TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Darja Semenistaja vs Anna Siskova

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Darja Semenistajaof Darja Semenistaja, Anna Siskova
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$40,183
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$40,137

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,183 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Darja Semenistaja52c2,469$1,293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,176.748,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Darja Semenistaja48c2,089$1,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,084.6111,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Darja Semenistaja49c1,703$828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$874.353,60542.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L-43.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Anna Siskova65c1,503$978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$977.634,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Darja Semenistaja60c1,492$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$591.448,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Anna Siskova51c1,047$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$532.54,24152.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L+65.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Anna Siskova28c1,000$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2809,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Anna Siskova66c997.99$659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$658.594,18544.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L+14.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd205…e7fbbacked Anna Siskova21c715.57$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15031039.4%122 W · 188 L-10.6wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-14.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x168c…f24bbacked Anna Siskova45c666.67$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30062457.7%360 W · 264 L-17.8wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Anna Siskova37c633.3$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.464,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Anna Siskova52c604.7$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.111,36543.3%591 W · 774 L-26.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ceb…b424backed Darja Semenistaja20c500$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400837.5%3 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick24cpaid+41.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x96e2…3eb0backed Anna Siskova40c489.85$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1983026.7%8 W · 22 L-7.8wins-0.26per pick53cpaid-30.1%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0x912e…4966backed Darja Semenistaja46c392.97$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.2450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2725…e7d1backed Anna Siskova35c383.49$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.6343952.4%230 W · 209 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x365f…706abacked Darja Semenistaja41c364.16$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.61,79546.6%837 W · 958 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9c9…6686backed Darja Semenistaja38c336.82$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.391,33746%615 W · 722 L+23.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Darja Semenistaja38c309.54$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.696,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x206c…2b8dbacked Anna Siskova21c252.86$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.12572%18 W · 7 L+3.7wins+0.15per pick57cpaid+29.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc367…a0b4backed Darja Semenistaja39c230.77$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.7746435.3%164 W · 300 L-19.0wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x93bf…a572backed Darja Semenistaja72c227.25$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.7719977.4%154 W · 45 L+11.0wins+0.06per pick72cpaid+6.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6485…a265backed Anna Siskova45c226.8$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.172,28152%1,187 W · 1,094 L+82.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Anna Siskova28c200$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$564,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Darja Semenistaja62c196.29$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.863,66145.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L-8.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79d0…4dffbacked Darja Semenistaja24c173.63$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.6331220.5%64 W · 248 L-11.1wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-26.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Darja Semenistaja50c170.02$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.369824.5%24 W · 74 L-16.0wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-58.9%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Anna Siskova16c164.68$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.354,92138.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L-20.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31e7…fe2abacked Anna Siskova28c132.14$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371,35638.3%520 W · 836 L+2.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Darja Semenistaja22c132$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.551,53240.7%624 W · 908 L-48.7wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Anna Siskova43c130.63$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.551,09452.4%573 W · 521 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed Anna Siskova45c125.54$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.2392145.2%416 W · 505 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-20.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc7bb…2753backed Darja Semenistaja64c101.96$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.9624951.4%128 W · 121 L-11.3wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-5.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Darja Semenistaja63c101.81$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.041,95943.7%857 W · 1,102 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd1e…4754backed Anna Siskova35c98.93$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.7943444.9%195 W · 239 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Darja Semenistaja49c97.52$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.566,44946.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L-42.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd034…eecebacked Anna Siskova38c97.5$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.982,73534%931 W · 1,804 L-13.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1a3e…cd83backed Anna Siskova48c97.28$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.6944552.8%235 W · 210 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60b6…eb2bbacked Anna Siskova46c94.88$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.8317442.5%74 W · 100 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a80…d472backed Darja Semenistaja64c94.22$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.221,18652.4%622 W · 564 L+28.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ba4…6de0backed Anna Siskova42c91.67$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.6328048.9%137 W · 143 L-14.9wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-17.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Anna Siskova50c90.54$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.9180341.8%336 W · 467 L-20.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd8bb…7cefbacked Anna Siskova35c90.43$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.9536743.6%160 W · 207 L+0.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Anna Siskova46c89.13$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413,22040.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L+28.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c97…5c66backed Darja Semenistaja34c88.24$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.2448355.1%266 W · 217 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Darja Semenistaja35c85.03$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.685,41648.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L+14.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Darja Semenistaja56c81.73$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.332,04453.8%1,100 W · 944 L+61.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Anna Siskova47c81.67$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.671,22823.1%284 W · 944 L-164.0wins-0.13per pick36cpaid-47%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Anna Siskova43c80.21$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.7979951.1%408 W · 391 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58cc…2296backed Darja Semenistaja63c79.37$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.3714369.9%100 W · 43 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick66cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6f6a…9888backed Anna Siskova65c77.3$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.361,22255%672 W · 550 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36d9…c3cabacked Anna Siskova36c76.7$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.6122246.8%104 W · 118 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42d6…01ccbacked Darja Semenistaja67c74.63$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.631,07762.8%676 W · 401 L-27.9wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xabb3…f5b0backed Anna Siskova56c74.17$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.5446957.6%270 W · 199 L+32.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+10.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x92c8…45f6backed Anna Siskova36c74.09$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.7222544.4%100 W · 125 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Darja Semenistaja60c70$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282,06535.2%727 W · 1,338 L-52.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x167a…d542backed Darja Semenistaja74c67$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.421,83759.2%1,088 W · 749 L+8.4wins0.00per pick59cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb07e…0df5backed Anna Siskova53c66$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.9884640%338 W · 508 L-22.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd74…00a1backed Darja Semenistaja45c65$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.649658.1%288 W · 208 L+32.3wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+10.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Anna Siskova36c64.22$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.127,04939.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L-20.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa461…878abacked Darja Semenistaja63c63.49$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.4921964.8%142 W · 77 L+10.1wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed Darja Semenistaja56c55.23$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.331,85357.7%1,069 W · 784 L+106.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+3.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6bc0…af1abacked Anna Siskova29c51.72$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1513830.4%42 W · 96 L-6.1wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5ca1…4268backed Darja Semenistaja59c48.74$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.7415531.6%49 W · 106 L-9.0wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-24.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x23df…640abacked Darja Semenistaja64c44.24$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.9547857.9%277 W · 201 L+24.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Darja Semenistaja43c43$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.7243950.8%223 W · 216 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid0%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9825…9ffcbacked Anna Siskova47c42.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2049943.5%217 W · 282 L+2.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe8c2…45b2backed Darja Semenistaja45c41.38$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.8243750.3%220 W · 217 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Darja Semenistaja61c41.12$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.933,06857.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L+173.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb3cf…2147backed Darja Semenistaja44c39.99$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.42360.9%14 W · 9 L+4.1wins+0.18per pick43cpaid+65.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x782b…ff64backed Anna Siskova54c39.61$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.3931366.8%209 W · 104 L+27.1wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+12.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Darja Semenistaja39c39.5$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.021,06242%446 W · 616 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5076…711abacked Anna Siskova26c39.38$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.13148.4%15 W · 16 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Anna Siskova47c37.11$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.41,62652.7%857 W · 769 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Anna Siskova51c36.48$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.742,34351.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L+95.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x68e1…b2fabacked Darja Semenistaja48c34.58$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.9852355.6%291 W · 232 L+26.1wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Anna Siskova37c31.59$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.693,87445.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L-39.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f3…d6dcbacked Darja Semenistaja71c31.11$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.1687060.2%524 W · 346 L+28.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Darja Semenistaja61c30.78$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.131,83153%971 W · 860 L-45.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd43f…0bb0backed Darja Semenistaja62c29.99$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.412947.3%61 W · 68 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+16.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9af…359cbacked Darja Semenistaja75c29.67$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.4851457.2%294 W · 220 L+29.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xef3b…5af6backed Darja Semenistaja78c28.79$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.382050%10 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x20ba…6c27backed Darja Semenistaja69c28.6$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.871,18662.8%745 W · 441 L-16.1wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2846…267fbacked Darja Semenistaja78c28.1$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.185356.6%30 W · 23 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-0.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb25e…1071backed Darja Semenistaja78c28.1$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.114047.5%19 W · 21 L-4.0wins-0.10per pick58cpaid-7.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Anna Siskova41c27.19$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.118,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf504…0111backed Anna Siskova45c25.97$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.641,10256.5%623 W · 479 L+52.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf42f…e655backed Darja Semenistaja55c21.82$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.82250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x985d…33c9backed Darja Semenistaja61c20.49$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.991,30036.9%480 W · 820 L-34.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d92…48e4backed Darja Semenistaja76c19.3$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.637568%51 W · 24 L+5.2wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+1.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xef2c…be40backed Darja Semenistaja67c14.93$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.937958.2%46 W · 33 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc8ad…7889backed Darja Semenistaja78c14.18$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.1856070.7%396 W · 164 L-14.5wins-0.03per pick73cpaid-4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.