Australian A League · resolved market
Melbourne Victory FC vs. Sydney FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xba5dedb0f0e9e1dcf4e2b683601966fb9d8a773b8490bfcaacd22535ec7a14b5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,056
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,416
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,056 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 41c | 1,612$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$951.13 | 110 | 55.5%61 W · 49 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 72c | 557.28$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.18 | 309 | 54.7%169 W · 140 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 59c | 533.16$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.53 | 135 | 51.1%69 W · 66 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0280…6e1ebacked Yes | 61c | 383.51$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 31c | 299.7$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.2 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 60c | 289.52$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.46 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2e…a948backed Yes | 40c | 249.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -5.3wins | -0.30per pick | 46cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked No | 45c | 220.92$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.97 | 118 | 58.5%69 W · 49 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…0b46backed Yes | 63c | 159.4$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1703…1ab4backed Yes | 61c | 147.54$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 59c | 109.3$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.61 | 437 | 48.3%211 W · 226 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 39c | 104.15$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.53 | 149 | 55.7%83 W · 66 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1683…e4abbacked No | 40c | 101.85$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +115.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7d…866bbacked Yes | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 37c | 76.7$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.32 | 110 | 57.3%63 W · 47 L | +7.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Yes | 53c | 75.41$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -6.3wins | -0.26per pick | 43cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 38c | 65.53$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.86 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf5…e71cbacked No | 53c | 57.06$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.06 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.0wins | +0.27per pick | 55cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 39c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb7f…0abbbacked Yes | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.44per pick | 64cpaid | -73.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa23f…a64ebacked Yes | 50c | 44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Yes | 59c | 25.49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Yes | 59c | 25.49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Yes | 59c | 25.49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 59c | 21.88$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.91 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Melbourne Victory FC vs. Sydney FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Melbourne Victory FC vs. Sydney FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Melbourne Victory FC vs. Sydney FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Melbourne Victory FC vs. Sydney FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Melbourne Victory FC vs. Sydney FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Melbourne Victory FC (-1.5)Sydney FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.