Tennis · resolved market
ITF Vitoria-Gasteiz: Valentina Ryser vs Maria Golovina
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb91d7080862fb45979da056fbc4079fb28370366a2d1d4b72903bf3378b94df8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Maria Golovinaof Valentina Ryser, Maria Golovina
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,097
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,565
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,097 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Maria Golovina | 32c | 556.14$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.26 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Maria Golovina | 40c | 299.12$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.85 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Valentina Ryser | 60c | 258.55$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.13 | 1,865 | 45.6%851 W · 1,014 L | +50.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Valentina Ryser | 56c | 219.59$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.13 | 394 | 51.3%202 W · 192 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Maria Golovina | 72c | 208.68$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.92 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Maria Golovina | 68c | 207.27$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.5 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Valentina Ryser | 21c | 201.06$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.22 | 960 | 49.5%475 W · 485 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Maria Golovina | 71c | 199.64$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.86 | 923 | 52.5%485 W · 438 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Valentina Ryser | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 923 | 55.8%515 W · 408 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Valentina Ryser | 38c | 184.21$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 878 | 54.7%480 W · 398 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked Maria Golovina | 73c | 172$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.07 | 397 | 51.4%204 W · 193 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Maria Golovina | 52c | 145.11$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.34 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e61…2f1bbacked Maria Golovina | 64c | 125$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 291 | 48.5%141 W · 150 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Valentina Ryser | 38c | 118.42$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Valentina Ryser | 23c | 91.51$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.19 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Valentina Ryser | 56c | 78$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.6 | 1,959 | 43.7%857 W · 1,102 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Valentina Ryser | 21c | 71.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,025 | 54%554 W · 471 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Maria Golovina | 43c | 68.98$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.98 | 788 | 57.1%450 W · 338 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Valentina Ryser | 32c | 63.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 625 | 49.6%310 W · 315 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8920…9c0cbacked Maria Golovina | 57c | 56.45$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.39 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Valentina Ryser | 59c | 53$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.27 | 225 | 52%117 W · 108 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Maria Golovina | 41c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Maria Golovina | 59c | 43$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.63 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Maria Golovina | 37c | 40$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.36 | 1,175 | 52.9%622 W · 553 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd169…8ff6backed Valentina Ryser | 51c | 35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 284 | 37.3%106 W · 178 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Maria Golovina | 41c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Maria Golovina | 41c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.69 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Maria Golovina | 41c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Maria Golovina | 55c | 26.31$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.84 | 578 | 45.7%264 W · 314 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Maria Golovina | 62c | 24.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.16 | 896 | 63.7%571 W · 325 L | +63.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Maria Golovina | 61c | 22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bce…db46backed Valentina Ryser | 62c | 19.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 158 | 54.4%86 W · 72 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Valentina Ryser | 56c | 18.56$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.