Tennis · resolved market
Cary: J.J. Wolf vs Jay Dylan Friend
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbb36377fb535944279737e05424438f03ce9a09b3d563566c1e281b886e52bf6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jay Dylan Friendof J.J. Wolf, Jay Dylan Friend
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,378
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,563
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,378 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xce36…2b99backed J.J. Wolf | 26c | 2,830$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.2 | 67 | 19.4%13 W · 54 L | -6.5wins | -0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9f55…2181backed J.J. Wolf | 59c | 2,694$1,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,579.04 | 128 | 39.8%51 W · 77 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf12f…b30fbacked Jay Dylan Friend | 18c | 2,175$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,774.92 | 700 | 41.1%288 W · 412 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked J.J. Wolf | 40c | 1,291$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.43 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Jay Dylan Friend | 69c | 726.4$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.89 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfec0…fccdbacked J.J. Wolf | 15c | 540.54$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Jay Dylan Friend | 32c | 501.96$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.4 | 969 | 45.9%445 W · 524 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Jay Dylan Friend | 60c | 460.66$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.78 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Jay Dylan Friend | 53c | 378.89$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.85 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed J.J. Wolf | 24c | 373$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.63 | 1,365 | 43.3%591 W · 774 L | -26.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked J.J. Wolf | 57c | 360$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.2 | 1,626 | 52.7%857 W · 769 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…47a4backed Jay Dylan Friend | 37c | 345.17$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.17 | 1,023 | 41.3%422 W · 601 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…8ba0backed Jay Dylan Friend | 15c | 328.29$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.16 | 328 | 37.5%123 W · 205 L | -13.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Jay Dylan Friend | 45c | 328.13$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.13 | 1,266 | 34.2%433 W · 833 L | -43.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed J.J. Wolf | 18c | 299.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.4 | 684 | 30%205 W · 479 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Jay Dylan Friend | 48c | 299.26$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.13 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed J.J. Wolf | 56c | 297.19$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.68 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed J.J. Wolf | 19c | 242.98$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.16 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5803…3f3fbacked J.J. Wolf | 76c | 237.32$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 853 | 48.9%417 W · 436 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26a7…4fbabacked J.J. Wolf | 15c | 193.59$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.85 | 74 | 28.4%21 W · 53 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Jay Dylan Friend | 30c | 191.17$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.99 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked J.J. Wolf | 78c | 188.16$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.5 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Jay Dylan Friend | 34c | 148.38$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.38 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Jay Dylan Friend | 33c | 147.53$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.53 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Jay Dylan Friend | 40c | 125.4$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.86 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Jay Dylan Friend | 38c | 118.42$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.42 | 1,688 | 45.4%766 W · 922 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Jay Dylan Friend | 38c | 104$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.9 | 557 | 48.8%272 W · 285 L | +23.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Jay Dylan Friend | 80c | 103.72$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…34bfbacked J.J. Wolf | 12c | 100.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x316f…795abacked J.J. Wolf | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.1 | 300 | 40%120 W · 180 L | +12.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Jay Dylan Friend | 41c | 97.32$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.42 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked J.J. Wolf | 21c | 97.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 274 | 37.2%102 W · 172 L | -21.9wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8649…ba57backed J.J. Wolf | 56c | 84.22$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.16 | 796 | 46%366 W · 430 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc72…cd13backed Jay Dylan Friend | 36c | 69$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.95 | 978 | 52%509 W · 469 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe519…2f48backed J.J. Wolf | 25c | 67.45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 144 | 35.4%51 W · 93 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79d0…4dffbacked J.J. Wolf | 25c | 63.7$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 312 | 20.5%64 W · 248 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed J.J. Wolf | 66c | 62.17$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.97 | 2,281 | 52%1,187 W · 1,094 L | +82.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked J.J. Wolf | 31c | 54.78$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed J.J. Wolf | 24c | 52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 1,959 | 43.7%857 W · 1,102 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked J.J. Wolf | 47c | 48.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.02 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…039bbacked Jay Dylan Friend | 54c | 46.38$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.38 | 1,008 | 38.3%386 W · 622 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc049…48abbacked Jay Dylan Friend | 57c | 43$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.53 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Jay Dylan Friend | 61c | 37.38$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.58 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba0…c149backed J.J. Wolf | 55c | 36.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf903…de2fbacked J.J. Wolf | 56c | 35.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 67 | 40.3%27 W · 40 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Jay Dylan Friend | 44c | 32.38$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.22 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc11…c87bbacked J.J. Wolf | 72c | 27.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.73 | 245 | 46.5%114 W · 131 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed J.J. Wolf | 64c | 23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x721c…d585backed Jay Dylan Friend | 57c | 22.58$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.68 | 131 | 57.3%75 W · 56 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Jay Dylan Friend | 76c | 21.82$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.23 | 1,008 | 43.8%442 W · 566 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Jay Dylan Friend | 71c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.14 | 1,532 | 40.7%624 W · 908 L | -48.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec7…93d1backed Jay Dylan Friend | 74c | 20.22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.21 | 106 | 78.3%83 W · 23 L | +11.4wins | +0.11per pick | 68cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9e20…5cf9backed J.J. Wolf | 69c | 20.18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 355 | 55.5%197 W · 158 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked J.J. Wolf | 64c | 19.71$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.62 | 743 | 46.3%344 W · 399 L | -28.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed J.J. Wolf | 71c | 19.26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.73 | 940 | 58.4%549 W · 391 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb2…1bfcbacked J.J. Wolf | 69c | 18.48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 280 | 55.4%155 W · 125 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Jay Dylan Friend | 80c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.6 | 920 | 46.6%429 W · 491 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.