Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Oregon State Beavers vs. Loyola Marymount Lions
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb24a761e8fb5921e5e22b0ce7db7da86af4eb42d2c5050fad1b0549be6ba5627
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Oregon State Beaversof Oregon State Beavers, Loyola Marymount Lions
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,613
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,147
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,613 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xea22…747abacked Loyola Marymount Lions | 6c | 1,500$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 241 | 21.2%51 W · 190 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 16cpaid | +299%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Loyola Marymount Lions | 24c | 1,409$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.86 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Oregon State Beavers | 29c | 1,227$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$874.65 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Loyola Marymount Lions | 71c | 1,000$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14b9…b6a9backed Loyola Marymount Lions | 10c | 997.05$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 56 | 19.6%11 W · 45 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -31%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3e…776bbacked Loyola Marymount Lions | 24c | 799.82$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.97 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Oregon State Beavers | 75c | 621.84$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.91 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Loyola Marymount Lions | 23c | 526.8$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.56 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…7bc3backed Oregon State Beavers | 77c | 400$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 170 | 62.9%107 W · 63 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Oregon State Beavers | 50c | 399.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.56 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x958a…c897backed Oregon State Beavers | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 233 | 31.3%73 W · 160 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf37c…3c74backed Loyola Marymount Lions | 19c | 363.08$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.57 | 218 | 30.7%67 W · 151 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Loyola Marymount Lions | 72c | 336$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.92 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae9…5b36backed Oregon State Beavers | 79c | 326$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.46 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Loyola Marymount Lions | 22c | 251.9$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.6 | 536 | 35.6%191 W · 345 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Oregon State Beavers | 69c | 236.64$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.15 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Loyola Marymount Lions | 60c | 157.37$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.63 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Loyola Marymount Lions | 10c | 146.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 573 | 35.6%204 W · 369 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Loyola Marymount Lions | 22c | 137.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.93 | 536 | 46.5%249 W · 287 L | -24.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…e9d3backed Loyola Marymount Lions | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb834…e4c1backed Loyola Marymount Lions | 18c | 123.79$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.93 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13c9…5e53backed Oregon State Beavers | 48c | 122$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.44 | 111 | 36%40 W · 71 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Oregon State Beavers | 48c | 121.89$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.4 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Loyola Marymount Lions | 67c | 104$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.22 | 252 | 46.4%117 W · 135 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2752…8ce3backed Oregon State Beavers | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.28per pick | 58cpaid | +68%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x968b…e4c5backed Oregon State Beavers | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Oregon State Beavers | 32c | 99.85$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.24 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b24…11efbacked Oregon State Beavers | 77c | 85.21$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.98 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 69cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Loyola Marymount Lions | 26c | 84.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.99 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Loyola Marymount Lions | 68c | 82$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.76 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Loyola Marymount Lions | 70c | 70$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.3 | 397 | 42.8%170 W · 227 L | -15.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2288…e482backed Oregon State Beavers | 32c | 68$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Loyola Marymount Lions | 68c | 68$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.24 | 583 | 45.5%265 W · 318 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b2…1c67backed Oregon State Beavers | 64c | 67.05$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.35 | 143 | 54.5%78 W · 65 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Oregon State Beavers | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 78cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Oregon State Beavers | 38c | 64.29$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.73 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Oregon State Beavers | 39c | 64.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.1 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Loyola Marymount Lions | 28c | 50.82$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8a…cb72backed Oregon State Beavers | 68c | 44.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed1…caa2backed Oregon State Beavers | 28c | 43$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.96 | 253 | 25.3%64 W · 189 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…8276backed Oregon State Beavers | 51c | 41.06$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.12 | 152 | 43.4%66 W · 86 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70b1…73b2backed Loyola Marymount Lions | 65c | 36.04$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.43 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa855…3a4ebacked Loyola Marymount Lions | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27d2…b0f8backed Oregon State Beavers | 52c | 33.05$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.86 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…5c69backed Loyola Marymount Lions | 50c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 61 | 14.8%9 W · 52 L | -12.0wins | -0.20per pick | 34cpaid | -64%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Loyola Marymount Lions | 69c | 23$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.89 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2239…598ebacked Loyola Marymount Lions | 69c | 17.54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0db…9f6bbacked Loyola Marymount Lions | 69c | 17.39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85cc…b828backed Loyola Marymount Lions | 69c | 16.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a71…4f0fbacked Loyola Marymount Lions | 69c | 15.94$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34d…bbe8backed Loyola Marymount Lions | 69c | 15.94$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -3.2wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Oregon State Beavers vs. Loyola Marymount Lionsthis page
- Oregon State Beavers vs. Loyola Marymount Lions: O/U 139.5Over won
- Oregon State Beavers vs. Loyola Marymount Lions: O/U 140.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.