Fifa International · resolved market
Brazil leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaed98ede31aac015de7ca81df6eeef8f8c39fb691a9357d9aa38fd35978d1a35
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $77,532
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $76,110
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,532 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 150 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 42c | 10,532$4,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,437.98 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 44c | 8,791$3,861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,861.47 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 73c | 4,974$3,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,318.46 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 58c | 4,109$2,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,745.36 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 56c | 3,889$2,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,698.99 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd51…1041backed No | 59c | 3,569$2,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470.92 | 119 | 63.9%76 W · 43 L | +8.8wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 57c | 3,537$2,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,504.17 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f63…f247backed Yes | 41c | 2,780$1,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,141.93 | 123 | 25.2%31 W · 92 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 58c | 2,631$1,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,117.73 | 597 | 52.1%311 W · 286 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 43c | 2,194$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949.93 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…91c4backed Yes | 1c | 2,159$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.09 | 512 | 28.9%148 W · 364 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked No | 58c | 1,980$1,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$831.49 | 296 | 46.3%137 W · 159 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e70…582fbacked Yes | 13c | 1,841$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 26cpaid | -66.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 58c | 1,747$1,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$737.79 | 390 | 50.8%198 W · 192 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed No | 56c | 1,600$896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704 | 384 | 51.6%198 W · 186 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a98…1b92backed No | 62c | 1,395$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.17 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb73…53b0backed Yes | 44c | 1,364$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 159 | 30.8%49 W · 110 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a7…d3abbacked Yes | 29c | 1,209$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.12 | 285 | 26.3%75 W · 210 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd178…6703backed Yes | 43c | 1,153$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.61 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8130…3789backed Yes | 44c | 1,116$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.08 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b01…00fabacked No | 57c | 1,072$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.8 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed No | 59c | 1,034$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.68 | 237 | 29.1%69 W · 168 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…93fcbacked No | 56c | 999.99$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 112 | 43.8%49 W · 63 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 56c | 714.43$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.27 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed No | 56c | 710.02$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.41 | 408 | 48.8%199 W · 209 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No | 57c | 557.41$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.92 | 399 | 51.4%205 W · 194 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Yes | 43c | 535.99$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.9 | 630 | 35.7%225 W · 405 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 56c | 516.52$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.34 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Yes | 43c | 509$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.87 | 311 | 56.6%176 W · 135 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x308f…35cabacked No | 56c | 499.98$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.99 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x461e…5ce2backed Yes | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79a6…eeecbacked Yes | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6645…9ebcbacked Yes | 43c | 463.97$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcba9…f812backed Yes | 43c | 461.79$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 79 | 13.9%11 W · 68 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 56c | 453.23$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.62 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 29c | 424.57$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.53 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3f…50bcbacked Yes | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 71 | 9.9%7 W · 64 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked No | 56c | 391.93$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.45 | 258 | 48.4%125 W · 133 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f84…be62backed Yes | 16c | 345.91$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 41 | 12.2%5 W · 36 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5f…61aebacked Yes | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Yes | 43c | 325.58$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 242 | 42.6%103 W · 139 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea8…b084backed Yes | 43c | 313$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.59 | 232 | 40.5%94 W · 138 L | -11.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d90…7e0abacked Yes | 42c | 310.69$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.49 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -4.3wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfa40…9e37backed No | 56c | 300.97$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.43 | 222 | 47.7%106 W · 116 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed Yes | 41c | 277$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.57 | 470 | 49.4%232 W · 238 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 32c | 264$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.48 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa8f…fd07backed Yes | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85bc…6d0fbacked Yes | 12c | 244.44$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe569…e759backed Yes | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 524 | 41.4%217 W · 307 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…1186backed Yes | 42c | 240$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…8f34backed Yes | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 120 | 42.5%51 W · 69 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f0b…0302backed Yes | 44c | 229.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd830…7848backed Yes | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9672…c9b0backed Yes | 14c | 220.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 27c | 217.39$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.11 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8105…3287backed Yes | 42c | 206.76$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.84 | 210 | 48.6%102 W · 108 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5353…51b9backed Yes | 27c | 203.18$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc456…8996backed No | 57c | 201.99$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.86 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7cd…093abacked Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 288 | 22.6%65 W · 223 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c48…c36abacked Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0c…1249backed Yes | 43c | 199.96$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.98 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +89.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x535f…a83bbacked Yes | 44c | 195.45$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 105 | 23.8%25 W · 80 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 56c | 189.98$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.67 | 1,616 | 51.2%827 W · 789 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d91…f592backed Yes | 42c | 183.26$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.97 | 141 | 30.5%43 W · 98 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae4…76e9backed Yes | 45c | 178.56$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 57c | 178$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.98 | 344 | 55.5%191 W · 153 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd93c…cb3abacked Yes | 18c | 173.18$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ad…1014backed Yes | 42c | 166.67$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 52 | 19.2%10 W · 42 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55e0…8f89backed Yes | 36c | 160.8$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48f8…36dbbacked Yes | 9c | 159.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 120 | 36.7%44 W · 76 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed No | 57c | 150$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.5 | 274 | 34.3%94 W · 180 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa46b…9055backed Yes | 42c | 145.9$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78d2…b978backed Yes | 16c | 143.75$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 48 | 8.3%4 W · 44 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72dd…5ea8backed No | 69c | 143.72$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.55 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Yes | 37c | 131.57$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.68 | 697 | 44.9%313 W · 384 L | +18.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…6b14backed Yes | 38c | 130.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 667 | 45%300 W · 367 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed No | 56c | 130$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.2 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa79c…db6fbacked Yes | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95cd…ef5ebacked Yes | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…a449backed Yes | 43c | 123.84$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.76 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0251…a857backed Yes | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf954…ef7abacked Yes | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf43f…3b20backed Yes | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…ae13backed Yes | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 92 | 35.9%33 W · 59 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bb0…6205backed Yes | 44c | 114.32$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05c9…271bbacked No | 57c | 110$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.3 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe7d9…3271backed Yes | 43c | 109.85$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.72 | 117 | 23.1%27 W · 90 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +69.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf45…ea2cbacked No | 58c | 106.78$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.78 | 90 | 47.8%43 W · 47 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77e4…d18fbacked Yes | 43c | 106$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.58 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -28%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 73c | 104.01$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.42 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xa135…68b8backed Yes | 44c | 102.66$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.17 | 322 | 45.3%146 W · 176 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa09a…5cb8backed No | 58c | 101$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.42 | 173 | 56.1%97 W · 76 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34ea…3955backed No | 57c | 101$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.43 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e55…8ffdbacked No | 59c | 101$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.41 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +4.7wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | +48%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2614…4442backed No | 56c | 101$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.44 | 420 | 48.8%205 W · 215 L | +18.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ec…267dbacked Yes | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 278 | 45.7%127 W · 151 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…0b63backed No | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 109 | 45%49 W · 60 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec83…7014backed Yes | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 154 | 47.4%73 W · 81 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea3e…a8d3backed No | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.2wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +83.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Brazil leading at halftime?this page
- Brazil vs. Morocco: Draw at halftime?Yes won
- Morocco leading at halftime?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.