MLB · resolved market
KBO: Samsung Lions vs. LG Twins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb64c7e6fb8f677a7f8eed29e55673920f58e1dad54d8bef5b3d8ea6aee2b1e17
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- LG Twinsof Samsung Lions, LG Twins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,456
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,817
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,456 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked LG Twins | 75c | 1,324$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.21 | 105 | 44.8%47 W · 58 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1e…7ee3backed LG Twins | 75c | 1,299$972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.11 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a93…c3eabacked Samsung Lions | 41c | 1,075$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.79 | 265 | 45.7%121 W · 144 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09bc…df12backed LG Twins | 53c | 952.67$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.14 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2613…12bdbacked Samsung Lions | 49c | 880$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434 | 212 | 48.1%102 W · 110 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed LG Twins | 76c | 783.56$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.2 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Samsung Lions | 18c | 774.57$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.42 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb72…6532backed Samsung Lions | 17c | 533.22$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.65 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed LG Twins | 67c | 466.44$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.22 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64ff…e13ebacked Samsung Lions | 19c | 419.26$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.65 | 124 | 28.2%35 W · 89 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62af…daeebacked Samsung Lions | 23c | 399.99$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…ebe7backed Samsung Lions | 41c | 368.54$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.3 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Samsung Lions | 46c | 311.79$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.42 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Samsung Lions | 22c | 309$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.37 | 176 | 59.7%105 W · 71 L | +12.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed LG Twins | 50c | 296.01$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.36 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked LG Twins | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.12 | 144 | 57.6%83 W · 61 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed LG Twins | 48c | 292.9$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151 | 776 | 47.4%368 W · 408 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2230…c3b7backed Samsung Lions | 17c | 273$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.41 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfee8…9197backed LG Twins | 51c | 230.88$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.13 | 223 | 50.7%113 W · 110 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27ca…e628backed Samsung Lions | 49c | 221.84$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.7 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed4e…916fbacked Samsung Lions | 50c | 204.34$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8147…7f6cbacked Samsung Lions | 51c | 197.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed LG Twins | 51c | 176.58$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.58 | 443 | 48.5%215 W · 228 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Samsung Lions | 33c | 154.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.22 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7117…8858backed Samsung Lions | 21c | 148.95$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed LG Twins | 51c | 145.91$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.96 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcab9…eb2dbacked LG Twins | 75c | 124.66$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.66 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31fd…e144backed Samsung Lions | 36c | 113.56$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.82 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…db3abacked LG Twins | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.11 | 732 | 43.4%318 W · 414 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Samsung Lions | 47c | 106.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.43 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2725…e7d1backed Samsung Lions | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.48 | 358 | 49.4%177 W · 181 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Samsung Lions | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 473 | 48.8%231 W · 242 L | -22.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Samsung Lions | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 753 | 44.1%332 W · 421 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc0…7bf6backed Samsung Lions | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 205 | 48.8%100 W · 105 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Samsung Lions | 27c | 94.82$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 204 | 56.9%116 W · 88 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1878…47a9backed Samsung Lions | 48c | 93.32$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.79 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -51%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked LG Twins | 59c | 92.42$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.06 | 1,147 | 31.6%362 W · 785 L | -97.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed LG Twins | 50c | 92.34$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.44 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked LG Twins | 51c | 90$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.1 | 256 | 48%123 W · 133 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed LG Twins | 49c | 80.25$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.93 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Samsung Lions | 48c | 76.67$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.67 | 351 | 37%130 W · 221 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Samsung Lions | 25c | 72.08$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.26 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67a7…d779backed Samsung Lions | 29c | 66.42$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed LG Twins | 78c | 65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.6 | 455 | 50.3%229 W · 226 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11c9…9befbacked LG Twins | 74c | 56.76$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.76 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Samsung Lions | 46c | 52.2$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 590 | 38.8%229 W · 361 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed2…0ddabacked LG Twins | 54c | 51.27$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.58 | 577 | 47.7%275 W · 302 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…5d84backed LG Twins | 79c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.6 | 1,100 | 79.6%876 W · 224 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed Samsung Lions | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x316f…795abacked LG Twins | 70c | 43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 39cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b2c…f9f2backed LG Twins | 54c | 42.59$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.59 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb1…8436backed Samsung Lions | 48c | 41.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 276 | 44.9%124 W · 152 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc26…5039backed Samsung Lions | 50c | 39.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.51 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked LG Twins | 50c | 37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 236 | 47%111 W · 125 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Samsung Lions | 47c | 36.14$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.99 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked LG Twins | 70c | 35.57$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.79 | 1,149 | 48.9%562 W · 587 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Samsung Lions | 48c | 35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 1,804 | 53.8%970 W · 834 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed LG Twins | 49c | 33.06$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.75 | 827 | 41.1%340 W · 487 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed LG Twins | 64c | 29.8$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.73 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d82…e950backed LG Twins | 55c | 29.09$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.09 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -35%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb39e…5182backed LG Twins | 52c | 26.92$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.92 | 96 | 39.6%38 W · 58 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed41…b11cbacked Samsung Lions | 50c | 26.4$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -60%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8520…af23backed LG Twins | 50c | 25.1$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.55 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x040a…1f0ebacked Samsung Lions | 50c | 25.1$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e12…a41cbacked Samsung Lions | 50c | 23.1$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c5…1336backed LG Twins | 50c | 23.1$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.55 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…85e2backed LG Twins | 52c | 23.08$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.08 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed LG Twins | 76c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.22 | 181 | 49.2%89 W · 92 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…67b6backed LG Twins | 50c | 21.1$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.55 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x014d…8e0ebacked Samsung Lions | 50c | 21.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65ec…a2f9backed LG Twins | 54c | 20.37$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.37 | 292 | 56.5%165 W · 127 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd565…4eadbacked LG Twins | 50c | 20.3$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +25%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43d9…1b0cbacked Samsung Lions | 50c | 20.3$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 50cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked LG Twins | 76c | 20.12$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.83 | 201 | 56.2%113 W · 88 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd122…5a81backed Samsung Lions | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed LG Twins | 76c | 18.09$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.34 | 132 | 55.3%73 W · 59 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9935…a6b4backed LG Twins | 75c | 13.87$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.47 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.