Tennis · resolved market
Cap Cana: Adam Walton vs Mattia Bellucci
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb710c9d7c1b6c0f081bfd385d8a2854e3414ba132d975530a9c565e853043898
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mattia Bellucciof Adam Walton, Mattia Bellucci
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $85,677
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $85,677 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcb8c…e07abacked Adam Walton | 20c | 22,165$4,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,361.17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40f7…1f5ebacked Adam Walton | 28c | 7,500$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 747 | 43.6%326 W · 421 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Adam Walton | 30c | 6,159$1,871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,871.24 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Mattia Bellucci | 76c | 5,767$4,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,395.37 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Mattia Bellucci | 79c | 2,819$2,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.78 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Adam Walton | 36c | 2,387$853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$853 | 1,118 | 42.8%479 W · 639 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Adam Walton | 36c | 1,709$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.49 | 203 | 36%73 W · 130 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Adam Walton | 36c | 1,426$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.13 | 278 | 36.3%101 W · 177 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Mattia Bellucci | 64c | 1,373$879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.25 | 669 | 49.6%332 W · 337 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Mattia Bellucci | 63c | 987.96$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.55 | 810 | 47.9%388 W · 422 L | +30.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab0…b46abacked Adam Walton | 21c | 972.38$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.2 | 237 | 35%83 W · 154 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Mattia Bellucci | 76c | 920$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.62 | 1,107 | 42.8%474 W · 633 L | -20.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Adam Walton | 36c | 872.31$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.31 | 469 | 32%150 W · 319 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae3…3c15backed Mattia Bellucci | 65c | 861.45$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.06 | 683 | 50.1%342 W · 341 L | -25.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Mattia Bellucci | 75c | 844.48$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.38 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…8276backed Adam Walton | 41c | 666.76$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.37 | 243 | 50.2%122 W · 121 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x998c…6f97backed Mattia Bellucci | 64c | 637.69$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.69 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Mattia Bellucci | 63c | 578.63$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.86 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Adam Walton | 34c | 515.11$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.14 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f3…f7dfbacked Mattia Bellucci | 63c | 499.99$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 382 | 68.1%260 W · 122 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf93d…fc9bbacked Adam Walton | 43c | 494.21$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.23 | 223 | 52%116 W · 107 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Adam Walton | 31c | 480.69$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,130 | 27.9%315 W · 815 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Adam Walton | 37c | 476$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.12 | 967 | 55.3%535 W · 432 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Adam Walton | 22c | 472.01$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.62 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba86…9ab0backed Adam Walton | 37c | 407.27$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 672 | 39.1%263 W · 409 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Adam Walton | 34c | 359.35$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.64 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…2b3abacked Mattia Bellucci | 65c | 344.7$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.7 | 503 | 64.6%325 W · 178 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Mattia Bellucci | 64c | 308$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.88 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Adam Walton | 25c | 306.3$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.38 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf97e…aa3fbacked Adam Walton | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 97 | 57.7%56 W · 41 L | +9.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Adam Walton | 32c | 266.57$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.2 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Adam Walton | 35c | 250.42$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.59 | 363 | 33.9%123 W · 240 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…405cbacked Adam Walton | 37c | 250.38$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.64 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Adam Walton | 35c | 244$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.4 | 1,028 | 33.6%345 W · 683 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Mattia Bellucci | 69c | 236.95$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.44 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Adam Walton | 37c | 222.45$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.98 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Adam Walton | 26c | 205$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.81 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Mattia Bellucci | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 779 | 67.8%528 W · 251 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58f2…692ebacked Mattia Bellucci | 64c | 200$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 534 | 57.7%308 W · 226 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Adam Walton | 21c | 190.48$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 606 | 41.6%252 W · 354 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Mattia Bellucci | 65c | 169.73$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.33 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07fe…d894backed Adam Walton | 37c | 162.16$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Mattia Bellucci | 64c | 157.48$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.69 | 1,103 | 52.9%583 W · 520 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x068a…6fe7backed Adam Walton | 37c | 154.97$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.89 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa48e…b476backed Mattia Bellucci | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 174 | 39.7%69 W · 105 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Adam Walton | 36c | 150$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Adam Walton | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,107 | 43.5%481 W · 626 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda22…6d2abacked Mattia Bellucci | 63c | 114.72$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.72 | 353 | 44.8%158 W · 195 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed Mattia Bellucci | 66c | 114.24$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.24 | 1,671 | 53%885 W · 786 L | +44.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Adam Walton | 25c | 103.13$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.89 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x860e…a06dbacked Adam Walton | 38c | 102.63$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 120 | 32.5%39 W · 81 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c3e5backed Mattia Bellucci | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 1,076 | 55.5%597 W · 479 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Mattia Bellucci | 69c | 88.16$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.11 | 884 | 55%486 W · 398 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Mattia Bellucci | 66c | 87.47$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.7 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…77eebacked Adam Walton | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 819 | 33.1%271 W · 548 L | -30.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Adam Walton | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Adam Walton | 35c | 81.54$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.54 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Adam Walton | 37c | 79$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.23 | 1,955 | 48%939 W · 1,016 L | +16.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…f11bbacked Mattia Bellucci | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 96 | 63.5%61 W · 35 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6196…1a64backed Mattia Bellucci | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 169 | 57.4%97 W · 72 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…d2b5backed Mattia Bellucci | 71c | 75.16$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.16 | 416 | 68%283 W · 133 L | +23.6wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Mattia Bellucci | 71c | 73.18$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.42 | 430 | 58.6%252 W · 178 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd88a…1eefbacked Adam Walton | 36c | 67$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.12 | 544 | 34.2%186 W · 358 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Mattia Bellucci | 63c | 66.48$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.45 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9483…804ebacked Adam Walton | 38c | 65.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 155 | 14.2%22 W · 133 L | -27.4wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Adam Walton | 31c | 63.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ed…72efbacked Adam Walton | 27c | 62.94$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 387 | 54.3%210 W · 177 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c3…079fbacked Mattia Bellucci | 63c | 60$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.2 | 893 | 64.4%575 W · 318 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f65…c1d0backed Adam Walton | 37c | 60$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 303 | 49.8%151 W · 152 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Mattia Bellucci | 73c | 57.81$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.76 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc629…5e51backed Adam Walton | 38c | 56.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.67 | 573 | 49.6%284 W · 289 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Adam Walton | 37c | 54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 770 | 47.9%369 W · 401 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb172…ffa1backed Adam Walton | 38c | 53.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.38 | 148 | 28.4%42 W · 106 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x750d…566bbacked Adam Walton | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 163 | 56.4%92 W · 71 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Adam Walton | 37c | 48.36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.89 | 328 | 42.7%140 W · 188 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd866…55e0backed Mattia Bellucci | 69c | 45.18$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.98 | 384 | 60.4%232 W · 152 L | +29.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Adam Walton | 37c | 45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.65 | 968 | 44.4%430 W · 538 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5271…0f95backed Adam Walton | 36c | 45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 108 | 35.2%38 W · 70 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ac…c53bbacked Mattia Bellucci | 77c | 43.09$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.91 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Adam Walton | 35c | 42.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.66 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ea…42e8backed Adam Walton | 37c | 41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.17 | 898 | 59.7%536 W · 362 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8353…01a8backed Mattia Bellucci | 64c | 39.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Mattia Bellucci | 56c | 36.29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.97 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Adam Walton | 41c | 34.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 572 | 52.3%299 W · 273 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d1…cac5backed Mattia Bellucci | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c87…7f4abacked Mattia Bellucci | 79c | 32.07$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbebf…9baebacked Mattia Bellucci | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 908 | 54.5%495 W · 413 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc59f…f632backed Adam Walton | 37c | 30.32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 83 | 61.4%51 W · 32 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61fe…507abacked Mattia Bellucci | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7027…fababacked Adam Walton | 35c | 28.6$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +6.4wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x56a7…9f37backed Mattia Bellucci | 70c | 28.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Adam Walton | 37c | 28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 602 | 40.5%244 W · 358 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80f4…4345backed Mattia Bellucci | 72c | 27.54$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.61 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe647…c9aabacked Mattia Bellucci | 72c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 22 | 86.4%19 W · 3 L | +4.5wins | +0.21per pick | 66cpaid | +33%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xacbc…f6bfbacked Mattia Bellucci | 65c | 23.93$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.37 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc37c…4e44backed Mattia Bellucci | 73c | 23.16$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.24 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36f2…2b95backed Mattia Bellucci | 65c | 23.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…644abacked Mattia Bellucci | 71c | 21.1$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.1 | 161 | 75.2%121 W · 40 L | +20.4wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Mattia Bellucci | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 1,245 | 51.9%646 W · 599 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb15c…c161backed Mattia Bellucci | 63c | 19.37$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.17 | 103 | 40.8%42 W · 61 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cap Cana: Adam Walton vs Mattia Belluccithis page
- Set 1 Winner: Walton vs BellucciBellucci won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.