Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on May 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb73b8261f990183497c45d05688fbf98d655e127bea89ee739a44af8874238f9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,216
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,394
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,216 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 16c | 1,200$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.99 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 79c | 908.26$722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.69 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 43c | 624.42$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.82 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 5c | 429.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.32 | 2,060 | 60%1,235 W · 825 L | +28.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 27c | 380.66$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.57 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 36c | 377.99$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.74 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked Yes | 37c | 316.6$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.8 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x213e…5e0fbacked Yes | 52c | 300.49$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.6 | 657 | 49.8%327 W · 330 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…064abacked No | 80c | 259.81$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.42 | 2,555 | 63.8%1,631 W · 924 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked No | 20c | 259.46$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.17 | 591 | 21.5%127 W · 464 L | -30.1wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 43c | 243.84$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.21 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 21c | 239.91$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.79 | 2,119 | 36.1%764 W · 1,355 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec86…60e4backed Yes | 30c | 225.99$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.5 | 1,163 | 38.2%444 W · 719 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 71c | 216.6$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.75 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb460…6424backed Yes | 64c | 208.46$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.75 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…81aabacked Yes | 69c | 200.8$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.8 | 270 | 79.3%214 W · 56 L | +52.5wins | +0.19per pick | 60cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xf57d…f322backed Yes | 21c | 192.1$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.39 | 255 | 19.2%49 W · 206 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc556…9720backed Yes | 67c | 185.32$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 255 | 49%125 W · 130 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 55c | 179.38$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.41 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 46c | 163.39$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.84 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef98…b586backed Yes | 15c | 145.39$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.09 | 907 | 34.5%313 W · 594 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaafc…ec67backed Yes | 79c | 139.96$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.06 | 447 | 57.3%256 W · 191 L | +53.9wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +24%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x55a1…9379backed Yes | 18c | 133.97$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.19 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a31…5af1backed Yes | 29c | 132.63$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.43 | 707 | 41.7%295 W · 412 L | +19.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3507…71d7backed No | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 333 | 73%243 W · 90 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 73cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa2…5a0bbacked No | 41c | 131.45$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.12 | 1,420 | 58.7%833 W · 587 L | +69.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 19c | 130.55$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.5 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa98a…a5a8backed No | 72c | 125.41$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.21 | 2,015 | 67.7%1,365 W · 650 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c1b…d915backed Yes | 20c | 117.45$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.38 | 263 | 44.9%118 W · 145 L | +15.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1798…1ce9backed Yes | 18c | 107.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.78 | 2,428 | 44.9%1,091 W · 1,337 L | -31.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…db5bbacked Yes | 15c | 104.01$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.77 | 1,275 | 36.5%465 W · 810 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed5c…8cf8backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 259 | 35.1%91 W · 168 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc62d…5577backed Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.53 | 250 | 38%95 W · 155 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bca…e136backed Yes | 34c | 96.5$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.87 | 445 | 36.2%161 W · 284 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…80c0backed Yes | 69c | 94.64$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.25 | 30 | 83.3%25 W · 5 L | +5.7wins | +0.19per pick | 64cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9b72…a958backed No | 80c | 94.56$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.4 | 686 | 45.8%314 W · 372 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5757…9e19backed No | 27c | 84.5$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.23 | 451 | 62.1%280 W · 171 L | +19.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c95…8188backed Yes | 26c | 80$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.04 | 91 | 22%20 W · 71 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 16cpaid | +359.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 69c | 77.3$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.62 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 61c | 75.85$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.43 | 886 | 50.2%445 W · 441 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 75c | 75.39$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.89 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 75c | 72.29$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.86 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed Yes | 21c | 70.38$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.52 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 37c | 63.14$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.13 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce07…5c3cbacked Yes | 53c | 62.31$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.04 | 310 | 62.6%194 W · 116 L | +38.4wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8827…5d62backed Yes | 17c | 60.83$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.49 | 1,772 | 50.5%895 W · 877 L | +43.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3942…39d7backed No | 21c | 57.13$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 297 | 17.2%51 W · 246 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e41…5e0cbacked Yes | 79c | 56.47$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.86 | 1,061 | 47.9%508 W · 553 L | +32.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff7…dbfabacked No | 71c | 52.11$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 100 | 81%81 W · 19 L | +7.5wins | +0.08per pick | 73cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd78c…a66ebacked Yes | 27c | 52$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.02 | 728 | 37.8%275 W · 453 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a31…335fbacked No | 77c | 50$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 61 | 63.9%39 W · 22 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0c…a853backed Yes | 33c | 45.45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.45 | 2,249 | 34.2%769 W · 1,480 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x530f…424ebacked Yes | 27c | 45$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.85 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2a…967bbacked Yes | 36c | 42.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.86 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12ea…a131backed No | 79c | 42$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.06 | 985 | 65.1%641 W · 344 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2f…1d7bbacked Yes | 70c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed No | 38c | 39.49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.89 | 1,011 | 61.2%619 W · 392 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 67c | 39$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.98 | 1,525 | 52.6%802 W · 723 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x607c…aadbbacked No | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea8…d76ebacked Yes | 33c | 35.19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.51 | 117 | 29.9%35 W · 82 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82bb…7e81backed No | 77c | 32.47$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 67c | 31.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.43 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 63c | 31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.53 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x351a…f836backed Yes | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 286 | 49.3%141 W · 145 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd34c…f04cbacked No | 78c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 673 | 36.1%243 W · 430 L | -48.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0786…df1dbacked No | 60c | 29.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 230 | 60.9%140 W · 90 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…2132backed No | 70c | 27.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 714 | 64.3%459 W · 255 L | -37.4wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd670…1e02backed No | 77c | 25.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.87 | 222 | 65.8%146 W · 76 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Yes | 44c | 23.86$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.31 | 1,554 | 33.1%515 W · 1,039 L | -66.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa792…3ba1backed Yes | 79c | 22.78$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.78 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1b…da1ebacked No | 72c | 20.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.97 | 259 | 46.3%120 W · 139 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4264…1706backed Yes | 76c | 20.53$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.93 | 408 | 71.8%293 W · 115 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32b9…9a9cbacked No | 67c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 649 | 60.2%391 W · 258 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4167…f99abacked No | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,036 | 68.6%711 W · 325 L | -33.9wins | -0.03per pick | 72cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x746d…2db5backed No | 72c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 74 | 67.6%50 W · 24 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked No | 65c | 19.81$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.94 | 926 | 2.5%23 W · 903 L | -379.9wins | -0.41per pick | 44cpaid | -90.2%equal weight | 6-0.40 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 76c | 17.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked No | 71c | 17.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73ee…eea9backed No | 80c | 17$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 57 | 63.2%36 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd52e…8f98backed No | 80c | 15.21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -7.2wins | -0.28per pick | 66cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x3d60…6df2backed No | 72c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 257 | 66.1%170 W · 87 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x932b…a773backed No | 72c | 14.43$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 228 | 53.1%121 W · 107 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on May 31?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on May 31?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on May 31?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on May 31?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on May 31?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 96-97°F on May 31?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.