Cricket · resolved market
Maharaja T20 Trophy: Gulbarga Mystics vs Hubli Tigers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb993a2052f74e3d6bcafea1ec3b028fb71433fffbae41463f779248494ff9a93
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hubli Tigersof Gulbarga Mystics, Hubli Tigers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,418
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,742
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,418 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Gulbarga Mystics | 25c | 1,628$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.34 | 438 | 40.9%179 W · 259 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Hubli Tigers | 74c | 502.54$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.66 | 199 | 50.8%101 W · 98 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Hubli Tigers | 73c | 502.28$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.1 | 636 | 46.4%295 W · 341 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25e3…9f8cbacked Gulbarga Mystics | 6c | 311.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.61 | 49 | 18.4%9 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Hubli Tigers | 64c | 236.67$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.49 | 654 | 51.1%334 W · 320 L | +26.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Gulbarga Mystics | 43c | 223.46$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.49 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Hubli Tigers | 74c | 200$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 155 | 50.3%78 W · 77 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Gulbarga Mystics | 27c | 175.28$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.32 | 319 | 40.1%128 W · 191 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Hubli Tigers | 74c | 151$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.82 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5bd…226cbacked Gulbarga Mystics | 11c | 140.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked Gulbarga Mystics | 28c | 116.37$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.39 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Hubli Tigers | 74c | 101.24$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.8 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe7…0c14backed Gulbarga Mystics | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d22…b754backed Hubli Tigers | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe99b…d599backed Hubli Tigers | 58c | 99.97$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.99 | 202 | 51.5%104 W · 98 L | +10.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…5aaebacked Hubli Tigers | 74c | 83$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.95 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Gulbarga Mystics | 20c | 81.14$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.94 | 230 | 33.9%78 W · 152 L | -18.8wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x43fe…26eebacked Gulbarga Mystics | 49c | 80$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 470 | 61.5%289 W · 181 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Hubli Tigers | 56c | 73.19$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.2 | 270 | 29.6%80 W · 190 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -34%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Gulbarga Mystics | 40c | 57.98$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.45 | 369 | 8.7%32 W · 337 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Hubli Tigers | 51c | 57$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.93 | 456 | 47.6%217 W · 239 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c0…d9cfbacked Gulbarga Mystics | 47c | 50.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.61 | 228 | 43.9%100 W · 128 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Hubli Tigers | 63c | 47.04$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 763 | 51.6%394 W · 369 L | +29.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…ea8cbacked Hubli Tigers | 73c | 46$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.24 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x362c…67e6backed Hubli Tigers | 61c | 39.66$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Gulbarga Mystics | 47c | 38.01$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.75 | 505 | 47.5%240 W · 265 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Hubli Tigers | 41c | 35$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.6 | 258 | 48.4%125 W · 133 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…84f7backed Gulbarga Mystics | 43c | 35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Hubli Tigers | 66c | 33.24$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.43 | 423 | 44.2%187 W · 236 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Gulbarga Mystics | 49c | 27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 103 | 46.6%48 W · 55 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Hubli Tigers | 73c | 21.57$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.72 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4927…deaebacked Hubli Tigers | 58c | 20.69$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.69 | 13 | 92.3%12 W · 1 L | +3.9wins | +0.30per pick | 62cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xba56…140dbacked Hubli Tigers | 74c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Hubli Tigers | 74c | 16.53$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 77 | 62.3%48 W · 29 L | +7.5wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.