Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb6deaf637850a634ebb1b980c4f3773dbcda178b8fa464d284e3c3d48b8faf3e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,480
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,078
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,480 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 156 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37de…f512backed No | 46c | 638.66$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.61 | 496 | 46%228 W · 268 L | +16.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe605…914fbacked Yes | 41c | 629.13$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258 | 114 | 38.6%44 W · 70 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…ea54backed No | 62c | 477.22$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.34 | 284 | 41.2%117 W · 167 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 59c | 425.49$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.99 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x652d…46b3backed No | 58c | 415.45$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.42 | 618 | 20.7%128 W · 490 L | +36.9wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 67c | 349.82$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.28 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1104…1f70backed No | 54c | 318.83$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.28 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 26c | 310.17$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.27 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe29f…cdd8backed No | 66c | 299.12$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.85 | 166 | 41%68 W · 98 L | +8.3wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75cc…6b15backed No | 52c | 295.2$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.92 | 1,181 | 49.4%583 W · 598 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 23c | 284.63$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.58 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 16c | 274.28$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.5 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0729…5f54backed No | 49c | 272.13$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.21 | 671 | 58.6%393 W · 278 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6f1…710bbacked No | 47c | 252.63$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.18 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a25…ba81backed No | 43c | 252$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.14 | 617 | 60.1%371 W · 246 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes | 50c | 250$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.01 | 4,496 | 19.6%882 W · 3,614 L | +49.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a64…b0eabacked Yes | 7c | 249.14$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d72…9461backed Yes | 42c | 226.02$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.56 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f74…8774backed Yes | 46c | 224.09$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.08 | 212 | 36.8%78 W · 134 L | +14.2wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed No | 42c | 214$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.12 | 3,065 | 53.7%1,647 W · 1,418 L | -97.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 49c | 212.92$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.51 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 62c | 209.74$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.7 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85df…fb48backed Yes | 6c | 208.39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 542 | 34.9%189 W · 353 L | -30.1wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 59c | 207$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.3 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b6…4ad7backed No | 78c | 204.54$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.74 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 60c | 203.58$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.89 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 13c | 203.41$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.44 | 2,302 | 26.9%620 W · 1,682 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5bc…8853backed Yes | 56c | 200.78$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.05 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a12…f7fdbacked No | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 160 | 45.6%73 W · 87 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf2…e987backed Yes | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5fb…b01bbacked Yes | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 104 | 34.6%36 W · 68 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe5…4745backed Yes | 57c | 199.99$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.49 | 186 | 29.6%55 W · 131 L | -15.3wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…84afbacked Yes | 10c | 197.04$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.93 | 369 | 30.6%113 W · 256 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x340c…f130backed Yes | 49c | 195.27$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.16 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec86…60e4backed Yes | 33c | 179.39$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.89 | 1,163 | 38.2%444 W · 719 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb427…4c62backed Yes | 34c | 179.32$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.08 | 223 | 50.7%113 W · 110 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed No | 55c | 176.15$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.58 | 1,243 | 52.5%652 W · 591 L | -18.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe712…9a10backed No | 71c | 175.71$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.7 | 868 | 47.7%414 W · 454 L | +40.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x617a…8c79backed No | 73c | 170$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.9 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 29c | 169.42$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.39 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 52c | 168.45$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.38 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc426…ac6ebacked No | 43c | 167.39$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.92 | 146 | 46.6%68 W · 78 L | -7.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6f…b9bebacked No | 52c | 162.95$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.77 | 224 | 46.4%104 W · 120 L | +31.1wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xacb7…2ebbbacked Yes | 39c | 154.25$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.8 | 95 | 48.4%46 W · 49 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9e…c96bbacked No | 53c | 153.32$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.52 | 413 | 31%128 W · 285 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc1…a3bbbacked Yes | 27c | 150$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 876 | 29.2%256 W · 620 L | -53.7wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed No | 60c | 139.99$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 1,082 | 65.6%710 W · 372 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e53…14e7backed Yes | 40c | 130.73$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.29 | 150 | 27.3%41 W · 109 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x378d…a852backed Yes | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8c…9169backed Yes | 47c | 128.04$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.14 | 402 | 65.9%265 W · 137 L | +31.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0f…99d0backed No | 55c | 127.29$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.78 | 864 | 20.1%174 W · 690 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed Yes | 14c | 126.73$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.19 | 2,093 | 57.1%1,196 W · 897 L | +71.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x970d…022ebacked No | 57c | 126.69$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.96 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | -7.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 30c | 125.24$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.79 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x655c…1a00backed No | 56c | 119.42$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.55 | 361 | 50.4%182 W · 179 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4a…68afbacked Yes | 17c | 118.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74a4…fb64backed Yes | 39c | 109.99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.9 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb86b…aabfbacked No | 64c | 108.4$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.92 | 158 | 68.4%108 W · 50 L | +12.7wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x26e8…4c39backed Yes | 36c | 104.45$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb66e…7fe2backed Yes | 39c | 103.34$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec3…a081backed Yes | 29c | 102$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.47 | 175 | 24.6%43 W · 132 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4476…c5fcbacked No | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 425 | 47.5%202 W · 223 L | -16.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae79…5322backed No | 45c | 99.99$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 61c | 96.94$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.81 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cef…8fa3backed No | 55c | 96.42$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.8 | 393 | 46.6%183 W · 210 L | +29.9wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf23…0d5dbacked No | 51c | 93.95$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.43 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd1c…7f60backed Yes | 39c | 91.92$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.85 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14ad…69f5backed No | 56c | 89.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.28 | 267 | 44.2%118 W · 149 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd221…4331backed No | 57c | 89.28$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.68 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff6…e4fbbacked No | 49c | 86.54$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.32 | 653 | 53.4%349 W · 304 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f4a…f61bbacked Yes | 26c | 85$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.85 | 545 | 47.7%260 W · 285 L | -18.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed Yes | 45c | 83.32$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.83 | 2,118 | 59.1%1,251 W · 867 L | +107.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked Yes | 30c | 82.2$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.58 | 2,075 | 58.9%1,223 W · 852 L | +102.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f8…f4cbbacked Yes | 41c | 80.47$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.1 | 812 | 34.1%277 W · 535 L | +56.9wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…ced4backed No | 38c | 80$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.6 | 958 | 52.5%503 W · 455 L | +103.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb4…4ea8backed No | 52c | 77.49$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.58 | 75 | 62.7%47 W · 28 L | +10.3wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0f…b52abacked No | 56c | 74.05$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.79 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | +6.6wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2acf…f9bbbacked Yes | 23c | 71.61$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 1,227 | 33.9%416 W · 811 L | +45.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x070f…e902backed No | 77c | 70$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.23 | 114 | 59.6%68 W · 46 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc55…522bbacked Yes | 24c | 70$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.91 | 178 | 31.5%56 W · 122 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 47c | 69.11$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.75 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed Yes | 49c | 69.02$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.95 | 2,099 | 58.3%1,224 W · 875 L | +83.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc176…5d01backed No | 54c | 67.9$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.95 | 104 | 63.5%66 W · 38 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x321e…b542backed No | 51c | 65.78$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.15 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…db5bbacked No | 46c | 64.89$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.89 | 1,275 | 36.5%465 W · 810 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a7c…d7b8backed No | 62c | 64.67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 225 | 50.7%114 W · 111 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd34c…f04cbacked Yes | 36c | 63.51$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.95 | 673 | 36.1%243 W · 430 L | -48.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb89b…1a22backed No | 80c | 62.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.59 | 97 | 83.5%81 W · 16 L | +26.5wins | +0.27per pick | 56cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 74+0.22 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…88edbacked Yes | 28c | 59.76$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.78 | 566 | 27.7%157 W · 409 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 43c | 59.52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.1 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36ff…f2a6backed Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 621 | 37.7%234 W · 387 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 53c | 58.61$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.61 | 1,525 | 52.6%802 W · 723 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd498…a6c5backed Yes | 26c | 58.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 1,710 | 47.8%818 W · 892 L | -48.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 59c | 57.25$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.56 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…b3e4backed No | 59c | 57.23$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.46 | 165 | 50.3%83 W · 82 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…98eabacked Yes | 38c | 55.26$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1414…866abacked No | 52c | 53.87$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.09 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a85…651fbacked No | 67c | 52.84$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.44 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5647…de1dbacked Yes | 38c | 52.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 479 | 35.3%169 W · 310 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…d571backed No | 54c | 52.15$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.15 | 2,225 | 49.2%1,094 W · 1,131 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 22?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 22?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 22?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 22?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 22?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 22?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C or higher on June 22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.