Tennis · resolved market

Australian Open Men's: Terence Atmane vs Francesco Maestrelli

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb7358f832387e65e735a05e9252c390675e21af67f820abed488a070e9af6ac4

Rebuilt 22 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Maestrelliof Atmane, Maestrelli
Resolved: Jan 19, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $105,099
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $109,342

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $105,099 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tennis
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xa6ee…697bbacked Atmane	64c	25,000$16,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,999.99	50	64%32 W · 18 L	+5.8wins	+0.12per pick	52cpaid	+14.7%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x779a…ca34backed Atmane	65c	24,005$15,582 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,581.55	40	60%24 W · 16 L	+3.1wins	+0.08per pick	52cpaid	+11%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed Maestrelli	36c	19,131$6,887 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,243.68	162	42%68 W · 94 L	+4.2wins	+0.03per pick	39cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fa9…c100backed Maestrelli	36c	5,000$1,800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,199.99	430	51.2%220 W · 210 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1433…56a0backed Maestrelli	36c	4,495$1,618 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,876.97	105	41%43 W · 62 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Atmane	49c	4,305$2,120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,119.95	1,107	42.8%474 W · 633 L	-20.0wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Maestrelli	35c	3,428$1,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,228.2	1,039	54.6%567 W · 472 L	+37.6wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Maestrelli	36c	3,380$1,202 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,177.98	2,375	51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L	+8.6wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Maestrelli	35c	3,365$1,178 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,187.2	391	44.2%173 W · 218 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Maestrelli	52c	3,269$1,700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,569.45	591	51.6%305 W · 286 L	+4.3wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x498c…42bfbacked Maestrelli	37c	3,200$1,184 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,016	45	60%27 W · 18 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	62cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1997…2e36backed Atmane	64c	2,772$1,786 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,785.7	81	58%47 W · 34 L	+4.4wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Maestrelli	42c	2,713$1,131 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,582.47	7,018	43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L	+124.9wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Maestrelli	36c	2,223$789 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,433.72	1,028	33.6%345 W · 683 L	-3.6wins	0.00per pick	34cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Maestrelli	36c	2,000$710 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,290	180	47.2%85 W · 95 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc9cd…432cbacked Atmane	64c	1,500$960 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$960	54	57.4%31 W · 23 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33c9…6f9abacked Maestrelli	36c	1,437$524 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$913.47	930	55.8%519 W · 411 L	+23.8wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Atmane	49c	1,375$679 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$678.74	1,008	46%464 W · 544 L	-19.0wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7234…1d85backed Maestrelli	37c	1,100$407 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$693	92	42.4%39 W · 53 L	-8.0wins	-0.09per pick	51cpaid	-19%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Maestrelli	49c	1,014$493 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$521.9	2,426	47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L	+45.2wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Maestrelli	37c	1,000$370 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$630	1,161	37.6%437 W · 724 L	-27.8wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2930…4cf8backed Atmane	52c	999$516 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$516.15	126	31%39 W · 87 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	31cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9266…8f3cbacked Maestrelli	66c	908.52$601 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$307.98	255	56.1%143 W · 112 L	-9.1wins	-0.04per pick	60cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Maestrelli	34c	900$306 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$594	279	44.1%123 W · 156 L	+5.4wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Atmane	30c	895.12$272 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$271.57	6,720	36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L	-95.8wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Maestrelli	34c	890$303 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$587.4	1,655	50.1%829 W · 826 L	+30.2wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1889…0714backed Maestrelli	36c	789.24$282 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$507.62	182	41.8%76 W · 106 L	+3.0wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Maestrelli	36c	778$280 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$497.92	7,724	47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L	+41.2wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x78a1…5551backed Maestrelli	55c	752.85$413 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$339.57	903	35.8%323 W · 580 L	-15.3wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Maestrelli	54c	694.19$372 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$321.86	8,217	45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L	+166.6wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Atmane	62c	604.9$372 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$372.11	2,489	45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L	-27.4wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Maestrelli	42c	528.99$221 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$307.59	1,218	41.1%500 W · 718 L	-30.1wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-16%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb893…bf4bbacked Atmane	54c	526.14$285 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$284.85	632	47.6%301 W · 331 L	-15.0wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ca5…a81dbacked Maestrelli	60c	512.17$307 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$205.17	18	66.7%12 W · 6 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	67cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf74d…9930backed Maestrelli	41c	504.71$208 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$296.73	261	58.2%152 W · 109 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ba6…0f07backed Atmane	69c	500$345 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$345	669	49.6%332 W · 337 L	-11.1wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Maestrelli	45c	494.76$225 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$269.67	2,068	34.9%721 W · 1,347 L	-44.2wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Atmane	63c	443.99$280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$279.71	223	44.8%100 W · 123 L	-13.0wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Atmane	53c	351$187 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$187.47	1,852	44.5%825 W · 1,027 L	-20.3wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Atmane	13c	319.64$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.87	2,746	30.8%846 W · 1,900 L	-67.1wins	-0.02per pick	33cpaid	-36.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4371…4fd9backed Maestrelli	60c	316.35$190 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$126.54	97	49.5%48 W · 49 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+23.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Maestrelli	49c	306.2$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$155.95	281	39.1%110 W · 171 L	-7.7wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-28.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Atmane	63c	214.8$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136.4	372	30.4%113 W · 259 L	-12.0wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c8c…237dbacked Atmane	43c	178$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.54	64	32.8%21 W · 43 L	-8.6wins	-0.13per pick	46cpaid	-36.7%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed Maestrelli	49c	176.42$86 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$90.53	26	50%13 W · 13 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5eb8…5466backed Atmane	57c	174.04$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99	34	41.2%14 W · 20 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e59…1520backed Atmane	60c	166.67$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	307	44.6%137 W · 170 L	+0.9wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4c60…2227backed Atmane	64c	160$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.4	105	32.4%34 W · 71 L	-10.6wins	-0.10per pick	43cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3be6…05b1backed Atmane	64c	156.25$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	99	55.6%55 W · 44 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0e5…293bbacked Atmane	66c	151.52$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	109	62.4%68 W · 41 L	+3.1wins	+0.03per pick	60cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Maestrelli	41c	133.09$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78.46	222	36.9%82 W · 140 L	-10.4wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-33.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xce0a…2d88backed Atmane	39c	131.28$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51	30	43.3%13 W · 17 L	-1.9wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc6c8…dd64backed Atmane	51c	123.53$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63	134	61.9%83 W · 51 L	+3.4wins	+0.03per pick	59cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8bd…df80backed Maestrelli	43c	116.28$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.28	227	44.5%101 W · 126 L	+2.6wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0694…4a4ebacked Maestrelli	37c	100$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63	262	47.7%125 W · 137 L	-9.1wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9bfb…d80dbacked Maestrelli	37c	94.89$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.78	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.16per pick	51cpaid	+46.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7fb…f935backed Maestrelli	37c	94.59$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.59	60	55%33 W · 27 L	+2.1wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7dfd…8476backed Maestrelli	75c	92.92$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.23	24	62.5%15 W · 9 L	+2.4wins	+0.10per pick	52cpaid	+17.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8854…070cbacked Atmane	50c	83.75$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.77	20	55%11 W · 9 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	57cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e25…db26backed Atmane	59c	83.05$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49	825	60.5%499 W · 326 L	-11.2wins	-0.01per pick	62cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x497a…650fbacked Atmane	64c	78.12$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	59cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1660…9d86backed Atmane	65c	77.04$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	89	64%57 W · 32 L	+2.8wins	+0.03per pick	61cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb478…ac0abacked Atmane	49c	74.49$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.55	360	47.2%170 W · 190 L	+9.6wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x70b1…73b2backed Maestrelli	35c	68.08$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.3	85	49.4%42 W · 43 L	-3.1wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f42…2260backed Maestrelli	37c	67.57$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.57	161	58.4%94 W · 67 L	+4.4wins	+0.03per pick	56cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x336b…1233backed Maestrelli	60c	57$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.8	579	39.7%230 W · 349 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa9b0…8bc6backed Maestrelli	47c	55.01$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.1	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	-0.8wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-28%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f86…404ebacked Maestrelli	50c	53.18$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.63	111	22.5%25 W · 86 L	-16.1wins	-0.15per pick	37cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0x7831…1fcbbacked Atmane	58c	51.72$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.09per pick	59cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a16…de20backed Maestrelli	50c	50$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25	168	56%94 W · 74 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Maestrelli	35c	49.99$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.49	1,212	33.1%401 W · 811 L	-16.7wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcb9…f39abacked Atmane	58c	43.1$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	606	61.2%371 W · 235 L	+20.7wins	+0.03per pick	58cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9004…1d2cbacked Maestrelli	59c	42.37$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.37	214	55.1%118 W · 96 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f78…f9dabacked Maestrelli	37c	40.54$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.54	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.7wins	+0.22per pick	44cpaid	+47.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Atmane	53c	40.05$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.05	884	55%486 W · 398 L	+37.4wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3cb8…846ebacked Maestrelli	56c	39.98$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.75	20	55%11 W · 9 L	+1.7wins	+0.08per pick	47cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5a5d…526fbacked Atmane	64c	39.06$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	32	56.3%18 W · 14 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	59cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed Maestrelli	35c	37.14$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.14	678	36%244 W · 434 L	+8.7wins	+0.01per pick	35cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fc7…55f6backed Maestrelli	43c	37.12$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.33	115	53%61 W · 54 L	+3.6wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0156…2ddcbacked Atmane	43c	36.88$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.67	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.43per pick	43cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x17bf…5a53backed Atmane	45c	34.11$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.46	21	19%4 W · 17 L	-4.7wins	-0.22per pick	41cpaid	-68.3%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc9c3…079fbacked Maestrelli	36c	33$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.12	893	64.4%575 W · 318 L	+12.5wins	+0.01per pick	63cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc82b…e65abacked Maestrelli	49c	32.35$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.35	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.07per pick	50cpaid	-26.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1793…4ebbbacked Atmane	65c	30.77$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	940	60.6%570 W · 370 L	+11.3wins	+0.01per pick	59cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22ad…c3c9backed Maestrelli	53c	28.39$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.39	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+1.7wins	+0.24per pick	47cpaid	+56.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed Maestrelli	49c	24.78$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.61	262	44.7%117 W · 145 L	-15.6wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-17%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x783b…3679backed Atmane	66c	20.45$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.5	38	47.4%18 W · 20 L	-6.0wins	-0.16per pick	63cpaid	-31.9%equal weight	39-0.09 edge/pick
0x39dc…fc23backed Atmane	54c	19.72$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.57	1,861	44.4%827 W · 1,034 L	-15.1wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb65a…b8a6backed Atmane	64c	15.63$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.64per pick	64cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Australian Open Men's: Terence Atmane vs Francesco Maestrellithis page
Set 1 Winner: Atmane vs MaestrelliMaestrelli won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Australian Open Men's: Terence Atmane vs Francesco Maestrelli

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

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