Tennis · resolved market
ITF Lexington: Lexington Reed vs Fiona Crawley
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbd68373e1a425e4f796b571c63ec0ce5d669e924232e716ed1f6738641fca0b1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fiona Crawleyof Lexington Reed, Fiona Crawley
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $93,337
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $91,530
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $93,337 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6fec…4c72backed Lexington Reed | 1c | 24,108$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.53 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa98f…fedebacked Lexington Reed | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…7099backed Lexington Reed | 0c | 15,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Fiona Crawley | 68c | 8,008$5,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,579.17 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d2…d00fbacked Lexington Reed | 33c | 3,780$1,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,234.99 | 117 | 41.9%49 W · 68 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc13f…c336backed Lexington Reed | 22c | 2,256$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.54 | 221 | 23.1%51 W · 170 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Lexington Reed | 27c | 1,923$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.34 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Fiona Crawley | 78c | 1,876$1,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.86 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Fiona Crawley | 77c | 1,253$964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.17 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…47a4backed Lexington Reed | 22c | 1,091$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 1,023 | 41.3%422 W · 601 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Fiona Crawley | 78c | 350$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.54 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4295…6303backed Lexington Reed | 10c | 308.13$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.37 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb71e…641abacked Lexington Reed | 22c | 307$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.54 | 337 | 51.9%175 W · 162 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Lexington Reed | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 960 | 49.5%475 W · 485 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Lexington Reed | 36c | 264.76$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.48 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a2b…c3cbbacked Lexington Reed | 23c | 221.46$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.8 | 104 | 40.4%42 W · 62 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Lexington Reed | 24c | 205.12$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.72 | 1,487 | 47.5%706 W · 781 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Lexington Reed | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.35 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b6…5858backed Lexington Reed | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 230 | 30.4%70 W · 160 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Lexington Reed | 26c | 184.64$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.14 | 1,459 | 50.1%731 W · 728 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Lexington Reed | 33c | 164.8$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.63 | 705 | 37.6%265 W · 440 L | -37.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58ac…7636backed Lexington Reed | 7c | 153.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed Lexington Reed | 25c | 147.36$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.16 | 1,021 | 49.8%508 W · 513 L | +42.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed Lexington Reed | 26c | 138.27$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.67 | 604 | 52.5%317 W · 287 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Lexington Reed | 15c | 129.05$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.42 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Lexington Reed | 21c | 110.06$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.71 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Lexington Reed | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,025 | 54%554 W · 471 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Fiona Crawley | 79c | 99.32$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.22 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Lexington Reed | 33c | 93.84$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.92 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb98…2b49backed Fiona Crawley | 70c | 93.02$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.29 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +20%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…c3d9backed Fiona Crawley | 71c | 85.51$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 502 | 68.3%343 W · 159 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Fiona Crawley | 80c | 80$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…b627backed Lexington Reed | 55c | 78.55$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 1,256 | 65.4%821 W · 435 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ea…42e8backed Lexington Reed | 20c | 60.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 898 | 59.7%536 W · 362 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Lexington Reed | 18c | 58.94$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Lexington Reed | 21c | 55.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.71 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73e5…e3d8backed Lexington Reed | 20c | 51.4$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 335 | 50.7%170 W · 165 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5deb…ccddbacked Lexington Reed | 26c | 40.55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 721 | 47.3%341 W · 380 L | -18.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe01…b45dbacked Fiona Crawley | 79c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 223 | 77.6%173 W · 50 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 77cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85af…c5ffbacked Lexington Reed | 37c | 32.32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7144…16a8backed Lexington Reed | 37c | 32.18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.83 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3443…64e9backed Fiona Crawley | 78c | 32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.04 | 170 | 71.2%121 W · 49 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 74cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe54…c928backed Lexington Reed | 51c | 31.77$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 91 | 36.3%33 W · 58 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36b6…0a41backed Fiona Crawley | 71c | 28.29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.29 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Fiona Crawley | 73c | 28.16$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.74 | 690 | 47%324 W · 366 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x071f…92bdbacked Fiona Crawley | 79c | 27.24$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.72 | 1,076 | 73.8%794 W · 282 L | +41.1wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Lexington Reed | 38c | 26.6$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e8…c60ebacked Fiona Crawley | 73c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.76 | 374 | 60.4%226 W · 148 L | +29.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x449f…2d2ebacked Fiona Crawley | 76c | 16.18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.88 | 254 | 47.6%121 W · 133 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6209…6767backed Fiona Crawley | 79c | 14.98$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.15 | 93 | 66.7%62 W · 31 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.