Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on May 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x550d54e72916f5ab9dc5db7f11a2e410387a2be5916f35f1a383949c435476ed
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,784
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,634
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,784 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xba63…36dcbacked Yes | 49c | 375.58$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.3 | 402 | 37.1%149 W · 253 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c1b…d915backed Yes | 31c | 247.62$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.65 | 263 | 44.9%118 W · 145 L | +15.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 30c | 204.59$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.74 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 43c | 195.48$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.37 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x840a…63ccbacked Yes | 46c | 193.76$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.13 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 50c | 192.6$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.6 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Yes | 38c | 191$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.93 | 591 | 21.5%127 W · 464 L | -30.1wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a31…5af1backed Yes | 57c | 184.69$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.92 | 707 | 41.7%295 W · 412 L | +19.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec86…60e4backed Yes | 44c | 179.89$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.56 | 1,163 | 38.2%444 W · 719 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a4…f148backed Yes | 51c | 168$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.46 | 1,429 | 34.5%493 W · 936 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb3a…d3e3backed No | 64c | 153.59$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.59 | 57 | 86%49 W · 8 L | +11.2wins | +0.20per pick | 66cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 58c | 132$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.38 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 35c | 130.09$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed No | 53c | 128.47$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.47 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x784a…06c3backed Yes | 63c | 118.9$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 340 | 50.6%172 W · 168 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbe…f8b0backed No | 58c | 110.08$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.34 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…ee53backed Yes | 45c | 109.61$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.82 | 2,950 | 33.6%992 W · 1,958 L | +9.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked Yes | 51c | 106.67$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.4 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 58c | 103.34$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.82 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc62d…5577backed Yes | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.1 | 250 | 38%95 W · 155 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed5c…8cf8backed Yes | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 259 | 35.1%91 W · 168 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f37…1410backed No | 51c | 99.99$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 849 | 30.6%260 W · 589 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a87…a55abacked Yes | 42c | 84.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.1 | 1,112 | 35.1%390 W · 722 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 41c | 84.36$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.93 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x6e41…5e0cbacked No | 51c | 83.39$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.86 | 1,061 | 47.9%508 W · 553 L | +32.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x198e…ede0backed Yes | 37c | 83.32$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.14 | 564 | 34.6%195 W · 369 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68a3…5dd5backed No | 52c | 82.74$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.01 | 467 | 43.7%204 W · 263 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8827…5d62backed No | 53c | 81.26$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.86 | 1,772 | 50.5%895 W · 877 L | +43.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 50c | 80.4$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.6 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 56c | 79.86$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.29 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked Yes | 40c | 78.46$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.45 | 4,514 | 52.9%2,389 W · 2,125 L | +47.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff06…c7d5backed No | 59c | 76.29$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.97 | 112 | 58.9%66 W · 46 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x019c…e8d2backed Yes | 47c | 69.47$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.65 | 565 | 43.5%246 W · 319 L | -31.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 47c | 67.85$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.84 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed No | 52c | 61.04$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.29 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c3…20e0backed No | 52c | 61$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.28 | 637 | 57.6%367 W · 270 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200e…7d37backed No | 52c | 57.09$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.16 | 67 | 67.2%45 W · 22 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaff9…64ffbacked Yes | 46c | 53.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 2,674 | 30%803 W · 1,871 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9217…076abacked No | 42c | 52.63$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.4 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x237b…9f36backed No | 62c | 51.98$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.73 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecf…af11backed Yes | 51c | 51.88$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.58 | 381 | 38.6%147 W · 234 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa2…5a0bbacked Yes | 48c | 51$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.37 | 1,420 | 58.7%833 W · 587 L | +69.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Yes | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.69 | 349 | 34.1%119 W · 230 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.9 | 886 | 50.2%445 W · 441 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc556…9720backed Yes | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 255 | 49%125 W · 130 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6090…6dbbbacked Yes | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +72.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5219…7f31backed Yes | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 353 | 44.5%157 W · 196 L | -18.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd6c…1e6dbacked Yes | 41c | 48.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 327 | 38.2%125 W · 202 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…40c0backed No | 50c | 48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.18 | 800 | 50.1%401 W · 399 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 47c | 45.09$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.94 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…2132backed No | 60c | 43.95$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 714 | 64.3%459 W · 255 L | -37.4wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a68…edd3backed Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 182 | 35.2%64 W · 118 L | -14.0wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8bca…e136backed Yes | 56c | 41.55$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.13 | 445 | 36.2%161 W · 284 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x351a…f836backed Yes | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 286 | 49.3%141 W · 145 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a0…b7a2backed No | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90e2…fc3fbacked No | 41c | 39.47$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.15 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x035b…c6ddbacked No | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 250 | 49.2%123 W · 127 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa817…95d7backed Yes | 52c | 36.18$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.93 | 169 | 34.9%59 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x521e…a47bbacked Yes | 49c | 36.16$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.72 | 57 | 33.3%19 W · 38 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12ea…a131backed No | 56c | 35.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.59 | 985 | 65.1%641 W · 344 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbf…f003backed Yes | 41c | 35.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 306 | 52.6%161 W · 145 L | +10.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 47c | 35.18$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.43 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 38c | 33.23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa259…6597backed No | 62c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.57 | 995 | 71.1%707 W · 288 L | +22.0wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63a1…0212backed No | 52c | 32.51$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.47 | 252 | 58.7%148 W · 104 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x059f…d749backed No | 43c | 32.41$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.47 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 61c | 32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 54c | 31.73$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.6 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27ab…e521backed No | 53c | 31.39$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.75 | 659 | 65.4%431 W · 228 L | -12.7wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd4…5cfcbacked No | 64c | 31.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.31 | 572 | 64.5%369 W · 203 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1b…da1ebacked Yes | 38c | 31.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 259 | 46.3%120 W · 139 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 63c | 30.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.46 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb17…ee85backed Yes | 47c | 29.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 77 | 39%30 W · 47 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5157…fdbcbacked No | 57c | 29.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.89 | 533 | 53.1%283 W · 250 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 53c | 29.22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.59 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 45c | 28.26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.43 | 2,060 | 60%1,235 W · 825 L | +28.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked Yes | 48c | 28.07$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.48 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…06fbbacked No | 57c | 27.53$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.85 | 57 | 63.2%36 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 45c | 26.41$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.6 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55a1…9379backed No | 51c | 26.33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.89 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35af…8e95backed No | 52c | 26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 77 | 62.3%48 W · 29 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2be9…446ebacked Yes | 49c | 25.68$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d0…d21ebacked Yes | 48c | 25.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 183 | 37.7%69 W · 114 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e9e…0a9abacked Yes | 41c | 25.1$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd85…7a3dbacked No | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1,050 | 51.2%538 W · 512 L | -99.4wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x41fa…7cc4backed No | 63c | 24.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.28 | 792 | 55.2%437 W · 355 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 57c | 23.08$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.97 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3edb…65bbbacked No | 52c | 23.08$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.08 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +33%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x796a…e815backed Yes | 48c | 21.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 52c | 20.67$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.92 | 2,262 | 39.6%895 W · 1,367 L | -56.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b72…a958backed No | 51c | 20.57$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.99 | 686 | 45.8%314 W · 372 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 1,525 | 52.6%802 W · 723 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbc…bd73backed No | 61c | 16.52$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.44 | 918 | 61.5%565 W · 353 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6120…f1febacked No | 66c | 15.77$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.33 | 827 | 42.8%354 W · 473 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0c…a853backed No | 67c | 15.56$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.12 | 2,249 | 34.2%769 W · 1,480 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on May 31?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on May 31?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on May 31?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on May 31?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on May 31?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 96-97°F on May 31?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.