 | 110 | 60%66 W · 44 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 70c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 2,143 | 47.3%1,013 W · 1,130 L | -61.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x924d…6cb9backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 75c | 39.8$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.95 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 76c | 38$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.05 | 206 | 53.9%111 W · 95 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0e…1134backed Honvéd | 35c | 35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e47…bdbfbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 63c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 394 | 69.3%273 W · 121 L | +31.6wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 4,099 | 51%2,091 W · 2,008 L | +74.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69fa…e259backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 66c | 24.64$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.43 | 617 | 54%333 W · 284 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67f6…1651backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 64c | 20.3$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.34 | 77 | 44.2%34 W · 43 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x395a…eb72backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 89 | 73%65 W · 24 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6428…c83abacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 18 | 88.9%16 W · 2 L | +3.3wins | +0.18per pick | 71cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ex-Zero Tenacity vs Honvéd (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: ex-Zero Tenacity vs Honvéd - Map 1 Winnerex-Zero Tenacity won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.