Australian A League · resolved market
Melbourne Victory FC vs. Sydney FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8e2abec44696906ced2f782e913ebf0b9e6f2950fd07d75e4f6335290bc52467
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,658
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,743
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,658 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 49c | 1,918$947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970.69 | 130 | 49.2%64 W · 66 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 56c | 1,274$709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.03 | 151 | 40.4%61 W · 90 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 60c | 980.78$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.29 | 309 | 54.7%169 W · 140 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…679ebacked Over | 55c | 909.55$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 68cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…c02abacked Under | 17c | 895.29$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.09 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.83per pick | 17cpaid | +488.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 45c | 872.18$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.64 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 49c | 597.12$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.01 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 18c | 579.48$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.17 | 135 | 51.1%69 W · 66 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 28c | 537.5$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 81 | 29.6%24 W · 57 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 72c | 493.45$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.98 | 107 | 57.9%62 W · 45 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa5…e01bbacked Over | 24c | 414.66$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +4.7wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 18c | 401.81$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.51 | 437 | 48.3%211 W · 226 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 30c | 400$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Under | 26c | 344.76$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.72 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 56c | 335.69$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.78 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | +8.0wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x11d8…5be4backed Over | 33c | 299.98$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6396…3e5cbacked Under | 38c | 278.64$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +132.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39d…a5e9backed Over | 80c | 250.5$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.30per pick | 53cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6945…729cbacked Over | 39c | 227.34$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.75 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x395c…ad6fbacked Over | 55c | 215$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…a5e3backed Over | 53c | 203.31$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.5 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab7d…d04bbacked Over | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x357b…eb2abacked Over | 32c | 200$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Under | 19c | 186.06$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.71 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1f…5f33backed Over | 51c | 176.47$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1af3…fbe3backed Over | 53c | 148$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.44 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a6b…68a0backed Over | 55c | 128$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 37c | 127.23$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.36 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7066…50e5backed Over | 44c | 112$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 20c | 107.03$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.81 | 149 | 55.7%83 W · 66 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 74c | 100$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2831…e84dbacked Over | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d63…2e49backed Over | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf88…3ed6backed Over | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…b336backed Under | 56c | 89.74$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.74 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 58c | 88.67$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.68 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Under | 18c | 79.84$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.63 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6df…e2aabacked Over | 26c | 77.18$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd23e…7cbebacked Over | 37c | 72.32$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.66 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed Over | 53c | 70$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.4 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Under | 38c | 52.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.13 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked Over | 25c | 51.07$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 59c | 49.7$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.47 | 168 | 65.5%110 W · 58 L | +22.1wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…e3c2backed Under | 22c | 46.7$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +364.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed Under | 64c | 43.72$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.72 | 28 | 78.6%22 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 68cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c5c…1cf7backed Over | 65c | 42$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Under | 78c | 40.01$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.86 | 73 | 65.8%48 W · 25 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa738…ddedbacked Over | 54c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 64cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Under | 67c | 37.31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +63.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Over | 44c | 37$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.44 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2912…6817backed Over | 61c | 34.67$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904c…4172backed Under | 72c | 34.41$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.69 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Over | 58c | 30.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.98 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e2…b9efbacked Over | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 42c | 25.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 106 | 33%35 W · 71 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…2c66backed Over | 70c | 23$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0e…accebacked Under | 62c | 17.04$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9132…6607backed Under | 71c | 16.9$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.9 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f6…4f7fbacked Over | 79c | 16.47$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.01 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Melbourne Victory FC vs. Sydney FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Melbourne Victory FC vs. Sydney FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Melbourne Victory FC vs. Sydney FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Melbourne Victory FC vs. Sydney FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Melbourne Victory FC vs. Sydney FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Melbourne Victory FC (-1.5)Sydney FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.