TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Jiujiang: Mei Yamaguchi vs Hayu Kinoshita

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Hayu Kinoshitaof Mei Yamaguchi, Hayu Kinoshita
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$117,428
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$138,992

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $117,428 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x489d…f6e3backed Hayu Kinoshita78c18,036$14,132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,903.591,83153%971 W · 860 L-45.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ef5…dc05backed Mei Yamaguchi32c15,565$4,910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,909.84928.6%14 W · 35 L-8.9wins-0.18per pick47cpaid-34.8%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x56d2…70a3backed Mei Yamaguchi0c9,189$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.271030%3 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Hayu Kinoshita70c9,117$6,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,737.018,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Hayu Kinoshita78c6,383$4,962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,421.316,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0979…8d9bbacked Mei Yamaguchi31c3,895$1,207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,206.9214757.1%84 W · 63 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4924…f328backed Mei Yamaguchi27c3,704$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0007040%28 W · 42 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3df…82fabacked Hayu Kinoshita68c3,402$2,327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,075.7327846%128 W · 150 L+9.6wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-10.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x19d0…e11cbacked Hayu Kinoshita68c3,119$2,133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$985.556336.5%23 W · 40 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-15.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Mei Yamaguchi26c2,786$723 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$723.21,44438%548 W · 896 L-46.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Hayu Kinoshita71c2,717$1,921 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$796.0411,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01fa…cea7backed Mei Yamaguchi12c1,700$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.9732735.5%116 W · 211 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Hayu Kinoshita77c1,372$1,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.075,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Hayu Kinoshita76c1,155$874 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.424,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Hayu Kinoshita64c1,118$717 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401.274,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x066e…ceb2backed Mei Yamaguchi31c1,100$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.8515436.4%56 W · 98 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+23.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Mei Yamaguchi23c996.9$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.597,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked Mei Yamaguchi29c887.32$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.321,28439.2%503 W · 781 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f28…ff9abacked Hayu Kinoshita71c887.32$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.32977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.21per pick57cpaid+37%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Mei Yamaguchi38c868.42$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3301,61550.6%817 W · 798 L-17.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7738…5dbdbacked Hayu Kinoshita62c799.99$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30447956.6%271 W · 208 L-9.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb171…39eebacked Mei Yamaguchi16c682.64$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1078235.4%29 W · 53 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4232…d505backed Mei Yamaguchi37c672.16$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24737235.2%131 W · 241 L-12.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Mei Yamaguchi22c600$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1329,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x14ac…dd9fbacked Mei Yamaguchi32c597.91$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.331631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-43.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x782c…38c2backed Hayu Kinoshita64c546.88$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.8816063.8%102 W · 58 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x21ca…3748backed Hayu Kinoshita71c513.81$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.7636554.2%198 W · 167 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Mei Yamaguchi8c500.36$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.658,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Mei Yamaguchi35c481.05$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.462,76153.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L+73.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8668…7f8fbacked Hayu Kinoshita74c463.51$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.517560%45 W · 30 L+6.8wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+30.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0a31…ea5dbacked Mei Yamaguchi30c367.25$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.97540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca20…7b68backed Mei Yamaguchi33c359.84$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.5557447.7%274 W · 300 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Mei Yamaguchi22c350$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$774,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Mei Yamaguchi40c347.72$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.0954345.3%246 W · 297 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Hayu Kinoshita76c329.56$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.42,52339.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L-3.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a4d…2b6abacked Mei Yamaguchi38c328.34$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.773941%16 W · 23 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd96a…d8cebacked Mei Yamaguchi14c294.97$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.1322113.6%30 W · 191 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick16cpaid-20%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Mei Yamaguchi24c266.15$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.9980341.8%336 W · 467 L-20.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1fc8…f45bbacked Mei Yamaguchi30c263.33$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7928322.3%63 W · 220 L-13.3wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-31.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x595c…3b03backed Hayu Kinoshita68c263$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.883956.4%22 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf96d…20bebacked Mei Yamaguchi31c235.13$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.348214.1%68 W · 414 L-14.8wins-0.03per pick17cpaid-29.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Mei Yamaguchi7c226.7$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.7524229.8%72 W · 170 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29b1…ca10backed Mei Yamaguchi36c213.88$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7715544.5%69 W · 86 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Hayu Kinoshita73c183.06$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.991,02843.3%445 W · 583 L-24.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Hayu Kinoshita71c181.1$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.926,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb897…e44ebacked Hayu Kinoshita58c177.59$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.5921641.7%90 W · 126 L-0.9wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Mei Yamaguchi32c175.59$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.661,53240.7%624 W · 908 L-48.7wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Mei Yamaguchi31c154.9$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.023,66145.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L-8.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3e1…f17fbacked Hayu Kinoshita68c147.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.0624463.5%155 W · 89 L+9.9wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbd8c…dfbebacked Mei Yamaguchi31c130.97$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405156.9%29 W · 22 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b45…ac9fbacked Mei Yamaguchi35c130$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.9550644.9%227 W · 279 L-12.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe891…4b25backed Mei Yamaguchi30c117.7$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3516349.7%81 W · 82 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Mei Yamaguchi31c111.05$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.634,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Hayu Kinoshita73c101.67$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.871,35443.9%595 W · 759 L-62.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-24.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0633…cfdebacked Hayu Kinoshita68c101.26$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.425763.4%163 W · 94 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb69…c3e5backed Mei Yamaguchi29c100$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291,07655.5%597 W · 479 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb594…c1a0backed Hayu Kinoshita68c95.97$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.717768.8%53 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick70cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc287…6d47backed Mei Yamaguchi23c94$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.7915332%49 W · 104 L-13.3wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-35.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Hayu Kinoshita70c81.53$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.678,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcbef…0c11backed Hayu Kinoshita63c79.37$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.3768157.6%392 W · 289 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc398…f446backed Mei Yamaguchi30c66.31$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2096035.4%340 W · 620 L-40.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xee0a…36d8backed Hayu Kinoshita73c65.96$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.9638262.3%238 W · 144 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-2.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Hayu Kinoshita67c63$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.5895846.6%446 W · 512 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8480…8b20backed Hayu Kinoshita80c62.5$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.54564.4%29 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick67cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f28…d173backed Hayu Kinoshita67c61$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.1343067%288 W · 142 L+13.3wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Mei Yamaguchi29c60$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.642,08252.3%1,088 W · 994 L+19.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Mei Yamaguchi29c58.44$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.743,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0xf182…112bbacked Mei Yamaguchi36c56.28$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.2630150.2%151 W · 150 L-15.6wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-10.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe00d…4251backed Hayu Kinoshita65c53.85$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.8519761.4%121 W · 76 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f5…8314backed Hayu Kinoshita66c49.6$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.0711753%62 W · 55 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8c6…737abacked Hayu Kinoshita65c48.04$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.8124348.1%117 W · 126 L-25.0wins-0.10per pick58cpaid-21.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x071f…92bdbacked Hayu Kinoshita67c46$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.181,07673.8%794 W · 282 L+41.1wins+0.04per pick70cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Hayu Kinoshita68c44.65$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.4979951.1%408 W · 391 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb28…775dbacked Hayu Kinoshita63c39.57$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.64250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe901…3139backed Mei Yamaguchi29c39.27$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.223832.4%77 W · 161 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-24%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Hayu Kinoshita71c38.45$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.157,04939.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L-20.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec3e…11c0backed Mei Yamaguchi34c37$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.589628.1%27 W · 69 L-6.4wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-31.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9663…5b70backed Mei Yamaguchi29c35$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1585748.2%413 W · 444 L+33.7wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d3e…986cbacked Hayu Kinoshita63c33.05$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.2363648%305 W · 331 L-10.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7bc…9d49backed Hayu Kinoshita63c31.75$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.755869%40 W · 18 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe697…708fbacked Hayu Kinoshita67c25.85$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.4137058.6%217 W · 153 L+17.3wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x762b…76d4backed Hayu Kinoshita68c23.6$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.483053.3%16 W · 14 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+12.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4436…cf98backed Hayu Kinoshita71c22.34$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.484475%33 W · 11 L+3.9wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+16.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe9ce…316ebacked Hayu Kinoshita76c19.63$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.631540%6 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35d1…1f70backed Hayu Kinoshita61c19.2$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.4931563.5%200 W · 115 L+21.5wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+13.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0d6b…8ffabacked Hayu Kinoshita61c19.2$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.498066.3%53 W · 27 L+7.8wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+20.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.