CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb6e760d13e04d356c517d8c61eb99b0fd6500f350c4267576b7b7bc5241592bb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,924
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,263
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,924 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Under | 51c | 844.15$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.49 | 2,223 | 47.5%1,056 W · 1,167 L | -5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Over | 31c | 689.99$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.73 | 3,236 | 51.2%1,657 W · 1,579 L | +88.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27b9…90d0backed Under | 67c | 652$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.16 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…ac87backed Over | 48c | 309.77$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 171 | 49.1%84 W · 87 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Under | 51c | 293.23$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.23 | 55 | 65.5%36 W · 19 L | +8.0wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +37%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x68e9…845cbacked Over | 48c | 206.25$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 302 | 36.8%111 W · 191 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd001…f718backed Over | 58c | 201$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.11 | 286 | 51%146 W · 140 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 52c | 197.91$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.24 | 2,672 | 47.8%1,277 W · 1,395 L | -31.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Over | 55c | 191.95$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.65 | 371 | 49.6%184 W · 187 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Over | 49c | 148$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.52 | 261 | 34.5%90 W · 171 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Under | 71c | 114.78$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.77 | 1,377 | 66.4%914 W · 463 L | +77.0wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 194 | 57.2%111 W · 83 L | +9.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Under | 51c | 98$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.02 | 499 | 52.3%261 W · 238 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Under | 52c | 90.39$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.39 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 51c | 76$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.73 | 1,632 | 43.2%705 W · 927 L | -32.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 35c | 73.55$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.7 | 3,544 | 29.3%1,037 W · 2,507 L | -289.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x91d7…0dfcbacked Over | 19c | 66$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 97 | 42.3%41 W · 56 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Under | 51c | 53.01$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.07 | 4,238 | 49.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L | +60.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Under | 55c | 50.04$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.31 | 531 | 45.4%241 W · 290 L | -18.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Over | 38c | 45.89$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.43 | 358 | 41.6%149 W · 209 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed Under | 53c | 37.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.91 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Under | 50c | 36.43$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.14 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 46c | 29.35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 447 | 47.2%211 W · 236 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff5a…6cedbacked Under | 61c | 28.46$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9c…5369backed Over | 47c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 187 | 58.3%109 W · 78 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f41…1dd1backed Over | 48c | 24.42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.30per pick | 52cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb09f…6382backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 82 | 36.6%30 W · 52 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: Wildcard vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3 PlayoffsGentle Mates won
- Counter-Strike: Wildcard vs Gentle Mates - Map 1 WinnerGentle Mates won
- Counter-Strike: Wildcard vs Gentle Mates - Map 2 WinnerGentle Mates won
- Map Handicap: M8 (-1.5) vs Wildcard (+1.5)Gentle Mates won
- Map Handicap: WC (-1.5) vs Gentle Mates (+1.5)Gentle Mates won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.