Tennis · resolved market
ITF Mohammedia: Ruth Roura Llaverias vs Elina Nepliy
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb886b2264125a8416439d3d492cdf0042d0056761654cc172cc8a985150f8454
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Elina Nepliyof Ruth Roura Llaverias, Elina Nepliy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,422
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,104
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,422 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Ruth Roura Llaverias | 49c | 2,236$1,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,102.46 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Elina Nepliy | 67c | 2,049$1,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.57 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x710c…78eabacked Ruth Roura Llaverias | 21c | 1,320$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.25 | 1,040 | 58.2%605 W · 435 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Elina Nepliy | 45c | 580.26$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318 | 6,574 | 46.2%3,037 W · 3,537 L | -45.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Ruth Roura Llaverias | 55c | 554.11$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.45 | 1,883 | 44.8%843 W · 1,040 L | +36.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Ruth Roura Llaverias | 11c | 436$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.96 | 4,975 | 38.6%1,922 W · 3,053 L | -19.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Ruth Roura Llaverias | 21c | 399.99$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.41 | 1,228 | 23.1%284 W · 944 L | -164.0wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -47%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Ruth Roura Llaverias | 19c | 296.55$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.06 | 381 | 41.2%157 W · 224 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Ruth Roura Llaverias | 47c | 291$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.21 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Ruth Roura Llaverias | 55c | 268.78$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.31 | 1,881 | 45.7%860 W · 1,021 L | +51.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Ruth Roura Llaverias | 53c | 224.4$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.77 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Elina Nepliy | 69c | 221.59$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.73 | 6,792 | 36.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Elina Nepliy | 35c | 195.63$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.26 | 1,688 | 45.4%766 W · 922 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Ruth Roura Llaverias | 57c | 183.62$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.63 | 969 | 45.9%445 W · 524 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Ruth Roura Llaverias | 21c | 167.69$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 1,381 | 16.4%227 W · 1,154 L | -108.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Ruth Roura Llaverias | 52c | 149.99$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.49 | 920 | 46.6%429 W · 491 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Ruth Roura Llaverias | 31c | 141.95$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.31 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Elina Nepliy | 72c | 110.3$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.39 | 1,772 | 52.1%923 W · 849 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Elina Nepliy | 45c | 106.67$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.67 | 5,325 | 28.8%1,533 W · 3,792 L | -21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94a7…6000backed Elina Nepliy | 49c | 101.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.04 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Elina Nepliy | 62c | 90.51$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.63 | 911 | 63.9%582 W · 329 L | +66.0wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Elina Nepliy | 55c | 70.91$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.91 | 2,639 | 46.4%1,224 W · 1,415 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Elina Nepliy | 41c | 62.7$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.01 | 2,776 | 53.7%1,491 W · 1,285 L | +69.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Ruth Roura Llaverias | 18c | 61.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 368 | 39.1%144 W · 224 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Ruth Roura Llaverias | 49c | 57.6$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.98 | 3,884 | 35%1,358 W · 2,526 L | +92.8wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Elina Nepliy | 45c | 55.74$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.66 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked Ruth Roura Llaverias | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 398 | 51%203 W · 195 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Ruth Roura Llaverias | 54c | 45.54$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.59 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Elina Nepliy | 46c | 42.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.7 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Ruth Roura Llaverias | 53c | 35.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.97 | 866 | 47.9%415 W · 451 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8951…dfcfbacked Ruth Roura Llaverias | 51c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.68 | 258 | 58.1%150 W · 108 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Elina Nepliy | 45c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 3,987 | 45.5%1,816 W · 2,171 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed Ruth Roura Llaverias | 73c | 20.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 1,066 | 50.1%534 W · 532 L | +48.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…36b8backed Elina Nepliy | 51c | 19.75$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.68 | 391 | 61.4%240 W · 151 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Elina Nepliy | 56c | 19.43$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 5,498 | 48.5%2,667 W · 2,831 L | +10.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59a9…41d1backed Elina Nepliy | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 93 | 66.7%62 W · 31 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.