CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Zomblers vs EMPIRE (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Cup #1 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb3f9e333382849ac8612e29d399603ee5b4f4f02bf74c533e54bbbe465bc9449
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- EMPIREof Zomblers, EMPIRE
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,924
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,420
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,924 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Zomblers | 43c | 831$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.58 | 591 | 34.7%205 W · 386 L | -14.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked EMPIRE | 58c | 623.01$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.89 | 5,194 | 55.2%2,869 W · 2,325 L | +131.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed EMPIRE | 56c | 347.58$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.94 | 138 | 69.6%96 W · 42 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed EMPIRE | 68c | 326.55$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.69 | 2,445 | 45.4%1,109 W · 1,336 L | -66.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Zomblers | 35c | 278.63$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.23 | 3,706 | 29.5%1,093 W · 2,613 L | -297.7wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e4…dd38backed Zomblers | 39c | 272.55$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.57 | 517 | 56.3%291 W · 226 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Zomblers | 42c | 181.88$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.28 | 2,608 | 41.2%1,075 W · 1,533 L | -123.1wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Zomblers | 39c | 179$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.07 | 2,293 | 43.3%994 W · 1,299 L | -70.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed EMPIRE | 54c | 176.11$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.1 | 810 | 45.9%372 W · 438 L | -24.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed EMPIRE | 54c | 142.5$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.95 | 590 | 39.3%232 W · 358 L | -24.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked EMPIRE | 55c | 131.03$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.16 | 5,183 | 37.1%1,924 W · 3,259 L | -274.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked EMPIRE | 68c | 128.29$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.99 | 5,707 | 47.2%2,694 W · 3,013 L | +45.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Zomblers | 20c | 119.39$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.95 | 5,466 | 31.5%1,722 W · 3,744 L | -400.1wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Zomblers | 40c | 93$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 368 | 25.5%94 W · 274 L | -18.5wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Zomblers | 33c | 86.45$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.7 | 2,502 | 43%1,077 W · 1,425 L | -73.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed EMPIRE | 63c | 84.49$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.39 | 4,165 | 50.9%2,119 W · 2,046 L | +70.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9266…a9d3backed Zomblers | 48c | 84.48$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.21 | 111 | 60.4%67 W · 44 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed Zomblers | 42c | 79.58$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.45 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16e8…67e9backed EMPIRE | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 70cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed EMPIRE | 61c | 68.72$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.72 | 135 | 67.4%91 W · 44 L | +19.1wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7129…4517backed Zomblers | 45c | 67.79$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.31 | 1,110 | 37.5%416 W · 694 L | +34.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf61…f9e2backed Zomblers | 47c | 63.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Zomblers | 46c | 63.75$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.33 | 1,995 | 47.5%948 W · 1,047 L | -55.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87f8…aa04backed EMPIRE | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf066…3349backed Zomblers | 38c | 54.79$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.97 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…72aabacked Zomblers | 44c | 53.59$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.58 | 218 | 48.6%106 W · 112 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8da3…7c12backed EMPIRE | 79c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.73 | 554 | 69.1%383 W · 171 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 71cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked EMPIRE | 60c | 48$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 1,279 | 54.3%694 W · 585 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed EMPIRE | 69c | 45.83$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.08 | 781 | 48.3%377 W · 404 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed EMPIRE | 61c | 45.73$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.78 | 1,704 | 47%801 W · 903 L | -29.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed Zomblers | 52c | 44$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.68 | 582 | 48.6%283 W · 299 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Zomblers | 46c | 43.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.13 | 274 | 49.3%135 W · 139 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3211…9ee3backed Zomblers | 43c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 214 | 52.3%112 W · 102 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f38…13c8backed EMPIRE | 52c | 38.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.35 | 148 | 49.3%73 W · 75 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Zomblers | 30c | 36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 312 | 47.8%149 W · 163 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Zomblers | 44c | 35.71$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.71 | 209 | 45.5%95 W · 114 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Zomblers | 53c | 35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.55 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | -6.8wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Zomblers | 46c | 32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.66 | 1,984 | 42.2%838 W · 1,146 L | -74.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86f8…2ed6backed EMPIRE | 63c | 31.95$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Zomblers | 45c | 31.37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.98 | 805 | 34%274 W · 531 L | -51.8wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed EMPIRE | 63c | 28.54$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.65 | 850 | 51.8%440 W · 410 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d2d…b69dbacked EMPIRE | 56c | 26.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.78 | 229 | 63.3%145 W · 84 L | +23.9wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed EMPIRE | 54c | 21.98$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.11 | 179 | 52%93 W · 86 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked EMPIRE | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 2,241 | 47.6%1,067 W · 1,174 L | -59.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…5eb7backed EMPIRE | 56c | 19.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 64cpaid | +30%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked EMPIRE | 64c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.12 | 742 | 51.1%379 W · 363 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.