MLB · resolved market
KBO: Doosan Bears vs. KT Wiz
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb7d4dfbcf5cb490caab97a477f5fd58e4181f2cc707dc47e9b17fa989eb71d16
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Doosan Bearsof Doosan Bears, KT Wiz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,428
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,688
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,428 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x87d7…9968backed Doosan Bears | 49c | 6,215$3,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,180.96 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Doosan Bears | 53c | 2,262$1,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,059.49 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed KT Wiz | 54c | 1,690$909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$909.2 | 851 | 35.8%305 W · 546 L | -23.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Doosan Bears | 42c | 1,500$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869.95 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd898…20e7backed Doosan Bears | 66c | 1,457$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.28 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked KT Wiz | 51c | 1,392$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.12 | 300 | 40.7%122 W · 178 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed KT Wiz | 58c | 773.59$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.18 | 717 | 50.1%359 W · 358 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed KT Wiz | 57c | 640$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.8 | 254 | 47.6%121 W · 133 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Doosan Bears | 46c | 551.99$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.41 | 5,126 | 54.7%2,804 W · 2,322 L | +231.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Doosan Bears | 42c | 435.56$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.62 | 556 | 53.4%297 W · 259 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked KT Wiz | 58c | 398$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.1 | 1,813 | 49.1%891 W · 922 L | -26.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked KT Wiz | 45c | 382.72$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.06 | 1,722 | 50.3%867 W · 855 L | +55.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed KT Wiz | 57c | 349.11$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.99 | 172 | 45.9%79 W · 93 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed KT Wiz | 58c | 293.92$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.47 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked KT Wiz | 58c | 183$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.14 | 369 | 32.8%121 W · 248 L | -11.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed KT Wiz | 28c | 146.5$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.43 | 162 | 50.6%82 W · 80 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked KT Wiz | 35c | 146$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.1 | 587 | 46%270 W · 317 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked KT Wiz | 13c | 112.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.89 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05d6…5c3abacked Doosan Bears | 44c | 92.31$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.85 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked KT Wiz | 44c | 74.31$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.7 | 1,911 | 53.1%1,014 W · 897 L | +43.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed KT Wiz | 58c | 51$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.57 | 881 | 47.8%421 W · 460 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70bb…10d3backed KT Wiz | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 273 | 52%142 W · 131 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked KT Wiz | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 473 | 45.7%216 W · 257 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc547…c570backed KT Wiz | 52c | 48.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.24 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Doosan Bears | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 3,456 | 51.2%1,771 W · 1,685 L | +107.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Doosan Bears | 43c | 41.59$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.7 | 787 | 54.6%430 W · 357 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Doosan Bears | 30c | 40.23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.28 | 6,302 | 48.3%3,041 W · 3,261 L | +181.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Doosan Bears | 40c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.2 | 589 | 38.9%229 W · 360 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked KT Wiz | 56c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.3 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked KT Wiz | 58c | 33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.14 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Doosan Bears | 43c | 23.26$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.26 | 1,167 | 49%572 W · 595 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed KT Wiz | 58c | 20.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.07 | 362 | 68%246 W · 116 L | +34.0wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.