TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Cap Cana: Adam Walton vs Mattia Bellucci

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Mattia Bellucciof Adam Walton, Mattia Bellucci
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$85,677

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $85,677 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcb8c…e07abacked Adam Walton20c22,165$4,361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,361.1720%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x40f7…1f5ebacked Adam Walton28c7,500$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,10074743.6%326 W · 421 L-6.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Adam Walton30c6,159$1,871 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,871.242,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Mattia Bellucci76c5,767$4,372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,395.376,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Mattia Bellucci79c2,819$2,217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$602.782,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed Adam Walton36c2,387$853 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8531,11842.8%479 W · 639 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Adam Walton36c1,709$618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$618.4920336%73 W · 130 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+14.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Adam Walton36c1,426$507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507.1327836.3%101 W · 177 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ba6…0f07backed Mattia Bellucci64c1,373$879 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494.2566949.6%332 W · 337 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Mattia Bellucci63c987.96$622 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.5581047.9%388 W · 422 L+30.1wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9ab0…b46abacked Adam Walton21c972.38$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.223735%83 W · 154 L+0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Mattia Bellucci76c920$698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.621,10742.8%474 W · 633 L-20.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecfa…3c6fbacked Adam Walton36c872.31$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.3146932%150 W · 319 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ae3…3c15backed Mattia Bellucci65c861.45$557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.0668350.1%342 W · 341 L-25.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Mattia Bellucci75c844.48$634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.382,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe8e1…8276backed Adam Walton41c666.76$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.3724350.2%122 W · 121 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x998c…6f97backed Mattia Bellucci64c637.69$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.697345.2%33 W · 40 L-6.0wins-0.08per pick53cpaid0%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Mattia Bellucci63c578.63$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.861,97346.3%914 W · 1,059 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Adam Walton34c515.11$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.147,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0f3…f7dfbacked Mattia Bellucci63c499.99$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18538268.1%260 W · 122 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf93d…fc9bbacked Adam Walton43c494.21$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.2322352%116 W · 107 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Adam Walton31c480.69$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501,13027.9%315 W · 815 L+1.6wins0.00per pick28cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10ff…ff77backed Adam Walton37c476$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.1296755.3%535 W · 432 L+3.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Adam Walton22c472.01$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.621,41038.4%542 W · 868 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba86…9ab0backed Adam Walton37c407.27$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15067239.1%263 W · 409 L-29.5wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Adam Walton34c359.35$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.642,06535.2%727 W · 1,338 L-52.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe026…2b3abacked Mattia Bellucci65c344.7$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.750364.6%325 W · 178 L+0.6wins0.00per pick64cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9694…b7adbacked Mattia Bellucci64c308$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.882,05859.5%1,225 W · 833 L-1.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Adam Walton25c306.3$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.383,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf97e…aa3fbacked Adam Walton33c303.03$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009757.7%56 W · 41 L+9.2wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+20.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Adam Walton32c266.57$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.24,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Adam Walton35c250.42$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.5936333.9%123 W · 240 L-12.3wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3de6…405cbacked Adam Walton37c250.38$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.643948.7%19 W · 20 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Adam Walton35c244$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.41,02833.6%345 W · 683 L-3.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Mattia Bellucci69c236.95$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.442,76153.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L+73.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Adam Walton37c222.45$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.981,26529.2%370 W · 895 L-13.3wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Adam Walton26c205$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.813,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90c5…534cbacked Mattia Bellucci64c200$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7277967.8%528 W · 251 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick69cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58f2…692ebacked Mattia Bellucci64c200$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7353457.7%308 W · 226 L-0.9wins0.00per pick58cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64ae…ead9backed Adam Walton21c190.48$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4060641.6%252 W · 354 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Mattia Bellucci65c169.73$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.334,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x07fe…d894backed Adam Walton37c162.16$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-43.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc08…6b85backed Mattia Bellucci64c157.48$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.691,10352.9%583 W · 520 L+2.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x068a…6fe7backed Adam Walton37c154.97$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.896852.9%36 W · 32 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa48e…b476backed Mattia Bellucci66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.5217439.7%69 W · 105 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-3.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Adam Walton36c150$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541,88235.5%669 W · 1,213 L+26.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x588b…8593backed Adam Walton36c138.89$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,10743.5%481 W · 626 L-3.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda22…6d2abacked Mattia Bellucci63c114.72$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.7235344.8%158 W · 195 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51ad…5e56backed Mattia Bellucci66c114.24$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.241,67153%885 W · 786 L+44.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Adam Walton25c103.13$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.892,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x860e…a06dbacked Adam Walton38c102.63$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3912032.5%39 W · 81 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb69…c3e5backed Mattia Bellucci63c100$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371,07655.5%597 W · 479 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Mattia Bellucci69c88.16$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.1188455%486 W · 398 L+37.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Mattia Bellucci66c87.47$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.77,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94bb…77eebacked Adam Walton23c86.96$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2081933.1%271 W · 548 L-30.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-21.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x25bf…7a56backed Adam Walton24c83.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202,33546.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L+55.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Adam Walton35c81.54$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.544,07639.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L+93.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Adam Walton37c79$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.231,95548%939 W · 1,016 L+16.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f1d…f11bbacked Mattia Bellucci65c76.92$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.929663.5%61 W · 35 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick63cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6196…1a64backed Mattia Bellucci66c75.76$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.7616957.4%97 W · 72 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x96bc…d2b5backed Mattia Bellucci71c75.16$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.1641668%283 W · 133 L+23.6wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Mattia Bellucci71c73.18$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.4243058.6%252 W · 178 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd88a…1eefbacked Adam Walton36c67$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1254434.2%186 W · 358 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-2.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x70ac…0c7dbacked Mattia Bellucci63c66.48$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.452,53753.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L+61.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9483…804ebacked Adam Walton38c65.79$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2515514.2%22 W · 133 L-27.4wins-0.18per pick32cpaid-70.4%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Adam Walton31c63.42$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.93,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0xc8ed…72efbacked Adam Walton27c62.94$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.2538754.3%210 W · 177 L+11.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc9c3…079fbacked Mattia Bellucci63c60$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.289364.4%575 W · 318 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f65…c1d0backed Adam Walton37c60$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.230349.8%151 W · 152 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Mattia Bellucci73c57.81$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.766,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc629…5e51backed Adam Walton38c56.99$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.6757349.6%284 W · 289 L-2.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Adam Walton37c54$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9877047.9%369 W · 401 L-19.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb172…ffa1backed Adam Walton38c53.63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.3814828.4%42 W · 106 L-8.5wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-22.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x750d…566bbacked Adam Walton37c50$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.516356.4%92 W · 71 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+4.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcdad…9eaebacked Adam Walton37c48.36$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8932842.7%140 W · 188 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd866…55e0backed Mattia Bellucci69c45.18$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.9838460.4%232 W · 152 L+29.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Adam Walton37c45$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.6596844.4%430 W · 538 L-1.9wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5271…0f95backed Adam Walton36c45$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.210835.2%38 W · 70 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-18%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf6ac…c53bbacked Mattia Bellucci77c43.09$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.91333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick65cpaid-56.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Adam Walton35c42.3$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.667,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc5ea…42e8backed Adam Walton37c41$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1789859.7%536 W · 362 L+2.3wins0.00per pick59cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8353…01a8backed Mattia Bellucci64c39.06$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.066250%31 W · 31 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Mattia Bellucci56c36.29$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.979,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Adam Walton41c34.75$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2557252.3%299 W · 273 L+17.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x12d1…cac5backed Mattia Bellucci62c32.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.2611653.4%62 W · 54 L-6.1wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9c87…7f4abacked Mattia Bellucci79c32.07$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.8650%3 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbebf…9baebacked Mattia Bellucci63c31.75$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.7590854.5%495 W · 413 L+21.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc59f…f632backed Adam Walton37c30.32$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.228361.4%51 W · 32 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x61fe…507abacked Mattia Bellucci66c30.3$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.34761.7%29 W · 18 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7027…fababacked Adam Walton35c28.6$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.015860.3%35 W · 23 L+6.4wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+13.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x56a7…9f37backed Mattia Bellucci70c28.44$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.444148.8%20 W · 21 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed Adam Walton37c28$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3660240.5%244 W · 358 L-12.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80f4…4345backed Mattia Bellucci72c27.54$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.61366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+20.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe647…c9aabacked Mattia Bellucci72c25$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72286.4%19 W · 3 L+4.5wins+0.21per pick66cpaid+33%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xacbc…f6bfbacked Mattia Bellucci65c23.93$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.376435.9%23 W · 41 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc37c…4e44backed Mattia Bellucci73c23.16$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.241315.4%2 W · 11 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick14cpaid-70.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36f2…2b95backed Mattia Bellucci65c23.08$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.081942.1%8 W · 11 L-2.9wins-0.15per pick58cpaid-31.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5c0a…644abacked Mattia Bellucci71c21.1$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.116175.2%121 W · 40 L+20.4wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+16.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Mattia Bellucci79c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.21,24551.9%646 W · 599 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb15c…c161backed Mattia Bellucci63c19.37$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.1710340.8%42 W · 61 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.