TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Tunis: Gilles Arnaud Bailly vs Harold Mayot

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Gilles Arnaud Baillyof Gilles Arnaud Bailly, Harold Mayot
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$42,981
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$48,989

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,981 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Harold Mayot40c5,917$2,388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,387.648,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Harold Mayot43c4,355$1,879 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,878.5519241.1%79 W · 113 L-7.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Gilles Arnaud Bailly62c3,251$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,250.8694068.1%640 W · 300 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcebb…d72ebacked Gilles Arnaud Bailly35c2,845$987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,858.06728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick41cpaid-35.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Gilles Arnaud Bailly49c2,697$1,319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,377.737,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly51c2,341$1,197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,143.498,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc181…0992backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly55c1,793$986 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$806.8265651.8%340 W · 316 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly76c1,464$1,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.272,04946.8%958 W · 1,091 L+19.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly36c1,147$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$734.014,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Harold Mayot63c1,000$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63058639.6%232 W · 354 L-21.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6c66…c204backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly62c1,000$615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+12.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Harold Mayot67c975.98$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$649.794,18544.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L+14.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Gilles Arnaud Bailly34c891.21$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$588.6454345.3%246 W · 297 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Harold Mayot29c879.21$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.9127231.3%85 W · 187 L-8.6wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-23.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a3a…eb9abacked Gilles Arnaud Bailly56c678.12$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.3725453.1%135 W · 119 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ce8…63febacked Gilles Arnaud Bailly56c535.45$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.455145.1%23 W · 28 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc470…c792backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly59c505.83$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.831,50435.1%528 W · 976 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Gilles Arnaud Bailly40c480.34$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.2811,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9694…b7adbacked Harold Mayot43c465.08$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.992,05859.5%1,225 W · 833 L-1.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Harold Mayot43c417.32$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.622,22945%1,002 W · 1,227 L+3.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf677…0e56backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly58c344.83$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.8328350.5%143 W · 140 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0267…7f7ebacked Gilles Arnaud Bailly59c333$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.5330436.2%110 W · 194 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Harold Mayot43c284.13$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.173,25648.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L-53.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7a3…ad9ebacked Gilles Arnaud Bailly57c268$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.2450952.1%265 W · 244 L-8.3wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda74…1ab0backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly50c240$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12094549.6%469 W · 476 L-23.7wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Gilles Arnaud Bailly44c231.87$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.932,52339.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L-3.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Harold Mayot44c223$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.127,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Gilles Arnaud Bailly27c205.53$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.047,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4865…904dbacked Harold Mayot73c205.48$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15037071.9%266 W · 104 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick71cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8165…59d0backed Harold Mayot73c205.48$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1504949%24 W · 25 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-17%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed Harold Mayot44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8886835.4%307 W · 561 L+22.9wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Harold Mayot42c199.99$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$844,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly59c184.1$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.524,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6216…1bd4backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly56c180$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.29545.3%43 W · 52 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f28…d173backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly46c176$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.7643067%288 W · 142 L+13.3wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd056…f1bebacked Gilles Arnaud Bailly56c169.64$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.6464350.2%323 W · 320 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe062…4907backed Harold Mayot43c167.81$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.1634549.9%172 W · 173 L+10.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8de6…8b3cbacked Harold Mayot51c164.93$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.578252.4%43 W · 39 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9e4…24c2backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly57c131.58$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.5826759.6%159 W · 108 L-1.2wins0.00per pick60cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Harold Mayot44c120.46$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531,67948.1%808 W · 871 L+36.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Harold Mayot38c115.01$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.77,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb69…c3e5backed Harold Mayot45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451,07655.5%597 W · 479 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0045…9007backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly28c100$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7226548.7%129 W · 136 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe658…2c42backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4839842.2%168 W · 230 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Gilles Arnaud Bailly55c95.06$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.061,63955.1%903 W · 736 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a20…d606backed Harold Mayot72c94$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.6892674.6%691 W · 235 L+1.7wins0.00per pick74cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d18…6f62backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly55c93.35$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.0156062.5%350 W · 210 L+11.4wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa965…7f73backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly56c92$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.4819151.8%99 W · 92 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a73…c2e5backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly56c89.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.2930053.3%160 W · 140 L-12.4wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly59c86.9$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.638035%28 W · 52 L-5.5wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-25.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1548…fe8ebacked Gilles Arnaud Bailly80c79.5$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.911551.3%59 W · 56 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x17f7…a181backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly59c75.42$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.9251347%241 W · 272 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Harold Mayot46c69.99$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.42,46238.5%948 W · 1,514 L+93.1wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a37…4daebacked Harold Mayot44c68.18$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3013451.5%69 W · 65 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6de9…a8e5backed Harold Mayot44c65.53$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.834153.7%22 W · 19 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Harold Mayot41c64.72$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.543,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly52c63.9$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.822,41851.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L+10.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1bf7…6f57backed Harold Mayot44c60$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.412933.3%43 W · 86 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf753…bcfebacked Harold Mayot24c58.73$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1453736.9%198 W · 339 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8123…fbbdbacked Gilles Arnaud Bailly56c56.7$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.73351.5%17 W · 16 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick61cpaid-14.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x372e…4ed8backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly35c56.35$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.352133.3%7 W · 14 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x49c5…3de7backed Harold Mayot64c55$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.320857.2%119 W · 89 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a96…3087backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly28c54.89$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.5212739.4%50 W · 77 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcca0…3738backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly56c53.57$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.573844.7%17 W · 21 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc04c…cebfbacked Harold Mayot39c53.41$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.6767178.7%528 W · 143 L+49.1wins+0.07per pick71cpaid+10.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Harold Mayot38c51.58$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.711,35443.9%595 W · 759 L-62.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-24.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0862…dc29backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly56c51$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.4451339.4%202 W · 311 L-14.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed Harold Mayot44c48$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.1249151.7%254 W · 237 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87d1…3744backed Harold Mayot64c46.88$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301,10466.9%739 W · 365 L+36.9wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbdf2…d6d8backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly57c42.65$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.494450%22 W · 22 L-4.1wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-16%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe00d…4251backed Harold Mayot69c39.13$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2719761.4%121 W · 76 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Gilles Arnaud Bailly56c39$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.1674547.4%353 W · 392 L-28.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-17%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9bbb…6354backed Harold Mayot66c38.67$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.71333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick71cpaid-58.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x29c4…c3b0backed Harold Mayot45c37.36$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.816038.3%23 W · 37 L+0.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa820…2dcebacked Gilles Arnaud Bailly56c35.71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.718043.8%35 W · 45 L-6.4wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-21.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0199…4e86backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly56c35.71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.7112166.9%81 W · 40 L+10.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+12.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Gilles Arnaud Bailly56c35.45$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.62,56163%1,613 W · 948 L-10.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc7e…70ecbacked Harold Mayot43c34.37$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.781,00145.4%454 W · 547 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e7f…a844backed Harold Mayot48c33.57$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.0874346.3%344 W · 399 L-12.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Harold Mayot44c30$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.283047%390 W · 440 L-16.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x89b9…118ebacked Harold Mayot69c30$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.774955.1%413 W · 336 L-0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5151…fba8backed Harold Mayot74c28.76$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.2838074.5%283 W · 97 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick73cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13f4…03b0backed Harold Mayot68c28.26$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.22250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f2c…d0dfbacked Harold Mayot62c24.19$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1517269.2%119 W · 53 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e7d…69a5backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly69c21.74$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.7421555.8%120 W · 95 L-0.3wins0.00per pick56cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d19…bf25backed Harold Mayot74c20.27$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1564755%356 W · 291 L-16.0wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7353…a4f0backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly58c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.454050.4%272 W · 268 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Harold Mayot68c20$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.62,76153.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L+73.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa74a…4893backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly67c19.99$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.553770.3%26 W · 11 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xee11…19a9backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly68c19.83$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.277244.4%32 W · 40 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.