Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4e643402cfe10de7182933bb3fcec566e400946bf4b2332490490601257917cd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,212
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,882
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,212 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 146 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x26b1…cc81backed No | 0c | 23,571$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.57 | 234 | 29.1%68 W · 166 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x652d…46b3backed No | 1c | 1,055$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 618 | 20.7%128 W · 490 L | +36.9wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06d6…44bcbacked Yes | 33c | 536.74$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.79 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8c…9169backed Yes | 65c | 465.18$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.5 | 402 | 65.9%265 W · 137 L | +31.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 33c | 422.52$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.15 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 64c | 409.3$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.91 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…ee53backed Yes | 23c | 367.42$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.56 | 2,950 | 33.6%992 W · 1,958 L | +9.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8867…7683backed Yes | 19c | 350.52$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.87 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 42c | 345$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.36 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 48c | 280.28$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.4 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe605…914fbacked Yes | 36c | 275.23$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.23 | 114 | 38.6%44 W · 70 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 34c | 264.77$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.5 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…ced4backed No | 8c | 261.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.31 | 958 | 52.5%503 W · 455 L | +103.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 64c | 257.7$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.11 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe712…9a10backed No | 25c | 249.96$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.44 | 868 | 47.7%414 W · 454 L | +40.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 7c | 248.46$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.7 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2f…e889backed Yes | 69c | 237.41$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.95 | 228 | 49.6%113 W · 115 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed No | 61c | 236.75$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.97 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79ad…4eedbacked No | 76c | 229.95$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.56 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5fb…b01bbacked Yes | 39c | 227.66$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.95 | 104 | 34.6%36 W · 68 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed Yes | 24c | 212.69$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.06 | 3,065 | 53.7%1,647 W · 1,418 L | -97.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a25…ba81backed No | 15c | 210.94$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.73 | 617 | 60.1%371 W · 246 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked Yes | 24c | 199.64$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.59 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 25c | 198.71$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.74 | 1,525 | 52.6%802 W · 723 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x340c…f130backed Yes | 31c | 198$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.14 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 23c | 196.69$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.05 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 36c | 186$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.16 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e6…7a4dbacked No | 65c | 183.63$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.22 | 1,699 | 60.6%1,029 W · 670 L | -24.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacb7…2ebbbacked Yes | 35c | 180.99$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.99 | 95 | 48.4%46 W · 49 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 65c | 176.99$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.33 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed Yes | 71c | 158.93$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.44 | 2,093 | 57.1%1,196 W · 897 L | +71.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed No | 64c | 158.78$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed Yes | 72c | 138.7$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.95 | 1,089 | 29.7%323 W · 766 L | +36.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 9c | 134.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 2,102 | 56.5%1,188 W · 914 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked Yes | 57c | 130.61$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.77 | 2,046 | 57%1,167 W · 879 L | +73.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 25c | 127.26$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.81 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x378d…a852backed Yes | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f8…f4cbbacked Yes | 12c | 121$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.08 | 812 | 34.1%277 W · 535 L | +56.9wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 60c | 120.44$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.7 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…88edbacked Yes | 54c | 115$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.99 | 566 | 27.7%157 W · 409 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…84afbacked Yes | 41c | 113.42$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.86 | 369 | 30.6%113 W · 256 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 63c | 111.16$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.24 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb66e…7fe2backed Yes | 40c | 101$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a68…edd3backed Yes | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 182 | 35.2%64 W · 118 L | -14.0wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb53…fde7backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 259 | 54.1%140 W · 119 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1104…1f70backed No | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd496…4956backed No | 68c | 100$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc55…522bbacked Yes | 35c | 99.85$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.85 | 178 | 31.5%56 W · 122 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 63c | 98.91$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.56 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 16c | 95.84$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 67c | 95.71$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.5 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98d1…019abacked Yes | 33c | 91$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.97 | 255 | 36.9%94 W · 161 L | +17.3wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf23…0d5dbacked Yes | 32c | 89.79$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.76 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0729…5f54backed No | 27c | 87.83$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.72 | 671 | 58.6%393 W · 278 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26e8…4c39backed Yes | 35c | 85.94$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.94 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1775…85b0backed Yes | 71c | 80.87$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.16 | 366 | 48.4%177 W · 189 L | +25.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e9…02babacked Yes | 32c | 79.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.29 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed Yes | 60c | 79.69$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.21 | 2,068 | 55.9%1,156 W · 912 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd34c…f04cbacked Yes | 33c | 78.19$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.13 | 673 | 36.1%243 W · 430 L | -48.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf225…42e0backed Yes | 30c | 75.92$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.32 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | +8.2wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7dbf…b9edbacked Yes | 33c | 75.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.21 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed Yes | 58c | 74$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.39 | 2,065 | 56.3%1,163 W · 902 L | +56.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 17c | 71.92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.11 | 2,118 | 59.1%1,251 W · 867 L | +107.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5c…d892backed No | 25c | 70.27$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.57 | 570 | 44.9%256 W · 314 L | +36.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b23…3ca8backed No | 56c | 70.12$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 235 | 38.3%90 W · 145 L | -11.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc1…a3bbbacked Yes | 34c | 69.83$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.18 | 876 | 29.2%256 W · 620 L | -53.7wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x94b1…27cbbacked No | 65c | 69.59$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 975 | 70.6%688 W · 287 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7da0…ca1ebacked Yes | 32c | 68$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.24 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0f…99d0backed Yes | 46c | 67.57$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.25 | 864 | 20.1%174 W · 690 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f0…5cd7backed Yes | 17c | 66.07$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.84 | 62 | 8.1%5 W · 57 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -75.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…b3e4backed No | 47c | 65.98$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.97 | 165 | 50.3%83 W · 82 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff6…e4fbbacked No | 29c | 64.91$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.84 | 653 | 53.4%349 W · 304 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc11c…714fbacked Yes | 23c | 64.34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.54 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 24cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabb7…df91backed No | 64c | 62.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.33 | 945 | 52.5%496 W · 449 L | +27.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a8c…1ddcbacked Yes | 33c | 61.98$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.29 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.34per pick | 37cpaid | +82.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…d282backed No | 65c | 60$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 1,722 | 64%1,102 W · 620 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a7c…d7b8backed No | 32c | 59.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 225 | 50.7%114 W · 111 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Yes | 59c | 57.62$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.87 | 999 | 62.8%627 W · 372 L | +37.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 65c | 57.25$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.36 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…98eabacked Yes | 37c | 57.08$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.08 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36ff…f2a6backed Yes | 32c | 56.9$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.69 | 621 | 37.7%234 W · 387 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9008…09f0backed Yes | 28c | 56.86$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.86 | 119 | 39.5%47 W · 72 L | +8.7wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2c…0a2cbacked No | 63c | 56.18$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.63 | 1,550 | 56.7%879 W · 671 L | -83.2wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12ea…a131backed No | 75c | 54$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.68 | 985 | 65.1%641 W · 344 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50c8…f649backed No | 65c | 52.05$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.65 | 199 | 47.7%95 W · 104 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89b4…55bcbacked Yes | 24c | 51$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.7 | 930 | 34%316 W · 614 L | +53.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d77…a694backed No | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,160 | 57.3%665 W · 495 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f7…f8debacked Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 287 | 42.5%122 W · 165 L | +24.3wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3be5…bc8bbacked Yes | 79c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.7 | 55 | 70.9%39 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b89…03ecbacked No | 64c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf34f…44eebacked Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4184…c863backed No | 53c | 49.9$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.34 | 899 | 51.6%464 W · 435 L | -40.0wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed Yes | 62c | 49.41$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.68 | 2,118 | 58.2%1,233 W · 885 L | +78.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe930…8c7ebacked Yes | 42c | 49.29$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.63 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +4.0wins | +0.21per pick | 37cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1a…1e6dbacked Yes | 31c | 47.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.46 | 1,359 | 30.2%411 W · 948 L | -92.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 63c | 46$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.98 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fba…3adcbacked Yes | 32c | 45.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b7c…f811backed Yes | 29c | 45$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.05 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x215b…8ec5backed Yes | 32c | 44.65$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.36 | 153 | 34.6%53 W · 100 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ab…ea2fbacked Yes | 35c | 44.41$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.87 | 176 | 37.5%66 W · 110 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 22?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 22?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 22?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 22?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 22?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 22?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C or higher on June 22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.