TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Kansas State Wildcats vs. West Virginia Mountaineers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
West Virginia Mountaineersof Kansas State Wildcats, West Virginia Mountaineers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$38,926
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$44,069

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,926 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd6f4…0566backed Kansas State Wildcats43c5,353$2,306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,305.6724444.7%109 W · 135 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-20.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked West Virginia Mountaineers67c3,838$2,553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,285.145,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe81…5fe9backed West Virginia Mountaineers67c2,885$1,933 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$952.022965.5%19 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed West Virginia Mountaineers72c1,706$1,237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.442,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Kansas State Wildcats36c1,026$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.395,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2ffb…e82abacked West Virginia Mountaineers67c912.97$615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.6743450%217 W · 217 L+13.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked West Virginia Mountaineers75c798.47$603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.691,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Kansas State Wildcats27c786.65$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.131,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Kansas State Wildcats32c751.24$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.894,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked West Virginia Mountaineers56c640.89$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.7212435.5%44 W · 80 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c9e…bba8backed Kansas State Wildcats23c616$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.4814643.2%63 W · 83 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Kansas State Wildcats2c539.87$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.272,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Kansas State Wildcats48c531.41$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.561,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f6b…075fbacked West Virginia Mountaineers52c500$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24014151.1%72 W · 69 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked West Virginia Mountaineers62c493.73$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.141,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed West Virginia Mountaineers71c487.52$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.537346.6%34 W · 39 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8791…4c9abacked Kansas State Wildcats24c416.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10021443.9%94 W · 120 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc3e…776bbacked West Virginia Mountaineers50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15016746.1%77 W · 90 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67a8…1f1ebacked Kansas State Wildcats55c254.55$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1403946.2%18 W · 21 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed West Virginia Mountaineers47c244.86$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.962,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Kansas State Wildcats33c232.43$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.033,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19f8…98f9backed West Virginia Mountaineers48c208.96$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.9648462.8%304 W · 180 L-0.5wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ed1…caa2backed West Virginia Mountaineers51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9825325.3%64 W · 189 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Kansas State Wildcats39c183.93$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.571,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd78d…60bebacked Kansas State Wildcats13c180.74$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.51020%2 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-57.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked West Virginia Mountaineers75c129.05$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.262,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c34…c8b8backed Kansas State Wildcats25c120$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3014339.9%57 W · 86 L-0.7wins0.00per pick40cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e4f…243cbacked Kansas State Wildcats24c114$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.365156.9%29 W · 22 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked Kansas State Wildcats24c100$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241,26043.3%545 W · 715 L+34.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Kansas State Wildcats22c99.97$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.272,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa5f…3de3backed Kansas State Wildcats24c98$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.525541.8%23 W · 32 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-16.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed West Virginia Mountaineers73c97.39$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.5899848.4%483 W · 515 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Kansas State Wildcats33c94.63$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.2394036.9%347 W · 593 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8069…30e3backed Kansas State Wildcats55c90.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+62.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Kansas State Wildcats59c89.82$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.383,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x793d…5a89backed West Virginia Mountaineers60c83.83$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.832462.5%15 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked West Virginia Mountaineers76c78.94$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.954,55250.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L-36.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed West Virginia Mountaineers78c70$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.521,15550.4%582 W · 573 L-34.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd08…84b0backed Kansas State Wildcats47c63.35$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.7129954.2%162 W · 137 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Kansas State Wildcats33c62.52$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.633,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0c0…07d8backed West Virginia Mountaineers76c60$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.45844.8%26 W · 32 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-16.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4f5c…0398backed Kansas State Wildcats24c57.37$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1430%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked West Virginia Mountaineers71c54$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.931,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Kansas State Wildcats32c50.45$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.0566831.4%210 W · 458 L-43.1wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-23%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Kansas State Wildcats23c47.83$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1131537.8%119 W · 196 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x989a…afbcbacked West Virginia Mountaineers66c43.98$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.7570349.6%349 W · 354 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb75…6dd0backed Kansas State Wildcats70c42.86$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3030%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x67ea…6d0fbacked Kansas State Wildcats49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+69.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked West Virginia Mountaineers47c40.37$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.571,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Kansas State Wildcats26c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.21,00355.3%555 W · 448 L+46.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed West Virginia Mountaineers64c34.64$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.4997447.9%467 W · 507 L-2.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d11…0c08backed West Virginia Mountaineers54c27.78$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.781050%5 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed West Virginia Mountaineers76c26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.2425436.6%93 W · 161 L-13.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-8.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc17…53b6backed West Virginia Mountaineers76c26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.242560%15 W · 10 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+14.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc091…3d42backed Kansas State Wildcats55c26$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.372248.8%352 W · 370 L-23.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2579…d6cbbacked West Virginia Mountaineers76c26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.242755.6%15 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe11a…d47ebacked West Virginia Mountaineers76c23$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.523964.1%25 W · 14 L+3.5wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+17.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8380…1866backed West Virginia Mountaineers76c23$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.523363.6%21 W · 12 L+3.1wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x309d…4287backed Kansas State Wildcats49c22.2$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.943647.2%17 W · 19 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-24.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbe91…4462backed West Virginia Mountaineers76c22$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.282347.8%11 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-14.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x862d…2632backed Kansas State Wildcats49c20.41$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102441.7%10 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x60a6…7ed2backed West Virginia Mountaineers76c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.82369.6%16 W · 7 L+2.8wins+0.12per pick57cpaid+21.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbfb0…466fbacked West Virginia Mountaineers52c19.23$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.149134.1%31 W · 60 L-9.6wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-35.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf1a1…be8bbacked West Virginia Mountaineers76c18$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.322860.7%17 W · 11 L+2.8wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+17.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf683…f2dfbacked West Virginia Mountaineers76c17$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.082770.4%19 W · 8 L+4.1wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+27.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x597f…e9cfbacked West Virginia Mountaineers76c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.62544%11 W · 14 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-21.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.