Tennis · resolved market
ITF Landisville: Mai Hontama vs Erika Andreeva
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xba19d6754bf143110ec7bb132b2477bc45ee29e425d92efc653df1a5f8e96e2a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mai Hontamaof Mai Hontama, Erika Andreeva
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,628
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,746
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,628 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5455…8b2abacked Erika Andreeva | 27c | 5,000$1,345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,345.07 | 132 | 39.4%52 W · 80 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Mai Hontama | 64c | 3,117$1,982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,135.15 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Mai Hontama | 58c | 3,024$1,769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,255.15 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc13f…c336backed Erika Andreeva | 39c | 932.66$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.43 | 221 | 23.1%51 W · 170 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50b9…4467backed Erika Andreeva | 30c | 900$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 380 | 33.9%129 W · 251 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Erika Andreeva | 45c | 253.49$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.7 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Mai Hontama | 69c | 228.23$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.25 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a2b…c3cbbacked Erika Andreeva | 44c | 220.45$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 104 | 40.4%42 W · 62 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Mai Hontama | 79c | 159.66$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.42 | 910 | 51%464 W · 446 L | +23.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…72aabacked Mai Hontama | 70c | 136.8$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.04 | 736 | 48.1%354 W · 382 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x163d…7c69backed Erika Andreeva | 33c | 106.46$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 147 | 15.6%23 W · 124 L | -32.8wins | -0.22per pick | 38cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 29-0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Mai Hontama | 73c | 102.31$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.73 | 896 | 63.7%571 W · 325 L | +63.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Erika Andreeva | 47c | 95.74$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc04c…cebfbacked Mai Hontama | 78c | 92.9$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.19 | 671 | 78.7%528 W · 143 L | +49.1wins | +0.07per pick | 71cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Mai Hontama | 60c | 80.16$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.39 | 950 | 50.1%476 W · 474 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Erika Andreeva | 47c | 70.21$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac48…e505backed Erika Andreeva | 29c | 67.14$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +33%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked Mai Hontama | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 414 | 40.3%167 W · 247 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Mai Hontama | 68c | 61.17$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.62 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5181…504bbacked Mai Hontama | 74c | 54.83$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.07 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefbc…b344backed Mai Hontama | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 301 | 47.5%143 W · 158 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Erika Andreeva | 39c | 49.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ea…2f71backed Erika Andreeva | 42c | 49$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.58 | 447 | 58.8%263 W · 184 L | +24.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Erika Andreeva | 29c | 47.57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca0…4b69backed Erika Andreeva | 55c | 46.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.33 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Mai Hontama | 50c | 44.19$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.95 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc02…ce2abacked Mai Hontama | 75c | 43.92$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.98 | 215 | 72.6%156 W · 59 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 73cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd928…705fbacked Mai Hontama | 78c | 39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 288 | 52.8%152 W · 136 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97b6…6e98backed Mai Hontama | 53c | 36.23$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.03 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Erika Andreeva | 46c | 34.23$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37bd…ed2abacked Erika Andreeva | 48c | 31.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 129 | 47.3%61 W · 68 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b36ebacked Erika Andreeva | 62c | 30.18$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 509 | 46.6%237 W · 272 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe75…5af2backed Mai Hontama | 68c | 29.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.49 | 116 | 62.9%73 W · 43 L | +12.2wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +34%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Mai Hontama | 48c | 29.17$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.17 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e62…716ebacked Mai Hontama | 68c | 29.08$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.22 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 65cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99d4…7c0dbacked Mai Hontama | 65c | 27.74$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.82 | 354 | 61.3%217 W · 137 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Mai Hontama | 75c | 25.75$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.33 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18cd…b710backed Mai Hontama | 55c | 24.25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Mai Hontama | 61c | 23.53$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.27 | 1,226 | 52%637 W · 589 L | +44.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6f8…df87backed Erika Andreeva | 55c | 21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.64 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7629…ef05backed Erika Andreeva | 59c | 20.85$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 372 | 62.9%234 W · 138 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4738…e64abacked Mai Hontama | 63c | 20.2$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 118 | 53.4%63 W · 55 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Mai Hontama | 62c | 19.66$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.44 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e1…b1aebacked Mai Hontama | 60c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1e…cbfbbacked Erika Andreeva | 80c | 15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 140 | 52.1%73 W · 67 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd32d…23b4backed Mai Hontama | 77c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.29 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.