Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
UCLA Bruins vs. Oregon Ducks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb43b77199397cba6e12449e2bb4e940efc2e1de70b1ea612e3033b5e74f62cd1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- UCLA Bruinsof UCLA Bruins, Oregon Ducks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $73,109
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $88,835
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,109 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe588…7658backed Oregon Ducks | 34c | 12,900$4,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,388 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17fd…976fbacked UCLA Bruins | 66c | 12,700$8,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,318 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Oregon Ducks | 4c | 2,254$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.14 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Oregon Ducks | 33c | 2,013$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670.89 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Oregon Ducks | 11c | 1,932$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.01 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00ff…f7adbacked Oregon Ducks | 36c | 1,769$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.31 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b8…a992backed UCLA Bruins | 66c | 1,589$1,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1190…2a70backed Oregon Ducks | 34c | 1,587$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbe…b84fbacked UCLA Bruins | 67c | 1,491$997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.21 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde7d…499ebacked Oregon Ducks | 3c | 1,224$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.13 | 41 | 22%9 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Oregon Ducks | 15c | 1,070$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.2 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed UCLA Bruins | 65c | 958$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.3 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf11d…ee9abacked UCLA Bruins | 64c | 900$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Oregon Ducks | 26c | 875.24$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.07 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x783c…6900backed Oregon Ducks | 36c | 811.14$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.01 | 137 | 35%48 W · 89 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed UCLA Bruins | 64c | 736.86$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.27 | 746 | 49.2%367 W · 379 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92d6…0550backed Oregon Ducks | 6c | 665.97$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.56 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked UCLA Bruins | 70c | 598.75$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.75 | 453 | 51.4%233 W · 220 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Oregon Ducks | 9c | 582.5$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.14 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked UCLA Bruins | 67c | 514$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.4 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Oregon Ducks | 34c | 485.26$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.18 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8415…dfe1backed Oregon Ducks | 33c | 455.13$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.19 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Oregon Ducks | 25c | 369.97$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.9 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed UCLA Bruins | 63c | 365.74$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.91 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Oregon Ducks | 7c | 361.68$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.49 | 573 | 35.6%204 W · 369 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed UCLA Bruins | 67c | 351$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.09 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…bd17backed UCLA Bruins | 66c | 348.48$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.48 | 163 | 50.9%83 W · 80 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Oregon Ducks | 6c | 340.08$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfeec…a84abacked UCLA Bruins | 66c | 300$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed UCLA Bruins | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.51 | 484 | 62.8%304 W · 180 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f57…05f5backed UCLA Bruins | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.51 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Oregon Ducks | 36c | 290.06$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.22 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6052…c0c3backed UCLA Bruins | 65c | 289.23$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.23 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked UCLA Bruins | 68c | 289$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.16 | 252 | 46.4%117 W · 135 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Oregon Ducks | 35c | 278.23$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.33 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Oregon Ducks | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 130 | 52.3%68 W · 62 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Oregon Ducks | 35c | 244.71$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.65 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47cb…dfdabacked Oregon Ducks | 6c | 243.7$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 365 | 35.9%131 W · 234 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Oregon Ducks | 30c | 226.57$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.97 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Oregon Ducks | 5c | 217$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 558 | 40.3%225 W · 333 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Oregon Ducks | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 181 | 29.3%53 W · 128 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Oregon Ducks | 26c | 193.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79f1…178abacked UCLA Bruins | 67c | 179$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.28 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Oregon Ducks | 33c | 170.65$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.31 | 160 | 51.3%82 W · 78 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6238…0523backed UCLA Bruins | 66c | 149.99$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 167 | 55.7%93 W · 74 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked UCLA Bruins | 67c | 149.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 181 | 67.4%122 W · 59 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed UCLA Bruins | 65c | 146$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.1 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Oregon Ducks | 34c | 125$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed UCLA Bruins | 66c | 100.8$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.4 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Oregon Ducks | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Oregon Ducks | 32c | 85$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 225 | 52.9%119 W · 106 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf40e…9addbacked UCLA Bruins | 68c | 61.76$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc216…6e99backed UCLA Bruins | 78c | 57.42$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 74cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0097…9055backed UCLA Bruins | 76c | 52.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -3.0wins | -0.30per pick | 70cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Oregon Ducks | 21c | 52.54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.08 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x646c…3210backed Oregon Ducks | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Oregon Ducks | 34c | 49.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 91 | 44%40 W · 51 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Oregon Ducks | 36c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.53 | 159 | 47.2%75 W · 84 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Oregon Ducks | 36c | 36.25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf395…ac0abacked Oregon Ducks | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 356 | 50.8%181 W · 175 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked UCLA Bruins | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 349 | 52.1%182 W · 167 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b9e…40a5backed UCLA Bruins | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef0…7adebacked UCLA Bruins | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c8…7c4cbacked UCLA Bruins | 65c | 21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 90 | 61.1%55 W · 35 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77f8…f29cbacked UCLA Bruins | 66c | 19.35$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.58 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadc5…e2afbacked UCLA Bruins | 64c | 19.25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.93 | 72 | 34.7%25 W · 47 L | -9.7wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x085d…5302backed UCLA Bruins | 64c | 17.79$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 135 | 50.4%68 W · 67 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a2…0ff7backed UCLA Bruins | 65c | 16.46$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UCLA Bruins vs. Oregon Ducksthis page
- Spread: UCLA Bruins (-4.5)UCLA Bruins won
- UCLA Bruins vs. Oregon Ducks: O/U 135.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.