TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6090…6dbb

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
91
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Weather, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Weather at 56 out of 100; worst Dota2 at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT3842.1%16 W · 22 L-4.8wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-25.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs HULIGANI (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Yellow Submarine · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$16.36
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs HULIGANI (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Inner Circle (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$18.39
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$8.99
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$17.74
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs GLYPH (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$5.32
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$14.41
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$29.35
Dota 2: Aurora vs PARIVISION (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs PARIVISION (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+52%+$28.6
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Yandex (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Spirit (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs ex-HEROIC (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$12.78
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+22.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$12.49
Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$76.44
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$7.39
Will England win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+150%+$15
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+400%+$40
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$16.91
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
England vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$67.22
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$14.48
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$18.46
Will France win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$38.36
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+150.2%+$45.05
All 22 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT119.1%1 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick14cpaid+58.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 1040-1079 tweets in April 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+1,641%+$390.94
Will Elon Musk post 1160-1199 tweets in April 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.92
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.86
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.66
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.78
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.92
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 16 to April 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.31
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 16 to April 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.92
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.16
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.85
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.66
All 11 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.27per pick40cpaid+72.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Weather — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+35.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+140.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+140.5%+$169.79
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be no next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$46
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$7.24
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Oleksandr Syrskyi be out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$12.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Space Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Space — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be fewer than 3 major space weather events this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.14
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.