TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Stuttgart Open, Qualification: Mert Alkaya vs Pierre-Hugues Herbert

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Pierre-Hugues Herbertof Mert Alkaya, Pierre-Hugues Herbert
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$55,140
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$61,126

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,140 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x84cb…28adbacked Mert Alkaya32c12,558$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,00010444.2%46 W · 58 L-7.4wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-17.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Pierre-Hugues Herbert68c3,382$2,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,082.244,92138.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L-20.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccd8…f4debacked Mert Alkaya27c3,364$895 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$894.811,47535.2%519 W · 956 L-14.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x698b…4426backed Pierre-Hugues Herbert74c2,000$1,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52072452.6%381 W · 343 L+34.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Mert Alkaya29c1,929$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551.5211,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Pierre-Hugues Herbert70c1,716$1,203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$513.264,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d9a…05e6backed Mert Alkaya18c1,570$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.712,08544.5%928 W · 1,157 L-51.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Pierre-Hugues Herbert70c1,500$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4509,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Pierre-Hugues Herbert74c1,341$986 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.284,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Pierre-Hugues Herbert76c1,268$962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.884,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6485…a265backed Pierre-Hugues Herbert79c1,107$876 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.542,28152%1,187 W · 1,094 L+82.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf970…f7f6backed Mert Alkaya13c1,047$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.482,48535.9%893 W · 1,592 L-28.5wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0267…7f7ebacked Mert Alkaya30c899.49$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.1730436.2%110 W · 194 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked Mert Alkaya16c737.99$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.1666834.3%229 W · 439 L-43.2wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-40.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8d9c…cf78backed Mert Alkaya10c680$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6811131.5%35 W · 76 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick30cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Mert Alkaya4c667.82$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.426,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x74bd…d371backed Mert Alkaya10c511.66$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.1742125.7%108 W · 313 L-0.4wins0.00per pick26cpaid+9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Pierre-Hugues Herbert71c500$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.294,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Pierre-Hugues Herbert66c423$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.824,60248.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L+34.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Mert Alkaya25c416.21$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.057,04939.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L-20.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd034…eecebacked Mert Alkaya22c413.33$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.452,73534%931 W · 1,804 L-13.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0ade…ed94backed Pierre-Hugues Herbert75c394.74$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.681,45854%787 W · 671 L-33.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+64.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Mert Alkaya16c372.27$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.392,76647.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L+44.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-18.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9bdb…a90dbacked Mert Alkaya10c362$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.226921.2%57 W · 212 L-10.2wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-24.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Mert Alkaya12c352.39$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.452,06535.2%727 W · 1,338 L-52.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc16…4b2fbacked Mert Alkaya30c278.43$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.332045%9 W · 11 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ffa…7710backed Mert Alkaya19c270$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.31428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-31.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Mert Alkaya21c258.8$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.432,04946.8%958 W · 1,091 L+19.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Pierre-Hugues Herbert74c240$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.447854.8%262 W · 216 L+25.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+23.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xef29…2f1ebacked Pierre-Hugues Herbert73c228.72$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.91,11145.3%503 W · 608 L-35.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Mert Alkaya25c213.02$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.125,26128.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L-19.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa42f…5f5abacked Mert Alkaya19c203.63$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.741,01039.2%396 W · 614 L-23.0wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-25.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab9f…75f1backed Pierre-Hugues Herbert68c200$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6451445.5%234 W · 280 L-2.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9694…b7adbacked Pierre-Hugues Herbert75c200$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502,05859.5%1,225 W · 833 L-1.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Pierre-Hugues Herbert72c199$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.867,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52a0…ec9dbacked Mert Alkaya26c192.62$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5058045.9%266 W · 314 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Pierre-Hugues Herbert74c176.67$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.933,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x012d…9db6backed Pierre-Hugues Herbert75c173.33$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.3384968.4%581 W · 268 L+25.9wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x55ab…40e8backed Mert Alkaya11c172.73$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193514.3%5 W · 30 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick11cpaid+136.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked Pierre-Hugues Herbert64c166.91$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.3537645.7%172 W · 204 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Mert Alkaya29c160.83$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.1791755.5%509 W · 408 L+2.7wins0.00per pick55cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Pierre-Hugues Herbert72c156.26$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.61,88048.5%912 W · 968 L+8.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4093…5749backed Pierre-Hugues Herbert77c152.81$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.592,85549.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Pierre-Hugues Herbert70c133.81$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.088,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57c8…3d9bbacked Pierre-Hugues Herbert76c130$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.219052.1%99 W · 91 L-12.9wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-13.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe5ad…cd92backed Mert Alkaya10c127.27$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-46.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Mert Alkaya10c126.74$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.293,66145.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L-8.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Pierre-Hugues Herbert70c125.98$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.243250.5%218 W · 214 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x392a…da0cbacked Pierre-Hugues Herbert75c124.08$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.028047.5%38 W · 42 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1bb8…c74dbacked Mert Alkaya26c122.55$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.861752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-12.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Pierre-Hugues Herbert80c115$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232,41851.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L+10.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Mert Alkaya31c112.9$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353,22040.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L+28.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Pierre-Hugues Herbert76c112.67$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.553,06857.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L+173.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x24a1…32f2backed Pierre-Hugues Herbert77c110$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.8315261.8%94 W · 58 L+12.6wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+13.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked Pierre-Hugues Herbert74c109.88$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.4934650.6%175 W · 171 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe857…7b3bbacked Mert Alkaya11c109.09$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1283823.2%194 W · 644 L-58.0wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-26.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x167a…d542backed Mert Alkaya25c108$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.941,83759.2%1,088 W · 749 L+8.4wins0.00per pick59cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Pierre-Hugues Herbert74c99.99$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261,15148.7%560 W · 591 L+8.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed Mert Alkaya23c96$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.081,85357.7%1,069 W · 784 L+106.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+3.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Pierre-Hugues Herbert73c91$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.7255941.9%234 W · 325 L-27.0wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-21.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x18a7…206cbacked Mert Alkaya23c83.91$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.185637.7%323 W · 533 L+7.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb77…1c78backed Mert Alkaya31c80.65$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252,15137.3%802 W · 1,349 L-27.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Pierre-Hugues Herbert73c80$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.61,87016%299 W · 1,571 L-314.3wins-0.17per pick33cpaid-65.6%equal weight32-0.17 edge/pick
0x0b2a…0a73backed Mert Alkaya25c80$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2094058.4%549 W · 391 L+21.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x561d…4134backed Pierre-Hugues Herbert66c71.67$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.6744949.4%222 W · 227 L+23.1wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+3.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Pierre-Hugues Herbert74c69.33$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.0368951.1%352 W · 337 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Pierre-Hugues Herbert71c67.87$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.363,67754.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L+107.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x91c9…a5b4backed Pierre-Hugues Herbert74c67.57$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.571070%7 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick70cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7c7…3b08backed Pierre-Hugues Herbert76c65.58$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.5850958%295 W · 214 L-26.5wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-7.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1351…178bbacked Mert Alkaya33c60.61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2016746.7%78 W · 89 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Mert Alkaya25c60$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1592138.4%354 W · 567 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a20…d606backed Pierre-Hugues Herbert73c59$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.9392674.6%691 W · 235 L+1.7wins0.00per pick74cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Pierre-Hugues Herbert70c55$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.5574547.4%353 W · 392 L-28.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-17%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x985d…33c9backed Mert Alkaya24c54.22$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.281,30036.9%480 W · 820 L-34.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f06…3e6ebacked Mert Alkaya25c54.12$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.795617.9%10 W · 46 L-5.0wins-0.09per pick27cpaid-40.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc3a2…8ff7backed Mert Alkaya26c52$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5239443.9%173 W · 221 L+19.6wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+19.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Mert Alkaya24c50$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121,88235.5%669 W · 1,213 L+26.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Pierre-Hugues Herbert69c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.51,62652.7%857 W · 769 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5aa…4464backed Pierre-Hugues Herbert75c49.51$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.3822255.4%123 W · 99 L+0.7wins0.00per pick55cpaid+4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2d5…53d0backed Pierre-Hugues Herbert80c48.4$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.6817656.3%99 W · 77 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f2e…7c7bbacked Pierre-Hugues Herbert75c43.18$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.591,06557.4%611 W · 454 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12d1…cac5backed Pierre-Hugues Herbert71c42.25$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.2511653.4%62 W · 54 L-6.1wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0e41…b875backed Pierre-Hugues Herbert76c39.47$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.4771165.1%463 W · 248 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba4…6de0backed Pierre-Hugues Herbert73c36.91$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.8728048.9%137 W · 143 L-14.9wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-17.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Pierre-Hugues Herbert73c34.84$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.417,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc5e…f0c5backed Pierre-Hugues Herbert74c34.7$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.9623272.8%169 W · 63 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick75cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f8b…a0cabacked Pierre-Hugues Herbert74c27$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.0212659.5%75 W · 51 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x39f6…c6efbacked Pierre-Hugues Herbert55c27$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.0726640.6%108 W · 158 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Pierre-Hugues Herbert68c26.35$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.376,44946.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L-42.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9081…8a6ebacked Pierre-Hugues Herbert73c25.8$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.9741768.1%284 W · 133 L-21.4wins-0.05per pick73cpaid-6.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed Pierre-Hugues Herbert74c25$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.51,25044.7%559 W · 691 L-6.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5151…fba8backed Pierre-Hugues Herbert80c22.28$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.4638074.5%283 W · 97 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick73cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf76…ffeabacked Pierre-Hugues Herbert59c22$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.0534729.4%102 W · 245 L-35.6wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-35.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Pierre-Hugues Herbert76c16.06$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.913,25648.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L-53.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2638…8e2dbacked Pierre-Hugues Herbert72c15.18$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.2531657%180 W · 136 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Pierre-Hugues Herbert76c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.61,00843.8%442 W · 566 L-2.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid-12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.