TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Valencia: Juan Carlos Prado vs Leandro Riedi

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Leandro Riediof Juan Carlos Prado, Leandro Riedi
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$53,854
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$56,932

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,854 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Juan Carlos Prado22c5,503$1,211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,211.188,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Leandro Riedi65c5,432$3,534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,898.4245737.9%173 W · 284 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-28.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Juan Carlos Prado39c2,583$1,007 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,007.254345.3%246 W · 297 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Juan Carlos Prado34c2,424$834 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$834.3111,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcebb…d72ebacked Leandro Riedi62c2,030$1,252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$777.03728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick41cpaid-35.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Leandro Riedi52c1,820$950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$869.656,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Leandro Riedi63c1,800$1,127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$673.14,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Leandro Riedi59c1,525$903 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$622.728,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc661…610abacked Juan Carlos Prado34c1,491$512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511.844847.9%23 W · 25 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Juan Carlos Prado36c1,467$523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523.37,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Juan Carlos Prado52c1,447$749 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$749.269,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Juan Carlos Prado38c1,273$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.488,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Juan Carlos Prado35c1,250$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.932,04946.8%958 W · 1,091 L+19.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Juan Carlos Prado53c1,108$584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$584.57,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe23b…c1e5backed Leandro Riedi48c1,043$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$542.77450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Leandro Riedi61c968.27$586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.774,18544.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L+14.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7abc…8af1backed Leandro Riedi75c895.92$672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.648524.7%21 W · 64 L-14.3wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-48.8%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x7932…5b38backed Leandro Riedi52c767.71$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.7136157.1%206 W · 155 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Leandro Riedi55c694.4$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.845,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Juan Carlos Prado17c499.99$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8558639.6%232 W · 354 L-21.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Juan Carlos Prado32c399.6$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.143,66145.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L-8.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Juan Carlos Prado35c391.6$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.244,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Leandro Riedi60c333.42$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.421,84148.5%892 W · 949 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x782d…8211backed Leandro Riedi56c320.79$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.8470456.8%400 W · 304 L-20.1wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Juan Carlos Prado49c308.75$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.074,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda74…1ab0backed Leandro Riedi54c295.81$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.8194549.6%469 W · 476 L-23.7wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4cb7…3644backed Juan Carlos Prado36c280.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10026451.5%136 W · 128 L-0.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb31…7b95backed Leandro Riedi36c277.12$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.1268026.2%178 W · 502 L-24.5wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Leandro Riedi58c263.2$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.3599244.7%443 W · 549 L-29.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-25.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Juan Carlos Prado37c256.24$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.062,52339.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L-3.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8ad…7889backed Leandro Riedi68c235.6$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.6356070.7%396 W · 164 L-14.5wins-0.03per pick73cpaid-4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Leandro Riedi63c207.99$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.967,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Juan Carlos Prado32c204.16$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.332,14554.2%1,162 W · 983 L-1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e34…4480backed Juan Carlos Prado60c203.08$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12230339.9%121 W · 182 L-10.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Leandro Riedi67c190.41$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.393,25648.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L-53.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Juan Carlos Prado42c185.18$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.121,02843.3%445 W · 583 L-24.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xea60…cc6bbacked Leandro Riedi57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.444358.1%25 W · 18 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ec3…e330backed Leandro Riedi44c174.23$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.6743347.3%205 W · 228 L-0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa74c…1f49backed Leandro Riedi75c166.66$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.6614674%108 W · 38 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick75cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa12b…a7aebacked Leandro Riedi66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.522050%10 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e7f…a844backed Juan Carlos Prado41c149.79$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.8774346.3%344 W · 399 L-12.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed Juan Carlos Prado44c134.68$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.261,85357.7%1,069 W · 784 L+106.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+3.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Juan Carlos Prado34c126.56$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.782,46238.5%948 W · 1,514 L+93.1wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Juan Carlos Prado46c114$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.782,76153.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L+73.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f1c…390dbacked Juan Carlos Prado33c113.64$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.7110144.6%45 W · 56 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+49.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Juan Carlos Prado34c100.48$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.844,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d18…6f62backed Leandro Riedi51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4956062.5%350 W · 210 L+11.4wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb69…c3e5backed Juan Carlos Prado33c100$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331,07655.5%597 W · 479 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67b5…7276backed Leandro Riedi50c98.56$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.2827147.2%128 W · 143 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Juan Carlos Prado40c92.82$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.931,35443.9%595 W · 759 L-62.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-24.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0180…b8cdbacked Juan Carlos Prado52c92.31$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4848242.5%205 W · 277 L-18.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x82a5…674ebacked Juan Carlos Prado32c84.21$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.1232853%174 W · 154 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2439…3ed7backed Leandro Riedi52c76.92$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.9212853.9%69 W · 59 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d9a…05e6backed Leandro Riedi65c74.52$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.112,08544.5%928 W · 1,157 L-51.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Leandro Riedi67c68.52$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.612,22945%1,002 W · 1,227 L+3.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd13c…98a7backed Juan Carlos Prado44c68.18$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3017242.4%73 W · 99 L-17.5wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-17.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4093…5749backed Leandro Riedi55c64.85$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.232,85549.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54d1…3abfbacked Juan Carlos Prado34c61.76$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2126734.1%91 W · 176 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xee11…19a9backed Juan Carlos Prado36c60.58$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.817244.4%32 W · 40 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Juan Carlos Prado30c59$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.74,92138.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L-20.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ded…68a3backed Leandro Riedi68c58.82$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.8288560.2%533 W · 352 L-13.6wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x87d1…3744backed Juan Carlos Prado55c54.55$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301,10466.9%739 W · 365 L+36.9wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Juan Carlos Prado37c54.05$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202,04453.8%1,100 W · 944 L+61.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ec0…4be2backed Leandro Riedi66c53.33$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.33333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-49.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x59ae…ffb1backed Juan Carlos Prado40c50.95$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.3811261.6%69 W · 43 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe25c…ae63backed Leandro Riedi66c49.98$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.9952750.3%265 W · 262 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1621…572cbacked Leandro Riedi60c49.58$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.8847252.1%246 W · 226 L+1.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf182…112bbacked Leandro Riedi69c49.28$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.2830150.2%151 W · 150 L-15.6wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-10.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc7c7…3b08backed Leandro Riedi66c48.98$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.6550958%295 W · 214 L-26.5wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-7.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe00d…4251backed Leandro Riedi56c48.21$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.2119761.4%121 W · 76 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x17f7…a181backed Juan Carlos Prado33c46.18$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.2451347%241 W · 272 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58cc…2296backed Leandro Riedi68c44.12$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.1214369.9%100 W · 43 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick66cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Leandro Riedi67c43.58$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.382,56163%1,613 W · 948 L-10.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ced…9753backed Juan Carlos Prado34c42.91$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.593834.2%13 W · 25 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea97…a471backed Juan Carlos Prado35c42.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.4wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-24.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x782b…ff64backed Leandro Riedi61c41$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.0831366.8%209 W · 104 L+27.1wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+12.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Juan Carlos Prado53c40$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.292,11855.9%1,185 W · 933 L+40.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4dee…5d00backed Leandro Riedi54c38.96$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.9216154.7%88 W · 73 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9888…e6febacked Leandro Riedi66c37.38$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.92,44745.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed0d…3646backed Leandro Riedi63c34.83$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.8915454.5%84 W · 70 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35d1…1f70backed Leandro Riedi60c32.93$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.1731563.5%200 W · 115 L+21.5wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+13.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf33e…0acabacked Leandro Riedi61c32.79$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.792441.7%10 W · 14 L-3.7wins-0.15per pick57cpaid-27.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe7e0…a433backed Leandro Riedi48c31.14$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.1421845.9%100 W · 118 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Leandro Riedi58c30.69$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131,22652%637 W · 589 L+44.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x89b9…118ebacked Juan Carlos Prado49c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.774955.1%413 W · 336 L-0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ea6…dcf5backed Leandro Riedi67c29.85$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.851764.7%11 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick68cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fb0…20b4backed Juan Carlos Prado40c29.29$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6112737.8%48 W · 79 L-8.1wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-27.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc444…5eeabacked Leandro Riedi77c25.93$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.9423073.9%170 W · 60 L-8.4wins-0.04per pick78cpaid-4.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x95e4…5134backed Leandro Riedi49c22.26$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.339140.7%37 W · 54 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-13.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb213…49e1backed Leandro Riedi79c22.25$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.6520953.6%112 W · 97 L-19.0wins-0.09per pick63cpaid-21%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7e1b…106cbacked Leandro Riedi62c20.89$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.946575.4%49 W · 16 L+5.5wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+12.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Leandro Riedi67c20.61$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.81,24551.9%646 W · 599 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd78e…6421backed Leandro Riedi63c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.493557.3%536 W · 399 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa74a…4893backed Leandro Riedi65c19.99$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.983770.3%26 W · 11 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e27…9967backed Leandro Riedi75c17.43$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.426869.1%47 W · 21 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick67cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Leandro Riedi67c17.06$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.636,43954.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L+285.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Leandro Riedi67c16.09$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.317,04939.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L-20.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9555…889abacked Leandro Riedi66c15.4$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.1858067.8%393 W · 187 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.